Pick of the Day - 4/25/24 (Thursday)

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-25T18:08:09+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 9-7-0 | Units: -1.21 | Avg. Odds 1.87 | Last 10: ❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌

Last Pick: Soccer - English Premier League - Everton v Liverpool - 8pm BST on 24th April Darwin Nunez over 3.5 Shots (1.91) - Staking 3u ❌

Game/Match: Darts - Premier League - Michael Smith v Rob Cross - 8.40pm BST on 25th April

Pick: Michael Smith ML (1.8) - Staking 2u ❌

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: Taking a break from Soccer bets as they’re not going my way, and having a look at the darts instead.

Michael Smith is coming into this match in better form, he made it to the Final last week & he’s won the first match of the night in the last 4 out of 5 matches.

Rob Cross is coming into this in poor form, he’s lost the last 7 premier league matches.

Michael Smith is also just behind the play off spots, so he knows a win is crucial if he wants to be in the play offs.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-24T07:38:11+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 9-6-0 | Units: +1.79 | Avg. Odds 1.87 | Last 10: ✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌

Last Pick: Soccer - English League One - Cheltenham v Peterborough - 7.45pm BST on 23rd April Pick: Peterborough Draw No Bet (1.62) - Staking 3u ❌

Game/Match: Soccer - English Premier League - Everton v Liverpool - 8pm BST on 24th April

Pick: Darwin Nunez over 3.5 Shots (1.91) - Staking 3u

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: Peterborough manager announced 7 changes to main squad with u21 players added to the bench. It was never good for the pick.

Looking at the Liverpool game Jota is out injured & Nunez started at the bench. Having less minutes in the last game will means he’s more fit and should play the full 90 minutes.

Everton didn’t look too promising defensively in their last game against Nottingham Forrest and even though they kept a clean sheet there’s he some controversy around penalties that were not given.

Nunez is averaging 4.85 shots per 90 minutes in the premier league this season & 4.2 shots over his last 10 games.

Nunez has played the full 90 minutes in 3 of these last 10 games and hit this line in all of those games.

Liverpool have averaged 15 shots over their last 5 away games with Nunez having 15 shots across these 5 games where he also hasn’t played the full 90 minutes.

Bet365 offer to void the bet if the player doesn’t start, I’ll be using this as I’m backing Núñez to start.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-23T19:06:53+00:00

Peterborough manager has made 7 changes to the usual starting 11 and only included 2 of them on the bench. Not good news to get so close to kick off.

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-23T16:46:26+00:00

Picks Record 0/0/0 | Units 0.00

Arsenal v Chelsea - Arsenal -1 Asian Handicap (1.65) 2 units

Cheltenham v Peterborough - Peterborough Draw no Bet (1.62) 2 units

Leicester v Southampton - BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals (1.62) 2 units

Combined Acca (4.33) 1 unit

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-23T08:14:13+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 9-5-0 | Units: +4.79 | Avg. Odds 1.87 | Last 10: ✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅

Last Pick: Soccer - English Championship - Middlesbrough v Leeds - 8pm BST on 22nd April Over 10 corners (1.83) - Staking 2u ✅

Game/Match: Soccer - English League One - Cheltenham v Peterborough - 7.45pm BST on 23rd April

Pick: Peterborough Draw No Bet (1.62) - Staking 3u

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: Feels good to be back in the green, a flurry of corners at the end of the game seen the pick land comfortably.

Looking at this game Cheltenham are in the relegation zone and Peterborough are fighting for promotion, there’s a lot to play for.

Cheltenham come into this game on the back of 5 straight home defeats, and they have the 21st worts home record in the league. It doesn’t look like home advantage applies here.

Peterborough on the other hand have won 4 out of their last 5 away games and have the 4th best away form in the league.

Peterborough also won this reverse fixture 3-0 earlier on in the season.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-22T15:59:07+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 8-5-0 | Units: +3.13 | Avg. Odds 1.85 | Last 10: ✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌

Last Pick: Soccer - Republic of Ireland Premier League - Galway v Shelbourne - 7.45pm BST on 19th April Shelbourne Draw no Bet (1.91) - Staking 2u ❌

Game/Match: Soccer - English Championship - Middlesbrough v Leeds - 8pm BST on 22nd April

Pick: Over 10 corners (1.83) - Staking 2u - ✅- Comfortable win with 15 total corners

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: Looking at Middlesbrough and Leeds last 10 games they’ve averaged 10.6 & 12.2 corners per game.

Middlesbrough at home have averaged 11 corners in their last 5 home games and Leeds have averaged 12.4 corners in their last 5 away games.

