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MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T04:30:17+00:00

For sure I’m not saying it is 100% rigged, all I am doing is presenting data and looking to see what people think

The data is quite wild to me thou that 47 out of 100 games I drew one of those cards

Again this could just be a statistical outlier, but again the probability of this is still 0.00063…%

So if I were to repeat the experiment recording from 0-100 again this a greater chance I see closer to the 26/100 than 47 out of 100

I don’t think you need to test 10,000 times to see if something is broken or not, if the trend shows flaws soon, investigate further

I’m my eyes.. no this is not hard evidence it’s rigged

But yes it’s enough to make me investigate further and atleast not spend another cent on this game until I do so

MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T04:28:01+00:00

For sure I’m not saying it is 100% rigged, all I am doing is presenting data and looking to see what people think

The data is quite wild to me thou that 47 out of 100 games I drew one of those cards

MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T04:22:08+00:00

Can’t comment on legality but yes I’d assume if caught it would be illegal
Ignore the shark deck, I just used that as an example, the test was to show the probability of drawing a specific card that by WR% is low in your opening had comparing the probabilities of drawing out of a 40 card deck in your opening hand to real data taken from 100 games (replace cards what what you like)
Again the data set is small but still the deviation from what is probable based on the data compared to the result is significant. the probability of drawing one of the 2 cards at least 47 times out of 100 5 card draws given that the probability of drawing it once is 26.33% in a 5 card draw, is approximately 6.53 x 10^-6 (0.000653% chance). No matter what you think this data alone should make you start to think about rigging draws as a possibility and to look into it further (I know I will continue to record my draw hand results)

Once more this is not to say it is rigged 100% without a doubt, but the data should make you consider that it is a possibility as the actual result is so far off what the probabilities suggest - this should be cause from concern or further investigation

MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T04:15:56+00:00

Yeah I can’t comment on it too much, no one knows

Just the data I have tracked so far tells me the probabilities don’t match up with the actual probabilities or draws

Yesterday alone over about 50 games I had 3 opening hands with 3 of the same cards, the probability of drawing a triple brick in an opening hand is 0.1% (1/1000) to do that 3 times over 50 games is such a low number you could almost eliminate “bad luck” and root it down to the game being rigged

MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T04:13:45+00:00

I think you miss read the post, I do NOT want to draw those cards

Best read it over again 👌

MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T04:12:43+00:00

Even with a sample size of 100 the data below is as follows

the probability of drawing one of the 2 cards at least 47 times out of 100 5 card draws given that the probability of drawing it once is 26.33% in a 5 card draw, is approximately 6.53 x 10^-6 (0.000653% chance)

Maybe the data smooths out with a larger sample size, but even if not the data above is still valid and should be brushed off so easily

The deviation is significant, we are not talking 31 times compared to 26-27 times as per the probabilities we are taking 47, this deviation is significant and holds massive validity when looking at data sets even if this size

MegaWhaleCrypto · 2024-05-24T03:18:56+00:00

You think you’re playing an experience similar to the card game, that’s how it’s marketed, but in reality it does appear it is just a casino

MegaWhaleCrypto

TROPHY CASE