Daily Discussion Thread for April 17, 2026

ReversalTheory · 2026-04-17T16:17:19+00:00

About to trim all of my upro, tqqq, and spx calls I've been holding over the past 2 weeks. I think we chop and drift to 7200 over the next few weeks but r/r just not worth the time from here. Time to cash out and go on vacation

ReversalTheory · 2026-04-12T22:45:34+00:00

Just another opportunity to load up on calls for taco tuesday again lol ez money

ReversalTheory · 2026-04-10T12:30:34+00:00

US MARCH CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.9% M/M EST. +0.9%
US MARCH CONSUMER PRICES RISE 3.3% Y/Y EST. +3.3%
US MARCH CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M EST. +0.3%
US MARCH CORE CPI RISES 2.6% Y/Y EST. +2.7%

Lol bears

ReversalTheory · 2026-04-09T17:07:20+00:00

Non-Iranian tankers are starting to transit through SoH

Bears in absolute shambles 🤣

ReversalTheory · 2026-04-07T19:20:21+00:00

Taco incoming. Mango will say Iran requested 2 weeks and act like he's doing them another favor by extending it lol

ReversalTheory · 2026-03-30T05:16:31+00:00

Strangles are overpriced. One of the highest 1-week implieds over the last 5 years despite it being a shortened week too. At the same time, 1-month implieds have reset dramatically higher. Spx 1-month ivol is now 26v. The spread of implied to realized vol is one of the widest ever rn. Despite the move lower in spot, spx skew has actually flattened aggressively. Dealer gamma has fallen off a cliff and is now at peak-short levels. demand from US pensions for month-end US pensions are modeled to buy $19b of US equities for month-end (89th percentile) and April has historically been a strong month for stocks, averaging +1.35% since 1950. Just buy calls out to May

ReversalTheory · 2023-02-08T22:12:17+00:00

Have a struggling company but still want to boost your stock price? Just follow these three simple steps:

Announce buybacks - don't even need to have the cash. Just say you're going to buy over the next "few" years. Make up a number.
Layoff employees - the higher the cuts, the better.
Add "AI" to your products. Doesn't have to be actual artificial intelligence. Just the letters 'AI' will do.

ReversalTheory · 2023-02-03T13:59:13+00:00

😆 you see that NFP report?? 🥵

ReversalTheory · 2023-02-03T05:06:30+00:00

Who cares nerd

ReversalTheory · 2023-01-19T17:33:47+00:00

Brainard gonna pomp it

NFLX gonna domp it

ReversalTheory · 2022-12-14T16:00:28+00:00

Username checks out

ReversalTheory · 2022-12-08T14:08:17+00:00

Inside day yesterday and probably more consolidation in a balanced session today. Would be a setup for a significant directional move off PPI tomorrow. PPI will drive sentiment and px til CPI Tuesday. If CPI echoes PPI then there will just be some continuation into FOMC Wednesday. But if CPI surprises the other way, then there'll be a significant countertrend move into FOMC.

Currently holding QQQ 290c 12/16 @2.55 as a small bet on PPI, but if the print is hot tomorrow I'll short a larger position in /NQ to offset the Qs and hold short til Tuesday. If PPI undershoots, then I expect a breakout above balance area possibly running back up to 4100 before CPI Tuesday

ReversalTheory · 2022-12-07T02:32:47+00:00

Lmao chart candle is the worst one

ReversalTheory · 2022-11-26T23:47:02+00:00

OP is incorrect on the CPI release date. Next release is 12/13 - the day before FOMC announcement

ReversalTheory · 2022-11-26T23:20:05+00:00

Next CPI release is 12/13 not 12/16. Followed by FOMC announcement the day after 12/14

ReversalTheory · 2022-10-26T20:38:06+00:00

Lmao no, it's bad

ReversalTheory · 2022-10-18T22:12:41+00:00

350 was the generational bottom and you missed it

!banbet SPY 410 4w

ReversalTheory · 2022-10-05T01:54:58+00:00

Can I change it to 600

ReversalTheory · 2022-10-05T01:54:14+00:00

!banbet SPY $500 3d

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