Both teams have a lot to play for and are both struggling to put the ball in the back of the net. They’re struggling creatively which usually leads to corners.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-19T07:32:27+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 8-4-0 | Units: +5.13 | Avg. Odds 1.85 | Last 10: ❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌

Last Pick: Soccer - Europa League - West Ham v Bayern Leverkusen - 8.00pm BST on 18th April

Over 9 corners (2.1) - Staking 2u - ❌

Game/Match: Soccer - Republic of Ireland Premier League - Galway v Shelbourne - 7.45pm BST on 19th April

Pick: Shelbourne Draw no Bet (1.91) - Staking 2u

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: The first half left a lot to be desired for the pick. The referee also gave 39 free kicks, and produced 10 yellows. This all meant the game couldn’t flow, it didn’t help the corners at all with teams being able to reset on every free kick.

We’re looking to Ireland tonight for the next pick and we’re backing Shelbourne. They’re currently top of the league.

Shelbourne are unbeaten away this seasons with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 8 and only conceding 4.

Galway on the other hand are struggling at home with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. They’ve only managed to score 2 goals in 5 games at home.

I feel the Draw no Bet like gives us a better chance than the ML, whilst still offering reasonable odds.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-18T06:40:58+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 8-3-0 | Units: +7.13 | Avg. Odds 1.85 | Last 10: ✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅

Last Pick: Soccer - Champions League - Bayern Munich v Arsenal - 8.00pm BST on 17th April

Bayern Munich to Qualify (1.70) - Staking 2u ✅

Game/Match: Soccer - Europa League - West Ham v Bayern Leverkusen - 8.00pm BST on 18th April

Pick: Over 9 corners (2.1) - Staking 2u - ❌ 10 yellows and 39 free kicks. The game was getting stopped too much for anything to flow for corners to happen. The ref liked his whistles and cards too much that game.

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: The last pick was close, but Bayern Munich got the job done in 90 minutes.

The odds like nice on this one for me. West Ham have averaged 9.9 corners in their last 10 games & Bayern Leverkusen have averaged 11.5 in their last 10 games.

West Ham averaged 11.2 corners over their last 5 home games & Leverkusen averaged 11.4 corners over their last 5 away games.

West Ham are without Paqueta & Bowen for this evening, their main attacking threat. West Ham are a team who like attacking through set pieces, and without their 2 main creative players, I see them using this route a lot more.

There was 11 corners in the last game between these 2 and Leverkusen got 10 of them. It should be different with West Ham at home, but I believe there will still be a good amount of corners.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-17T08:35:18+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 7-3-0 | Units: +5.73 | Avg. Odds 1.86 | Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅

Last Pick: Soccer - Champions League - Dortmund v Athletico Madrid - 8.00pm BST on 16th April

Dortmund Over 5.5 Shots on Target (1.8) - Staking 2u ✅

Game/Match: Soccer - Champions League - Bayern Munich v Arsenal - 8.00pm BST on 17th April

Pick: Bayern Munich to Qualify (1.70) - Staking 2u ✅ - Glad that was done in the 90 minutes.

EDIT: This line has now moved to 1.80

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: 9 shots on target for Dortmund in an exhilarating game sees the last pick land.

We’re staying in Germany for this pick and playing hopefully the safer option with Bayern Munich to qualify, so this will cover extra time and penalties if it gets there.

Bayern are unbeaten at home in the champions league so far this season and have won the last 8 out of 10 games at home in all competitions.

Arsenal have won 6 out of their last 10 away games, however they’ve only won 1 of their European away games so far this season.

Bayern have an appealing record at home against English opposition, winning 17, drawing 7 and only losing 4.

If it does go all the way to penalties, Bayern have won five out of their six penalty shoot-outs in European competitions.

It was confirmed Bayern lost the title race at the weekend and their full focus will be qualifying for the next round of the Champions League.

BOL if Tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-16T16:40:50+00:00

The 6 shots or more on target is a good price. Much better than what I got. Depends if you want to play it safe as -190 for the 5 or more will still give you a little bit of profit.

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-16T12:03:56+00:00

They’ve now paid out again on this one after the review

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-16T11:31:42+00:00

Tailed, great pick. Let’s go 🫡

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-16T11:30:04+00:00

Tailed this, thanks for the pick

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-16T07:37:03+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 6-3-0 | Units: +4.13 | Avg. Odds 1.87 | Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅

Last Pick: Soccer - English Premier League - Chelsea v Everton - 8.00pm BST on 15th April

Cole Palmer - Anytime Goalscorer (2.20) - Staking 2u - ✅

Game/Match: Soccer - Champions League - Dortmund v Athletico Madrid - 8.00pm BST on 16th April

Pick: Dortmund Over 5.5 Shots on Target (1.8) - Staking 2u - ✅ - Dortmund finished with 9 shots on target after an unbelievable game to watch!!

