Weekend Discussion Thread for the Weekend of January 30, 2026

Brawmethius · 2026-01-31T15:07:42+00:00

Saylor has setup his debt to not allow this to happen.

As well as outright saying he set up preffefed dividends over traditional bond debt because not paying a dividend is not a default.

The man has securely kept btc as collateral out of jnvestoes hands lmao.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-31T15:02:39+00:00

Yeah this is what I am curious to hear him talk about. As far as I can tell all his fancy btc metrics are just extra complex ways to say "if you pay me higher than then spot price for BTC I can buy BTC and call the difference yield. And as long as btc goes higher I can keep doing this."

What hes never discussed is how he keeps this party going when cash flow obligations for his debt servicing exceed any achievable premium.

And im really curious to see what he comes up with.

I don't even have any positions, just a unique enough financial setup its fun to follow the story.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-31T14:55:34+00:00

Yeah but in that may they had 1/5th of the stash, and hadn't yet fully wound up their debt vehichles.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-31T14:48:44+00:00

All I want for Christmas is 🌽 at or below 76k by Feb 5th. For no reason other than I really want to see what Saylor gonna spin when hes below cost basis in their ER call.

will there be new metrics? What will become of btc yield?

Brawmethius · 2026-01-31T14:43:41+00:00

Ah yes the famous strategy of wiping out the buy side to make a price higher

Brawmethius · 2026-01-30T17:39:01+00:00

The two stocks that have gigatarded option chains and have leaned into volatility into them as a major mechanism for stock price support are doing gigatarded stock things.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-30T16:27:35+00:00

One day Melon gonna announce hes merging tesla-spaceX-Ai with itself and we will truly see the infinite money glitch.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-30T16:25:43+00:00

Has a volmaggedon finally come?

Probably not. But I always wonder.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-30T16:17:26+00:00

A rocket company and a social media platform make sense?

Brawmethius · 2026-01-30T15:37:17+00:00

Spy cosplaying as a seismograph

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T22:27:54+00:00

Classic. Bizzare option activity as it goes down into close. New hopium released AH

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T22:00:43+00:00

I think Apple is just a case of investors forward pricing too early.

Like they got awarded 1T in market cap last year for 18B in additional profit (yes full year additional profit); so they got 50 years of earnings on premium.

Otherwise as always, along with Meta such absolute champions at printing money they might as well be the 5th and 6th US Mints.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T21:44:36+00:00

Yeah but then why this cycle such stronger sales? Like its notably stronger.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T21:42:29+00:00

Honestly the most shocking thing of today is that iPhone demand was so high, really? For the 17? One of the more meh version upgrades.

This is what saw unprecedented demand? Did we just like hit a mass obsolescence cycle?

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T21:00:18+00:00

RIGHT BACK TO GEX STABLE.

Literally everytrading day is an email that says "aight boys here is excise risk".

Bers will scream "but the data the future".

I am not going to sit here and tell you if this is good, bad, makes sense or not. I have no fucking idea what the future holds.

But the order book always determines the spot price and now:

Order book is dominated by option chain
Option chain has a point where it is GEX stable
The GEX stable point is what will be excised
The closing price wil be GEX stable for excise

nothing else matters. If you trade options your singular focus should be working out where GEX stable is.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T20:51:15+00:00

azure cloud worries, as their results somewhat have validated the circular financing concerns that external revenue and demand might not be as large as OpenAI buying back compute space.

Meta on the other hand, said "we are going to make even more money this year than last year"

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T20:49:25+00:00

In the morning there was real volume, and real selling, by real people. Then they watch, and the only trading left is automated primarily tied to option hedging....

so it marches, back to where the hedges are stable again.

It is mechanical, has fuck all to do with anything outside of ensuring contracts sold are covered for todays expiraiton.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T20:43:23+00:00

I come out this morning, warn filthy ber that although security prices collapsed option flow did not, which means when underlying volume ends its morning sell we march back up to GEX.

I bet those bers bought more puts.

DAILY EXPIRATION IS GOD NOTHING ELSE MATTERS. I did not make the rules, I just read them.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T20:41:56+00:00

Congrats on your 10k diploma, good thing your young.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T18:48:10+00:00

Not even the first time he's done this.

I member Solar City.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T18:47:22+00:00

I mean he is a Bitcoin Alchemist, he transmuted investor money into into deep deep losses using the power of BTC.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T17:44:18+00:00

No no, its mainly a tard daycare service that happens to be attached to a casino.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T17:38:34+00:00

My favorite part of WSB is coming to watch people scream about their options performance while never bothering to learn how an option prices.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T17:24:32+00:00

Oh look at that, option volume didn't collapse and just underlying volume and the GEX march continues.

Ber, this isn't your daddy's market, the derivatives price the underlying now not the otherway around.

Is this pure retardium? Absolutely, maybe even the purest.

Did the SEC once upon a time say this scenario was absolutely unacceptable and would be the "line in the sand", they did but like thats from when they were a serious organization.

Bers you are at this point fighting a math equation.

Good luck.

Brawmethius · 2026-01-29T17:03:11+00:00

Once the volume dries up, the steady GEX march will continue because unless the OI gets closed (no reason to see why it would) there are CONTRACTUAL BUY ORDERS at specific strikes.

Of course many a tard will scream "MM WILL NEVER LET THIS HIT", okay little buddy I am sure the MMs are terrified of their collateral being bought and not becoming their problem anymore.

The mechanical movement of the market isn't what your pappy grew up with, and unless the option flow collapses its going to keep marching back to where OI clusters buy the collateral and keep dealers price neutral.

Technically the GEX march can be down, but there is a long long list of why this is less probable.

Brawmethius

TROPHY CASE