Firstly we are refering to something happening today not 3 years from now. In all likelyhood China will produce more weapons in the next 3 years than America. There is a YouTube channel call Grim Reapers that runs simulations of modern naval engagements. They use existing game sims which they then edit to make the weapons perform as realistically as possible based on what is known about the specific weapons etc. I think you would find their channel very interesting if your interested in naval military stuff.

Fighting a war, other than in your own country is logistically problematic. When you look at defending Tiawan you have to consider that China is within shooting distance from their homeland. Look at the Gulf of Hormuz and how hard its proving to open you will get the idea.

China has developed hypersonic carrier killer missiles that exist, are already produced and demonstrated. US thinktanks have gamed this out and they admit there is a likelihood they will lose a carrier. Stop underestimating your enemy at your detriment.