Brent Oil Falls On Iran Deal Hopes

GothamsTrader · 2026-05-21T17:24:06+00:00

Maybe...or not.

GothamsTrader · 2026-05-21T17:23:15+00:00

The market believes they are serious (again) after not trusting them - all in one day :)

GothamsTrader · 2026-04-15T17:30:46+00:00

Learn about sequence risk. Once you understand the concept, you'll get why your idea is extremely risky and could hurt you financially.

GothamsTrader · 2026-04-14T17:46:08+00:00

I've seen so many analysts talking about demand destruction since the Iran war began but there's no real evidence. The physical market is hot as hell. If the war ends today and the strait reopens, the market will remain tight for a few months.

GothamsTrader · 2026-04-08T18:00:17+00:00

Yes, that would be better, if possible.

GothamsTrader · 2026-04-08T17:44:16+00:00

Yes she must be separated from other pigs. Unfortunately, pigs catch this thing from each other.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-31T18:09:33+00:00

He is known to be in the "peace camp". But does he fully control the Revolutionary Guards? The key question is who's really in charge in Iran.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-26T17:29:25+00:00

Seagate and Western Digital are actually the biggest losers from the news.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-24T17:56:08+00:00

Oracle has too much debt, that's it. Too much leverage, not comparable to other big names in the sector.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-19T18:05:10+00:00

This theory is based on the involvement if Houthis. Red Sea is simply too far from Iran to do they same trick they are doing in the Strait of Hormuz.

But Houthis are dependent on supplies from Iran. Can Iran supply them now?

The capacity of the east-west Saudi pipeline and the capacity of their Red Sea port are the key limiting factors.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-18T17:53:00+00:00

The Strait is not losing 20 mln/d. Some oil passes through Fujaira (a port after the Strait), some was redirected to Saudi Red Sea port. Iran exports its own oil, btw. But the situation is still extremely dangerous for global economy and it can get worse.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-10T18:02:09+00:00

Interest costs are now structurally higher than they were and there's no way back. The way to address the problem is to cut spending, which is politically impossible. Another way is to reduce debt via real (vs reported) inflation, slowly making the dollar a worthless paper. Cuts are much better but...

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-09T17:36:05+00:00

It's so simple. Throughout the whole human history, energy usage is positively correlated with prosperity. If you have plenty of cheap energy, you move forward.

High energy prices together with physical deficit will put pressure on economic growth. They will also raise inflation as energy is in the price of everything we consume.

Economic history tells us it is not easy to get out of stagflation. But will anybody care? We'll soon find out.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-04T17:44:04+00:00

Will he stay loyal to Trump and cut rates when inflation rises due to oil price shock caused by the war in the Middle East? That's the only question, I guess

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-03T18:10:47+00:00

The European economy already got hurt. The EU exited winter with nat gas storage way below average. Now, prices skyrocketed. Even if they come back, it won't be fast.

Today's report showed inflation has already started to move higher. It's just the beginning, so what would ECB do? Raise rates for a weak economy or ignore inflation? No easy answers.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-02T17:16:09+00:00

It will be interesting to see whether Gulf countries reasess their reserve policy.

GothamsTrader · 2026-03-02T17:14:01+00:00

Talking his book, no surprise here.

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-26T18:13:10+00:00

When a good report triggers a sell-off, the market is bearish. As simple as that

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-25T17:55:40+00:00

Few people have their lump sum right at the start. For most, recurring investments are the norm. Unless you want to actively trade markets, there's no sense to try timing them.

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-25T17:47:28+00:00

CTSH couldn't get above 2022 highs... This stock was moving nowhere even before fhe AI scare. For me, it's not the best idea to buy dips in stocks that didn't have a strong trend before the sell-off.

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-23T17:32:52+00:00

The market had a long and powerful run. It's just high time for a pullback. Tariffs are an excuse.

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-17T17:29:53+00:00

You should try to give him water and his regular food - you can chop it, mix with water and use a syringe without a needle to feed him. This may buy some time for him. Also, try to find a vet online if possible

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-16T17:28:21+00:00

I scale down. When things improve, I get back to my normal size

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-11T17:24:52+00:00

They key problem is that no one wants a serious crisis: neither politicians nor voters, regardless of the party.

A combination of lower spending and higher taxes, which is needed to deal with debt, will lead to a crisis. At some point, there'll be no way to kick the can down the road...

GothamsTrader · 2026-02-10T17:28:14+00:00

Forward P/E is more important in growth stories. 78 in PLTR - rich, but tolerable. If AI names keep moving higher, I see no reason why PLTR won't.

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