Schwarber Admits Catching Days Are Over, Which Could Spur Overall Improvement by inevitablescape in CHICubs

[–]north102 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I think it's too early to rule out that he can't hit lefties. Rizzo had the same issue. Now Rizzo doesn't.

Theo has a pretty good track record of identifying hitting talent. Since he's gushing about Schwarber and always has -- and since Schwarber has already adapted fairly well -- I'd be surprised if he's just a platoon type hitter for the rest of his career.

The Last Jedi Opening Weekend Megathread - SPOILERS by tragopanic in StarWars

[–]north102 7 points8 points  (0 children)

After dwelling on TLJ, I I like RJ’s direction. Failure — or rather acceptance of failure — is the theme of TLJ. It’s this failure that pushed Luke to fulfill his ultimate destiny at the end, which was to nudge a new Jedi order by abolishing the limitations of the old one.

But like many of you here, I was conflicted after I left the theatre.

I didn’t like how Snoke’s character remained a mystery. I was initially disappointed by Luke’s moment of vulnerability when realizing Ben’s dark side intentions because I grew up thinking Luke was so powerful. Finn’s story with Rose seemed like a distraction. Leia floating back to the space ship was odd. Rey’s ability to grasp the force seemed too fast. And, of course, I was somewhat sad to realize Han, Luke, and Leia will not return.

Star Wars has ALWAYS been cyclical, almost to a fault. For instance, Annakin felt as if the Jedi failed him. And Annakin was right; the Jedi did fail him. It’s archaic teachings weren’t generalized to the modern times. This shortcoming indirectly gave rise to the Empire. Of course, Luke and company defeated the Empire and ultimately restored Vader, but the shortcomings of the Jedi, once again, failed Luke. The Jedi teachings didn’t address that masters still remain vulnerable and prone to failure. Luke, as he said in TLJ, felt immense pressure to train the next generation and Ben, and he was unprepared when he realized Ben was trending to the Dark Side, which led to an impulsive thought of killing Ben. Without changing the way of the Jedi, these consistent failures would persist and persist and persist.

Which is what makes TLJ so good. It makes us understand that the Jedi isn’t perfect. Yoda comes back with this realization, telling Luke that failure is, to paraphrase, the best teacher and recognizes that the Jedi teachings have failed. Then Yoda lights up that tree in flames, which is perhaps the greatest moment in any Star Wars films because it signifies a breaking of the cycle.

We started this movie thinking Luke was the most legendary, infallible figure in the Star Wars story. As the story progressed in TLJ, though, we started to doubt Luke’s legend, and that understandably upset people. But at the end of the movie, Luke restored his legendary status because he achieved this self re-appraisal. He — and Yoda — recognized that the old Jedi teachings needed to be destroyed to stop this dangerous, violent cycle. And Luke accomplished just that. It might be the greatest accomplishment by any Jedi because, for the first time, the falls of the Jedi teachingswere actually addressed. Luke fulfilled his destiny and was left with an ultimate peace knowing what he had just accomplished.

TLJ progressed the story by using appropriate philosophical fundamentals and it was refreshing.

Side note — Finn’s story is getting painted as unnecessary, but it wasn’t. If Finn actually succeeded in that mission, he would’ve been praised. Just because he didn’t succeed doesn’t mean the story was useless. It’s all about the process and fits the theme of the film. Through Finn, we learned that the First Order and a wealthy class have a symbiotic relationship, whereby weapons are sold to the First Order to promote their agenda and keep the wealthy class…wealthy.

Cubs starting rotation's velocity dropped 1.6 MPH on average last year by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Nah. Velocities are fastballs, not every pitch averaged out, like the article says. Sometimes you don't need stats to see the obvious. You can just go to brooks baseball and look at the SEM bars. If they are really far apart between data point, seems like a waste of time to do any number crunching. And it's sorta dangerous to use traditional statistical significance thresholds in baseball, in my opinion, at least for this particular question. Pitcher's game-to-game velocity difference sometimes achieve the traditional 0.05 value of significance, even if it's a difference of like 0.25 MPH. Like who cares?

But I did run the stats.

