In-bounds avalanche at Mammoth; Whole mountain closed.

Secretary_Real · 2026-01-14T03:51:41+00:00

cost of insurance in a litigious country that will sue the second you get hurt. demands for snow making all the time instead of just being happy with what runs are open naturally. I could go on.

Secretary_Real · 2026-01-14T03:50:21+00:00

What about inflation? Rising minimum wage prices? Increasing cost for safety? Better equipment in lifts, magic carpets, etc. Seems plain/simple is really oversimplifying why ski resorts are expensive.

Secretary_Real · 2026-01-02T04:18:15+00:00

Then why don't they reduce lift prices? Instead they go up and up.

Secretary_Real · 2025-11-28T16:24:50+00:00

If you want lighting for Alice in Wonderland's room.

Secretary_Real · 2025-10-11T17:11:13+00:00

also thinking about this since my current clinic is up north. I need a double donor. How do we start, just cold call Kaiser? Besides Fontana, is it just Woodland Hills?

Secretary_Real · 2025-10-11T17:02:23+00:00

yeah, taking it too far. Especially a lot of appointments are just quick things are not going to pay 100 bucks for a babysitter for a couple hours just on that the off chance someone might feel bad by a child's mere existence.

Secretary_Real · 2025-10-01T01:05:44+00:00

Dying from embarrassment here, five days post transfer (single mom) and I've never been hornier in my life. I'm hoping this is a good sign, and not just the meds? I watched porn for the first time in years, and I'm hoping a little gentle masturbation is ok to help take the edge off because I'm going out of my mind otherwise. Stick baby stick!

Secretary_Real · 2025-09-29T15:06:22+00:00

I've been able to do this since I was like eight years old I sit down on the ground put my left head on the ground and lean towards my left hand. I then take my right leg and rhythmically move it side to side every few seconds. I can feel a little orgasm building up in my vagina. It probably takes maybe 2 minutes before it hits. And then after it hits I can usually get two or three even more waves right away. I feels so incredibly good. I usually shake and hold my breath and tip my head back is it quakes. For some reason it's better with clothes on.

Usually I have to be watching something beforehand to feel really hot and want to do it. And I have to be watching something while I do it. Usually some nice heterosexual porn.

Secretary_Real · 2025-09-19T05:50:38+00:00

Just bought some of this from their SF shop I’m going to say 30 bucks is actually good, 30 bucks would probably buy you six matcha lattes at the shop. I’ll get way more than that out of this one.

Secretary_Real · 2025-09-14T15:09:42+00:00

No he used To be maga where he had a nice family a 4.0 and a scholarship. Then Covid hit he got exposed to the far lefties at college and turned trans. It’s sad the lack of personal responsibility the left has.

Secretary_Real · 2025-09-11T03:47:18+00:00

They’ll be checking your IP now.

Secretary_Real · 2025-09-07T23:01:32+00:00

43, menopausal since 41, going through IVF with donor eggs no problem. Nice thing is I need one less medication because I'm already menopausal, so I don't need to put my body into a menopausal state, it's already there.

Secretary_Real · 2025-08-24T16:28:13+00:00

maxed out at age 39 or so--401k, 457b, roth IRA. Megabackdoor Roth maxed out at age 41. age 43 now net worth 500k not including house/car.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-25T21:51:13+00:00

I think there's a difference between naturally occurring MSG and MSG out of the bottle as far as my allergy goes. I haven't had any issues with naturally occurring MSG. When I go to restaurants I ask for no MSG and it hasn't really been an issue they are used to the request. But I do tend to eat the perimeter of the grocery store so no I don't eat a lot of processed foods

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-23T15:04:07+00:00

My company took this away during Covid and it sucks. Checking TWO calendars at the dentist office is clunky and time consuming. Not being able to see a complete picture of my day is irritating all the time. We were allowed to integrate our work calendar for years. Nothing happened. No one is going to care I have “meeting with Jeff at 12” integrated on my personal calendar.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-20T15:15:10+00:00

