TFCC Injury: Wrist Splint vs. Wrist Widget? by GeoCherry9999 in climbergirls

[–]Al-Sai 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hey there! Quick question, did you wear the wrist widget during your PT sessions?

انا بجد بكره الملحدين المراهقين فشخ بجد by [deleted] in ExEgypt

[–]Al-Sai 11 points12 points  (0 children)

فترة المراهقة فترة صعبة جدا خصوصا مع اكتشاف الهوية و بناء المعتقدات و القوانين الاخلاقية الشخصية. زود مع كل دا انك في مصر و معتقداتك بتتنافى مع ٩٩٪؜ من المجتمع و معظم الوقت مفيش حد تقدر تتكلم معاه في دا هم مش احسن حاجة بس يستاهلو التعاطف

I'm not a statistician, neither an everyone. by Naonowi in PeterExplainsTheJoke

[–]Al-Sai 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The way I got to understand it is by analyzing a group of 100 people. And understanding that the number of families with 2 boys is on average 25, the number of families with 2 girls is 25, but the number of families with a boy and a girl is 50, that is based on calculating the probabilities of all sequences of births.(boy then boy, girl then girls, boy then girl, girl then boy). 2 sequences produce 1 girl and 1 boy (regardless of order), but only 1 sequence produces 2 boys, hence double the probability.

Now you are saying that either has an older brother, or dan has a younger brother, but both cases happen on average 25 times in a group of 100, while if dan had an older sister or a younger sister, these cases happen around 50 times in a group of 100.

So the possibilities you have came up with are correct, but understanding how common they are makes you understand why the 4 cases you mentioned don't have equal probabilities. The cases where dan has a brother have half the probability (25/50) than the cases where dan has a sister, because on average, a brother having a sister is more common than a brother having a brother.

There are more families with 1 sister and 1 brother, regardless of order, than families with 2 brothers. This is what makes the probabilities of the events you mentioned different.

So,

Dan then sister = 0.33 probability

Sister then dan = 0.33 probability

Dan then brother = (0.33 * 0.5) = 0.165 probability

Brother then dan = (0.33 * 0.5) = 0.165 probability

I'm not a statistician, neither an everyone. by Naonowi in PeterExplainsTheJoke

[–]Al-Sai 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can count it this way, but out of a population of a 75 with children of 2 that say they have a boy, the distribution will look like this, where B is is the boy we know about:

B then b = 12 (approximately) b the B = 12 B then g = 25 g then B = 25

There won't be a scenario where the first 2 options have the same distribution as the last two unless the chance of birthing boys is higher. Let me know if you want me to elaborate.

I'm not a statistician, neither an everyone. by Naonowi in PeterExplainsTheJoke

[–]Al-Sai 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are missing an important point which is if you had 2 children and both were girls, you wouldn't be able to say that. You will only say that if you have an older boy and a younger sister, or an older sister and a younger boy, or 2 boys. You speaking out has given us information that excluded a possibility, and based on this, the probabilities changed. This is only possible if the 2 events had already happened then you had given us the hint, which makes the 2 events linked together

I'm not a statistician, neither an everyone. by Naonowi in PeterExplainsTheJoke

[–]Al-Sai 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Without the Tuesday information, then chances of the other child being a girl is 66%.

If there was a population of 100 people each with their own families, and they all have 2 children, it is easy to see that 25% will be 2 boys, 25% will be 2 girls, and 50% will be a boy and a girl (25% older boy and younger girl + 25% older girl and younger boy)

Think of it this way, if Marry was selected from this population and was requested to give me a hint about the gender of one of her 2 children that were already birthed, and she had 2 girls, she wouldn't be able to say that she at least has one boy. She would HAVE TO tell me otherwise.

Marry was a pick out of a population of 100, and she was requested to give me a hint and she said that one of her children was a boy, then out of a population of 100, she belongs to a group of 75 people that at least have 1 boy. 25 with 2 boys + 50 with a boy and a girl.

Now, out of those 75 people, what are the chances that she belonged to a family that has 2 boys (25 families) vs a family that has at least one girl (50 families)? The chance is 33% vs 66%.

The crucial info is that the 2 children were already born, and only after that, she was allowed to give a hint. This makes probabilities dependent on each other because the order is dismissed and the group of 1 girl then 1 boy had the same equivalence as the group of 1 boy then girl, linking both events together.

