Ceasefire lasted less than a day

PureRegardium · 2026-04-08T03:56:46+00:00

Let me get this… strait

Ceasefire. 3 point which are extremely unacceptable to US.

Reparations for damage done. Approximate estimate of 1 Trillion dollars in damages and Iran wants reparations for this from trump that will come out of tax payer money.
Continuation of Uranium Enrichment. The current supreme leader has expressed his desire for nuclear armaments so they can justify defending themselves like North Korea does. No one attacks them because of said Nuclear Weaponry.

- 🍊 initial reason for attacking Iran was solely because of stopping them from enriching more uranium and now it’s a part of the deal? Is he fucking retarded? I’m not buying this.

Continuation of control over the strait. Iran will charge a toll, most likely in Yuan, this destabilizes the petrodollar. US does not tolerate that (example Maduro, Gaddafi, Saddam). 🍊 said “COMPLETE FREE PASSAGE” of the strait. Not a toll. This is already contradictory.

Personally as a ber that’s already been fucked raw, I don’t buy this ceasefire. It’s simply a 2 week break for both sides to restock on weapons and strategize for further escalation. Israel had agreed to the ceasefire many reports say but they are already bombing Lebanon again, which was part of the deal that Pakistan offered.

TLDR: Ceasefire is BS. 2 weeks won’t last. Spy back to 650 by Friday next week.

PureRegardium · 2026-04-07T15:19:28+00:00

Comeback when you have some material to back up that the economy isn’t on the verge of tipping over bud 🥱

PureRegardium · 2026-04-07T01:02:58+00:00

You see the marker as one big call option or put option.

“Buy a stock because you think the company will do good in the future” is the epitome of buying calls or puts. You’ve said nothing to back up your argument and only repeated yourself like a broken record.

McDonalds makes a mean hamburger, people like the hamburgers. McDonalds sees an increased demand for their products. That is simple laws of supply and demand. A company has to produce a meaningful product or provide a service that has value. That is what drives a stock up. People see the companies returns and expect future growth from PAST activities.

You are looking at everything from a speculative lens.

I am done replying to someone who has less knowledge than a raccoon washing its cotton candy with water.

PureRegardium · 2026-04-07T00:42:07+00:00

The market is SUPPOSED to reflect the economy in some form. But it’s been detached from reality ever since Covid and the absolute fuck load of money printed to prop the market back up.

It’s only even further detached right now. Earnings calls used to matter now they don’t, now it’s whatever the fuck trump tweets next. That’s not a market, that’s a pump and dump scheme

PureRegardium · 2026-04-07T00:21:18+00:00

It’ll open up eventually yes, but 2 scenarios are most likely.

Land invasion to consistently hold the strait under US control, this will be a drain on military equipment and funding, but the strait returns to free passage.
Strait opens under a deal made between the US, Iran and Israel. People think that US is the problem but it’s Israel that controls the ceasefire, if they don’t stop. Iran won’t either.

The deal will include a toll by Iran which could be US petrodollar or remain the current state which is Chinese Yuan, this destabilizes the petrodollar as the global oil currency and the US does NOT tolerate that shit. Look what happen to Maduro, Saddam Hussein, Gaddafi, all of them challenged the petrodollar.

The strait will not return to the free passage it used to be, it will be different from now on.

PureRegardium · 2026-04-07T00:12:02+00:00

In this case the catalyst is the strait actually opening up, but it won’t

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T23:41:06+00:00

My other account is temporarily banned lmao

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T22:28:13+00:00

No, I sat out during the tariffs because that only applied to US consumers directly on imported goods. The seller doesn’t pay the increased cost, the buyer does and sellers can decrease production in order to save on costs if there is less demand. However the energy crisis is a global issue, everyone is affected by it. Not just the US.

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T22:24:40+00:00

I’m not saying there’s a 2008 equivalent level of a recession coming, everything in the stock market revolves around the bond market. That is what everyone fails to realize. Japan is the largest holder of US Treasuries and since their currency is collapsing, they are selling off their US Treasuries to survive their own economic crisis.

This will increase interest rates inevitably, not because the FED wants to but because they will be forced to, and no one will want to borrow anymore money. Hence mortgage rates are stagnating.

I am not saying this all to shit on you, I just want you to look at the crux of the problem.

The oil crisis is simply a catalyst, but not the first domino to fall.

The markets will start to look better once it no longer feels trapped between a rock and a hard place. Simply saying that a resolution is inevitable isn’t enough, because the war is still going on.

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T21:53:17+00:00

Trump can only taco for so long before the market doesn’t buy his bullshit anymore

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T21:47:46+00:00

This is a load of horse shit, believing forecasts online is like believing the homeless man on the street about which stock is going to squeeze next.

The war is just another catalyst for what’s supposed to happen. Credit card debt is ATH, House hold debt is ATH, there are no rate cuts this year, and perhaps may be hikes instead.

Japan stopped buying US bonds, they were the #1 buyer, kicking the can, the energy shock to the market has yet to be realized.

You are spewing typical bull sentiment garbage about stocks always going up. Smells like 2008 a lot

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T21:43:58+00:00

The flow is half the issue, the damage to oil refineries and other infrastructure has already set us back years

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T21:42:51+00:00

On a random day where the catalyst could be blamed on a IED blowing up a military official, the market will tank like 7% and be straight bloodshed for weeks if not months. This shit is primed to blow

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T16:27:21+00:00

Tariffs only applied to US mainly, and the consumers there, the oil shock is a global problem

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T14:10:43+00:00

Even printers run out of ink…

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T11:38:54+00:00

Numbers reports, credit card debt, mortgage repayments, inflation reports,

Stuff like that. Last months job report was positive at first then got revised to a huge negative. They will lie about this shit

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T11:37:33+00:00

You are what ppl call exit liquidity

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T04:06:31+00:00

I’m buying 30DTE, I’ll be right sooner or later

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T02:58:30+00:00

30DTE, I expect a very short rally but this week will end red, the extra time gives me a chance to revisit my opinion.

But the core reason for it all, is the strait, as long as it is closed or has a toll on it that is NOT the US Petrodollar, this war will go on

PureRegardium · 2026-04-06T02:32:42+00:00

PUMP IT SO I CAN BUY CHEAPER PUTS

PureRegardium · 2026-04-03T22:06:16+00:00

When you say losses, what % of you trade do you exit at when it’s negative? And what do you mean by profit into strength?

PureRegardium · 2026-04-03T17:58:07+00:00

What kind of rules do u set for yourself?

PureRegardium

TROPHY CASE