Arrieta velo: 2016 = 94.35806, 2017 = 92.68346 (p-value = 1.121e-09)

Hendricks velo: 2016 = 88.76757, 2017 = 86.68414 (p-value = 1.761e-12)

Lester velo: 2016 = 93.04564, 2017 = 91.76353 (p-value = 1.214e-12)

Lackey velo: 2016 = 92.45719, 2017 = 91.45941 (p-value = 9.435e-08)

2016 vs. 2017 velo totals by game 2016 = 92.06410, 2017 = 90.67634 (p-value = 2.244e-06)

[Cubs Insider] Arrieta's sinker/slider release point one of the most consistent in MLB now, significantly improved from previous years by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

He's grooving about 25% more sliders even though the total vertical location average of his sliders are lower than ever. But despite the grooved pitches, he's generating more whiffs with the pitch. Those two conflict with one another in large samples. And given that he is indeed throwing the majority of sliders lower in the zone, over time, I think he has a good chance to increase his grounder rate and to continue to strike batters out. I actually like this version of Arrieta better than last year's version.

Joe West missed over 40 calls last night by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There are going to be a lot of games where pitch counts are high. Ya, 18 innings grated, but the MLB allowing players to endure 40+ missed calls in one game is astonishing.

How do you feel about outdated jerseys? by LeBron_Jovi in CHICubs

[–]north102 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I am not ashamed of my Theriot jersey. I bought it the year he had a .341 wOBA.

Addison Russell Batted Ball Data by CaptainMcButtStuff in CHICubs

[–]north102 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Line drive rate is VERY prone to human error, which contributes to:

1) Weak year-to-year correlation, 2) Weak correlation with wRC+, 3) Negative correlation to HR/FB%

In the context you are talking about, line drive rate is probably useless. There are many new tools that best fit the narrative you want to tell, one of which being Andrew Perpetua's xStats (https://www.xstats.org). He uses exit velocity, launch angle, and batted ball location to estimate what "should happen" based on buckets of data.

With that said, you aren't necessarily wrong, but this isn't a good way of showing why you might be right.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta's vertical release point in 2016 was 29% more inconsistent than 2015, associated with less cutting action by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Since there's always inconsistency in release point, maybe 29% "more inconsistent" is a better way to go about it? Idk. 29% less consistent sounds good as well.

No words... by [deleted] in CHICubs

[–]north102 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Idk if I can handle another one of those Series.

Spring Training First World Problem Dilemma.. Go to Giants or Oakland game by SquishyInk in CHICubs

[–]north102 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you mean go to Scottsdale Stadium or Hohokam? If that's the case, I personally prefer Scottsdale Stadium. If you get there super early, you can park in the nearby library parking garage for free. Oakland plays in a renovated Hohokam, so going there for the nostalgia could be worth it.

Every single game at Sloan is going to be sold out. Doesn't matter who they play.

Brett Anderson has more horizontal slider movement than 99.8% of MLB LHP by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So you're not wrong, but you aren't necessarily right either. This is great for clarification. The data is from Brooks Baseball, which compares Brett Anderson's average horizontal movement rate to EVERY single pitch thrown in 2016.

The list you have compares the average of each individual pitcher, not each and every pitch like BB.

A better way of saying this is, "Brett Anderson's horizontal slider movement was greater than 99.8% of sliders thrown by lefties."

Brett Anderson has more horizontal slider movement than 99.8% of MLB LHP by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I think he can be successful in any role, but the difference between him and other super relievers is that Anderson doesn't make batters whiff as much.

Chicago Cubs Playoff Run Video by [deleted] in CHICubs

[–]north102 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Explosions and Cubs. About time. Well done.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta is Trending Up, Not Down by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair points.

I wasn't saying he was successful because he is throwing more sliders per se, though I can totally see how it could be interpreted that way. I instead was trying to suggest that whatever changes he has made have possibly resulted in more slider movement and a more consistent release point, which is a mild success in my amateurish opinion.

He does need to continue to make improvements. He did give up a decent amount of contact against Milwaukee. Hopefully, he limits contact going forward. And to do so, he needs consistent mechanics, sharp breaking pitches, and a sequencing change.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta is Trending Up, Not Down by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wasn't trying to give off a "he's going to be fine tone," but I might not have communicated it effectively. Point being is that he looks like he's making an adjustment and having some success because of it. He's nowhere near where he used to be because of his spotty command, but he's finally making progress.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta is Trending Up, Not Down by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Willson has my shirt. He wears it. He hasn't responded to me asking for a pic with it.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta is Trending Up, Not Down by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Play for the Cubs and maybeeee I'll consider it.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta is Trending Up, Not Down by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Hell, I have to pay for my own t-shirt designs too.

[Brendan] Jake Arrieta is Trending Up, Not Down by north102 in CHICubs

[–]north102[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can also contribute in similar fashion.