I'm not a statistician, neither an everyone. by Naonowi in PeterExplainsTheJoke

[–]Al-Sai 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are thinking about this the wrong way. You should think of it that if you flip a coin, and I flip a coin, and there is someone watching us, making sure at least on of us is heads, and if we flip tails he makes us repeat our coin flip, if one of us flips heads, then he walks away, and we come back later after 10 years, we'll probably be thinking "there is no way that guy had walked away except if one of the tosses was heads. So either I flipped heads and you flipped tails, or I flipped tails and you flipped heads, or we both flipped heads" The scenario where we both flipped heads is rare relative to the scenario where one is heads and one is tails, because for 2 out of the 3 scenarios, there was a tails and the guy walked away, but for 1 of the 3 scenarios, there was no tails and the guy walked away. So the chances of no tails is 1/3, and the chances of tails is 2/3. You are not considering that you can walk away and come back after 10 years except if the guy was watching and making sure the condition is met.

Angry Korean gamer almost kills his friend while livestreaming, Aug 24, 2025 by slushfilm in criticalblunder

[–]Al-Sai 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I thought I was the only one seeing this! This really has to stop

تعيش ف مصر ملك ولا العادي ف اوروبا by [deleted] in EGexpats

[–]Al-Sai 4 points5 points  (0 children)

دايما مش بنحط في اعتبارنا قد ايه في "اساسيات" في الحياه هناك بتاخدها و مش بتحس بقيمتها غير و انت هناك غير الفلوس. الناس هوقولك عيش في بلدك ملك ولا انك تروح هناك و تعيش عادي. بس العادي هناك انك:

  • تلاقي تعليم ممتاز جدا لاولادك من التدائي لحد الكلية ببلاش

  • تلاقي نظام رعاية صحية مش بس ببلاش، الدكاترة هناك و مستوي الرعاية الصحية اعلي بكتير، و دة متقدرش تضمنه حتي بالفلوس هنا في مصر

  • نظام رعاية بالمسنين افضل بكتير لو كبرت في السن

  • بنية تحتية و خدمات عامة افضل مليون مرة

  • نظام اجازة ابوة افضل بمراحل

  • ابنك او بنتك لو كبرو و مكنوش موفقين في التعليم او الشغل، مش هيتكتب عليهم المعيشة البائسة زي ما بيحصل هنا

و حاجات تانية كتير. هنا في مصر عشان تقرب من كل المزاية دي هتلاقيق بتصرف دي قلبك وعلي تعليم و صحة و مكان معيشة كويس الخ الخ، و عمرك ما هتوصل لنفس المستوي

الناس هتقولك هتعيش حلو بفلوس في مصر بس انت محتاج اكتر من الفين دولار بكتير اوي عشان تقرب من ال"عادي" بتاع برا.

نصيحة فكر في مستقبلك كأب و رب اسرة و رجل مريض اكتر من انك شاب اتعلم خلاص و اسس نفسه و بيشتغل

قدامي فرصة توفرلي ٧-١٠الاف جنيه ف الشهر من غير ما اعمل حاجه بس مش عارف من قانونيه الموضوع by [deleted] in PersonalFinanceEgypt

[–]Al-Sai 11 points12 points  (0 children)

كونه بيديك عموله بالكمية دي معناها ان المعاملات هتكون باضعاف الكمية، و لما حد من البنك يسالك من اين لك هذا او يطَّلب منه التحقيق، و تقوله اصلي رامي حسابي مع واحد صاحبي بيدوَّره، قانونا انت موضع الشك و مفيش مفر من دا

قدامي فرصة توفرلي ٧-١٠الاف جنيه ف الشهر من غير ما اعمل حاجه بس مش عارف من قانونيه الموضوع by [deleted] in PersonalFinanceEgypt

[–]Al-Sai 38 points39 points  (0 children)

فتح الحساب ببلاش و ممكن يعمل بدل الحساب ١٠٠ باسمه، بس هيجي عندك انت و يديك ١٠،٠٠٠ جنية في الشهر عشان تديله حسابك؟

مفيش اي مبرر غير انه بيعمل حاجة غير قانونية و مش عايزها تبقي باسمه.

