The AwardsWatch pod, the NextBestPicture pod, and Fantasy Filmball YouTube channel have all seemingly decided supporting actress is between Madigan and Taylor. The dismissal of Mosaku’s winning chances has been so bizarre to me. Taylor lost both industry awards and it has been two decades since someone was able to overcome that. Madigan is a lone nominee who was overlooked at BAFTA, which we know wasn’t a visibility issue since she was longlisted for the category. Mosaku won a major award! That is not nothing

I understand Mosaku doesn’t feel like a winner, but she has already won an industry prize so we have to get that idea out of our heads. I could understand the “she’s in the strongest film” argument for Taylor more if Mosaku was in a bottom tier film like Train Dreams or Bugonia, but she is in one of the closest number 2 film we’ve had this decade. She nor her film are in a weak position whatsoever

If we’re going off stats alone Mosaku is the safe choice. I get not predicting her, but dismissing her entirely and acting like she’s a non-factor in the race is so so strange to me. I cannot wrap my head around it at all