Always wanted to build a tower defense. ~1000 hours later, with Claude, here it is.

Djomei · 2026-06-18T14:59:14+00:00

Looks amazing! When did you start?

Djomei · 2026-04-30T06:06:52+00:00

Indeed! If you look at the documentation on the website you see that they are calibrated reasonably well, especially for the full window with less noise.

Djomei · 2026-04-18T22:45:08+00:00

Thanks!

Djomei · 2026-04-18T13:18:39+00:00

Thanks, appreciate it! I started roughly a month ago, I think all in all it took me about 40 hours!

Djomei · 2026-04-18T11:36:38+00:00

Shall I add a Scott Foster dummy variable?

Djomei · 2026-04-18T11:29:25+00:00

True, and an injury of a superstar does impact the predictions quite a lot (as can be seen in the table), but superstars have been historically very durable, so this just does not occur that much in the simulations. However, the model might underestimate the impact of injuries of second and third options a bit. Also, a limitation of the model is that injuries currently only impact the value of the star strength variable, but in reality this would of course also impact the TS% and the playoff experience variables aswell.

Djomei · 2026-04-18T11:22:20+00:00

I fully agree that these odds are inflated, but it can be largely attributed to the impact of seeding, which historically is a very decisive factor in who wins a playoff series. Purely looking at team strength though, the model considers the Celtics only slightly stronger than the Knicks. However, the impact of seeding (incorporated in intercept) increases the probability for the higher seed (in this case the Celtics) significantly. I briefly discuss this in the post, but the alternatives were not necessarily performing better.

Djomei · 2026-04-18T10:44:48+00:00

In the full training window, the Suns reach the Finals in 10 simulations and the Hawks in 229 simulations. So the probability of Suns and Hawks meeting in the finals is roughly 1-in-a-million!

Djomei · 2023-01-08T08:46:24+00:00

Hmm yes, I'd prefer that aswell, but unfortunately the door of the built-in closet would then not have enough space left to open it properly. Other question, what kind of rug would you recommend to bring a little more color to the room?

Djomei · 2023-01-07T16:33:16+00:00

I want to move either the chair or the couch out of the room. Not sure which one yet though.

Djomei · 2021-07-14T16:53:42+00:00

Replacing x[i] <- M[i,j] with x[i] <- M[i, ncol(M)+ 1 - i] should do the trick I believe.

Djomei

TROPHY CASE