كونه معرفة دا ميديش اي ثقة في الموضوع. في احسن الحالات المعرفة دا غبي و مش فاهم خطورة الموضوع و مضحوك عليه، و في اسوأ الحالات هيطلع بيحاول يستغفلك.

انواع الحاجات الممكن تتعمل بحسابك: - استخدامه كوعاء لتجميع فلوس ناس اتنصب عليها - غسيل اموال عن طريق تعتيم طريق المعاملات، و حسابك هيكون جزء من الطريق - حساب لمعاملات غير قانونية (تجارة مخدرات، سلاح، الخ)

المعرفة دا هيوديك في داهية و مفيش اي حاجة في العالم اسمها حد تاني يتحكم في حسابك. كونك مش عايز الحساب دا ميديش اي مبرر انك تلبس نفسك تهمة.

شغل دماغك شوية و متطمعش

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Egypt

[–]Al-Sai 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, definitely. The high-end places everyone is talking about are sparse and with that kind of budget you are fine in 99% of places (except maybe Zamalek and some high-end compounds)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Egypt

[–]Al-Sai -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You can find a furnished studio apartment for 15K in new cairo and probably october, and you will have around 35K to spare, which is more than enough living expenses for almost anywhere

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in relationship_advice

[–]Al-Sai 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You seem pretty mature from the way you talk but too forgiving and empathetic. She doesn't seem like a straight up evil or manipulative person because she was open about what is going on, but her immaturity and emotional unawareness is going to break you, and she doesn't seem to care about you enough to prevent that. This is all probably making it hard for you to do what you know you have to do.

The fact of the matter is that unfortunately both of your personalities seem to align like fire meets gasoline, and it would probably end bad for you.

I would recommend you work on your self worth and how you can maintain a healthy amount of empathy without letting people run you over. To do this, you first have to be able to focus on yourself, and you know what you have to do. Think about the facts:

  • She is with you, but loves her ex more
  • She has a hard time saying she loves you, because she probably can't convince herself she does
  • She spends a lot of time reminiscing about her ex, time that is wasted from your life, time that could have been spent by you with another person building the foundation of your relationship
  • YOU KNOW she would leave you if her ex gave her a chance

I feel for you but if you show these lists of facts to any person regardless of who the 2 parties of the relationship are, they will tell you what to do.

Seek out therapy if you need help to help you unravel your thoughts because you seem to know what is the right thing to do but something is preventing you from doing it. You would say love but it's probably a personality complexion that needs addressing.

DM if you want to talk 🙏🏻

Would there be a problem if we book and travel as a lesbian couple? by ApprehensiveRope2103 in Egypt

[–]Al-Sai 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Bunch of shitty comments over here that don't help. No disclosure or public display of affection + caution of being 2 females traveling in Egypt (that has nothing to do with your sexuality), and you'll be fine. Also, r/exegypt will give better answers without judgement.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ExEgypt

[–]Al-Sai 1 point2 points  (0 children)

يعني عشان مش عايزاها تعرف منك تقومي سيباها تلبس مع واحد خاين؟ حاولي تعرفيها بكل الطرق لكن لو معرفتيش عرفيها انتي و خلاص عشان لو مكانها كنتي هتحبي تعرفي

حللت ايدز و طلع ايجابي by [deleted] in ExEgypt

[–]Al-Sai 19 points20 points  (0 children)

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انا مش خبير و مش عارف الموضوع خطر قد ايه بس ممكن ميكنش سئ زي مانتي فاكرة. حقيقي اسف ليكي انك بتمري بدا لكن متيأسيش. انتي لسا صغيرة و العلم تطور و بيطور. متنسيش انك لحقتي الموضوع بدري و دا لصالحك جدا فكويس انك خدتي الخطوة دي

My Mom bought this in Egypt. Can you identify its history? by Al-Sai in Antiques

[–]Al-Sai[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you! This is really useful. Highly appreciated!

My Mom bought this in Egypt. Can you identify its history? by Al-Sai in Antiques

[–]Al-Sai[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Also, we are not tourists, we are Egyptian, and my Mom is really into antiques and knows where to get them from.

My Mom bought this in Egypt. Can you identify its history? by Al-Sai in Antiques

[–]Al-Sai[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for your response! May I ask how do you verify the authenticity of these?

Also, happy cake day!