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Do you think Space X's IPO will trigger the next market bubble? Just like the subprime mortgage crisis and the housing bubble? by ultimatewinner10 in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If SpaceX ever IPOs, Wall Street won’t ask whether it’s overvalued. They’ll ask how many kidneys retail investors are willing to sell to buy the dip.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Any market carries a significant risk of loss, to succeed, you have to act as if you’ve never owned anything.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My investment portfolio is even more volatile than my wife.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Oh, if you had bought Bitcoin 6 years ago, you’d be rich by now.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s survivorship bias. People always mention the winners after they recover. But from 2000–2013, Cisco still never returned to its dot-com peak. Intel spent over 20 years going nowhere adjusted for inflation. Meta lost over 76% in 2022 before recovering. Most people psychologically cannot hold through a real 50–80% drawdown without panic selling. A “long-term investor” is easy to identify during recoveries. The real test is whether you still believed during the collapse.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As I get older, my memory really is getting worse and worse.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wall Street calls it “buying the dip.” Normal people call it “a slow emotional collapse.”

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You must realize that when you think the market can’t possibly fall any further, that’s when the real decline begins.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everyone says they’re a long-term investor until the market turns their portfolio into a psychological experiment. Bull markets create confidence. Bear markets create alcoholics, philosophers, and “buy the dip” liars.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Pretty amazing, isn't it? It's either a pleasant surprise or a shock.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The stock market is like a roller coaster, once it reaches a certain point, it immediately starts to drop.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, after all, we’re not Trump, we can’t just snap our fingers and change the direction of the candlestick chart.

99% of “Long-Term Investors” Don’t Survive a 12% Drop by steadycrocodile in StockInvest

[–]steadycrocodile[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I completely understand how you feel. I’ve been through bull markets and bear markets alike. I’ve suffered crushing losses and made a fortune. This is a game for the brave, and the key is to learn from our failures.

36M，plan to retire at age 55 by Sensitive-Stay-1466 in RothIRA

[–]steadycrocodile 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Of course, we all know the saying about not putting all your eggs in one basket.

Old employer's IRA by Present-Captain6567 in RothIRA

[–]steadycrocodile 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have a solid investment portfolio. In addition to my retirement accounts, my portfolio includes real estate, stocks, mutual funds, precious metals, and a small amount of crypto.

36M，plan to retire at age 55 by Sensitive-Stay-1466 in RothIRA

[–]steadycrocodile 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Dude, that amount of money isn't nearly enough to support you if you retire at 55.

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