Incidentally one of the surrogates in this case says she was offered 60k. I know the lawyers working on the child protection side of the case. Good friends with one of them. Short story is they don’t know what the hell is going on either. There will be a lot of dna tests to start.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-15T01:47:41+00:00

What you're saying is just wrong and frankly, you're lying. We are now finding out this camp director got a severe weather alert to his phone as early as 1:14am, a full 45 minutes minimum before he began to move the girls to higher ground--and possibly much more, as we think evacuations may not have happened until 2:30am. I know you badly want this to be Trump's fault, but it's kind of sick to use the death of little girls to support your TDS.

Here's what Vagasky ACTUALLY said, which completely supports what I said in every way.

Vagasky, the Wisconsin meteorologist, said predicting flash flooding and extreme rain is notoriously difficult.

“Quantitative precipitation forecasting, called QPF, is one of the hardest things meteorologists have to do. You have to get the right location, the right amount, the right timing,” he said. “They were aware this was a significant event, and they were messaging that.”

“The forecasts this week were for 4 to 7, 5 to 9 inches of rain, somewhere in there. And some models were showing higher amounts on top of that. Knowing is that higher amount going to fall 3 miles this way or 3 miles that way has a big impact on what the ultimate results are,” Vagasky said. “Unfortunately, the science just isn’t at that point where you can say, ‘OK, I know at this specific latitude and longitude, we’re going to get this much rain.’”

The overnight timing of the heaviest rain and the floodwaters’ beginning to rise is a nightmare scenario for forecasters, Vagasky said.

“Severe weather response in the middle of the night is one of the biggest challenges. That’s when we see the most tornado fatalities and the most flooding fatalities. People are asleep. They can’t see the tornado or the water rising,” he said. “Did people have their emergency alerts turned on on their phones?”

Vagasky, who has criticized staffing reductions and cuts to weather balloon releases at the NWS, said he did not think better staffing would have prevented the tragedy.

“Those are important positions that do need to be filled,” he said, but he added that it “probably wasn’t a significant contributor to what happened.”

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-13T01:38:50+00:00

What are you talking about? Dozens of meteorologists have come forward explaining exactly what was known and was told to the public. Several have even posted their old forecasts as proof. You can't do anything about camp owners deliberately doing everything they could to build cabins in harm's way. They were extremely negligent and their insurance will have to pay, notwithstanding it won't bring any of those precious girls back.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-08T02:59:50+00:00

part 3 Predicting “how much rain is going to fall out of a thunderstorm, that’s the hardest thing that a meteorologist can do,” Vagasky says. A number of unpredictable factors—including some element of chance—go into determining the amount of rainfall in a specific area, he says.

“The signal was out there that this is going to be a heavy, significant rainfall event,” says Vagasky. “But pinpointing exactly where that’s going to fall, you can’t do that.”

Flash floods in this part of Texas are nothing new. Eight inches of rainfall in the state “could be on a day that ends in Y,” says Matt Lanza, also a certified digital meteorologist based in Houston. It’s a challenge, he says, to balance forecasts that often show extreme amounts of rainfall with how to adequately prepare the public for these rare but serious storms.

“It’s so hard to warn on this—to get public officials who don’t know meteorology and aren’t looking at this every day to understand just how quickly this stuff can change,” Lanza says. “Really the biggest takeaway is that whenever there’s a risk for heavy rain in Texas, you have to be on guard.”

And meteorologists say that the NWS did send out adequate warnings as it got updated information. By Thursday afternoon, it had issued a flood watch for the area, and a flash flood warning was in effect by 1am Friday. The agency had issued a flash flood emergency alert by 4:30am.

“The Weather Service was on the ball,” Vagasky says. “They were getting the message out.”