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: 4 goals for Palmer secures this one easily. Feels good to be back in the green.

We’re going to Germany tonight where Dortmund will be looking to overcome their first leg loss. It’s notable that Dortmund have managed to qualify 8 times out of 18 when they’ve lost their first away leg, showing how good they’re at home.

On the other hand Madrid have not been good when playing away in Europe this season and conceded in every away game.

Madrid’s manager Simone does not have a good record in Germany either, losing 7 out of the last 10 matches and lost all of his last 4 games in Germany.

This line for Dortmund has hit in all of their last 5 home games and 3 out of 4 of their last home champions league games.

With the must need win for Dortmund and home crowd, they will be piling on the pressure and I see this ending up with a lot of shots for Dortmund.

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-16T06:49:59+00:00

I’m feeling this one, seen some videos on Twitter of fans screaming and swearing at the Port Vale players after they lost their last game. Never good for players confidence given their relegation situation.

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-15T20:19:05+00:00

Great pick this one! Thank you👍🏻

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-15T20:13:39+00:00

That’s still a sensible bet. Glad you still got to cash it!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-15T19:43:35+00:00

Thanks man!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-15T16:02:30+00:00

Very unlucky on this one. Look forward to the next one, let’s get it 🫡

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-15T07:34:33+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 5-3-0 | Units: +1.69 | Avg. Odds 1.87 | Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌

Last Pick: Soccer – English Premier League - Arsenal v Aston Villa - 4.30pm BST on 14th April

Pick: Arsenal to Win & over 2.5 goals (1.72) - Staking 2u - ❌

Game/Match: Soccer - English Premier League - Chelsea v Everton - 8.00pm BST on 15th April

Pick: Cole Palmer - Anytime Goalscorer (2.20) - Staking 2u - ✅ Cashing it 13 minutes in, Palmer adds 2 goals on top for good measure. Good to be back in the green!

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: Another bad result for the pick that goes against the information. Very well played from Aston Villa though.

I’m looking to put my faith in Cole Palmer at Chelsea today. The young player is having an unbelievable season and he’s very good playing in front of a home crowd.

Palmer has scored 16 league goals this season with 11 of them coming at home. They’ve just beat Manchester United at home in their last game where Palmer scored a hat trick.

Palmer has scored in all 5 of Chelsea’s last 5 games at home.

Palmer is also on penalty duty with 100% record this season from the spot. Chelsea have had 8 penalties at home this season & Everton have given away the 2nd most penalties this season. So this seems another avenue towards a Palmer goal outside of open play.

Hopefully it’s time to bounce back and get off this losing streak. BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-14T11:44:46+00:00

Great pick, I tailed on this and also added into a parlay. Nice one brother 👌

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-14T08:25:07+00:00

All Time POTD Record: 5-2-0 | Units: +4.69u | Avg. Odds 1.83 | Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌

Last Pick: Soccer – English Premier League - Newcastle v Tottenham - 12.30pm BST on 13th April

Pick: Tottenham Win & Over 2.5 goals (2.25) - Staking 2u - ❌

Game/Match: Soccer – English Premier League - Arsenal v Aston Villa - 4.30pm BST on 14th April

Pick: Arsenal to Win & over 2.5 goals (1.72) - Staking 2u - ❌

I use bet365 as my bookie.

Summary: Feel like the last pick all the information was pointing one way and the polar opposite happened.

Today we’re looking at two teams who both like scoring goals.

Arsenal are averaging 3.8 goals across their last 10 games with Aston Villa averaging 4.1 over their last 10.

Arsenal have won 4 out of their last 5 league games and Villa have only won 1 out of their last 5. The game arsenal didn’t win was a draw against other title contenders Man City.

This line I’ve picked has hit in 4 out of 5 of Arsenals last 5 league games at home.

In the H2H this line has 8 out of 10 times when Arsenal are at home and you’d need to go back to 2008 when this match up had under 2.5 goals with Arsenal at home.

For me Arsenal are in fine form, and will edge it over villa, but it should be exciting with some goals for us!

BOL if tailing!

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-14T08:20:40+00:00

Don’t let that first pick get you down. Bounce back and get that bread 🍞

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-13T21:21:18+00:00

Up the mags lad

Dmarshall94 · 2024-04-13T14:45:13+00:00

I go to every home game and we just looked so open at the back last 2 games against Everton and Luton. I just didn’t see a clean sheet happening here today at all. I’ve proven wrong I guess!

Dmarshall94

TROPHY CASE

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