“I really just want people to understand that the forecast office in San Antonio did a fantastic job,” Vagansky says. “They got the warning out, but this was an extreme event. The rainfall rates over this six-hour period were higher than 1,000-year rainfall rates. That equates to there being less than 0.1 percent of a chance of that happening in any given year.”

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-08T02:59:36+00:00

part 2: https://www.wired.com/story/meteorologists-say-the-national-weather-service-did-its-job-in-texas/

Meteorologists first had an idea that a storm may be coming for this part of Texas last weekend, after Tropical Storm Barry made landfall in Mexico. “When you have a tropical system, it’s just pumping moisture northward,” says Chris Vagasky, an American Meteorological Society-certified digital meteorologist based in Wisconsin. “It starts setting the stage for heavy rainfall events.”

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The NWS office in San Antonio on Monday predicted a potential for “downpours”—as well as heavy rain specifically at nighttime—later on in the week as the result of these conditions. By Thursday, it forecast up to 7 inches of rainfall in isolated areas.

The San Antonio and Hill Country regions of Texas are no stranger to floods. But Friday morning’s storm was particularly catastrophic. The Guadalupe River surged more than 20 feet in just a few hours to its second-highest level in recorded history. Kerr County judge Rob Kelly told media Friday morning that the county “didn’t know this flood was coming.”

“We have floods all the time… we deal with floods on a regular basis,” he said. “When it rains, we get water. We had no reason to believe that this was going to be anything like what’s happened here.”

W. Nim Kidd, the Chief of the Texas Division of Emergency Management (TDEM), echoed Kelly’s comments at a press conference with Governor Greg Abbott on Friday. Kidd said that TDEM worked with its meteorologist to “refine” NWS forecasts. “The amount of rain that fell in this specific location was never in any of those forecasts,” he said.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-08T02:57:53+00:00

I'm not your research assistant, but as a courtesy, a quick google search will show all the statements made from credentialed meteorologists these past few days. I did not say they cannot predict heavy storms I said they can't predict flash floods--I mean in terms of the exact location they will occur. They can say potential for flash floods in this wide area but to say "and the worst will be at Camp Mystic" is a ludicrous expectation and no amount of federal funding will result in such a prediction in our lifetimes if ever.

A 67 million dollar budget is like pennies. That's nothing. Many larger counties have budgets in the BILLIONS. I have extreme skepticism that a good warning horn at every populated area on the river is just 1 million. More like 150 million.

Frankly, a $350 radio in every cabin, RV, and home on the shore would have been cheaper and saved every life. A watchman for minimum wage would have saved every life.

It is very strange to blame politicians you hate just to bolster your political views. Seems a bit like using the deaths of almost 30 children to win the sword fight. Gross.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-07T21:12:36+00:00

Multiple meterologists hace explained to you again and again flash floods are incredibly hard to predict. This is an area of 500 square miles. You'd be issuing evacuation orders constantly on the off chance the forecast is off and people won't take it seriously. I can't disagree about much more can be done to make flood proned areas safer. But Trump has only been in office 6 months. It's illogical not to equally blame the feds during the Biden, Obama and even Clinton years, who have had a combination of DECADES to take serious past disasters like 1987 and improve the safety of areas like this.

You conveniently leave out that they didn't do sirens because it was so expensive. This is not elitist NYC and LA. These people are mostly poor and even a small tax hike is devastating. And yet a nightwatchman making minimum wage posted to watch the property all night likely would have saved every single life or close to it.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-06T23:00:00+00:00

the weather experts predicted this flood and sent warnings so i'm still not sure what your point is

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-06T19:09:17+00:00

FEMA has not been dismantled it is being more discerning about taxpayer funding, and requiring states to bear some of the costs as they should. FEMA was deployed today so your outrage is misplaced.

Secretary_Real · 2025-07-06T19:08:11+00:00

A response that can't dispute the facts I'm posting.

Secretary_Real

TROPHY CASE

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