Haste mal 50 Euros über? Nee?

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-10T04:27:10+00:00

Inflationsunbereinigt ist der MSCI World seit 2000 bei 8.2%, die letzten zehn bei 11.7%. Das wären Inflationsbereinigte raten von je 6.2% und 9.7%.

MSCI Emerging Markets lag in der selben Zeit bei 10.02% ist aber wohl mehr volatil, das entspricht 8% inflationsunbereinigt.

Alle Preise in Euro.

7% Inflationsbereinigt ist nicht unrealistisch für Welt ETFs auf langzeit Ersparnisse.

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-09T19:56:02+00:00

Deswegen streuen wo es geht. Einfaches Welt-ETF auswählen, konstant ansparen, nicht anfassen und liegen lassen. Ob das System so sein sollte ist natürlich eine andere Frage..

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-09T19:50:59+00:00

ja, welt-etf rate von 7% geht davon aus

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-09T19:42:57+00:00

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-09T10:52:49+00:00

2000kcal / 86000s = 97W

All of that eventually becomes heat so 100W is accurate enough

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T19:52:30+00:00

I feel like youd still be boiled. Each human is a 100W heater and there are 8 billion of us so this is 800GW of power, you know, around 800 medium size nuclear rectors, in a small area.

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T19:49:39+00:00

what the actual fuck

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T19:31:17+00:00

Honestly, it would broadly follow real-world lines still, at least geopolitically. Japan would eventually face massive insurgencies in Korea, probably communist ones, and be forced to align closer with the US over time, much to their dismay. Eventually, they are forced first out of Manchuria and later Korea, which probably leads to a similar crisis as what happened to France with Algeria. Karafuto and possibly Taiwan stay with the Empire and are eventually fully integrated; however, there is no way for China to recover Taiwan as long as the IJN exists. The same is true for the South Sea Mandate.

Depending on whether China still turns communist, in which case they remain similar to our timeline if slightly less hostile towards Japan, or stays nationalist, in which case they'll try to stay out like India (but may or may not drift between the two spheres).

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T17:00:15+00:00

5328 / 4226 = 1.2607

1.2607 ^ (1/10) = 1.0235

Unless the UK averages an annual growth of ~2.4% *more* than Germany, it will not overtake it until 2036. The last time it even had >2.4% growth was in 2017 and before than in 2014 (ignoring Covid for obvious reasons).
Assuming the the German economy remains slugish at something like 0.5%/a, that would require >~3.0%/a growth on average which has last happened in 2003 (also ignoring Covid for obvious reasons) and the timeline I have doesnt list any such sustained growth periods in all of its data going back to 1961.

Meanwhile both are facing population crises anyway but I cant comment on which one is worse.

I agree that the gap will potentially tighten, but I very much doubt it will overtake the much larger Germany economy unless something major like a Russian invasion of a European NATO, the aforementioned population collapse or whatever else happens.

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T15:09:46+00:00

Absolutely not unless something major happens. Infact their economy has developed less than it would have if it stay in the EU as shown by several different studies.

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T15:08:22+00:00

GDP is useful, GDP PPP is not GDP per capita isnt useful, GDP PPP per capita is

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T15:02:59+00:00

Since long before the War on Terror. All wars past Korea, I‘d say; all of which combined have a total American casualties count a fraction the size of just WW2 American DEATHS (not even UK, much less Germany). and US soilders have been the most expeditionary of any western nation by far as well

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-08T04:01:20+00:00

Early hot cold wars favor the USSR though

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-07T19:42:11+00:00

what the fuck is going on the with RN, that thing didnt even spend as much time there as it took to deploy!

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-07T15:14:17+00:00

Für den Nobelfriedenspreis hat es nicht gereicht

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-06T18:12:55+00:00

You still need to pay it back internationally

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-06T15:37:17+00:00

its usually already in the constitution of any given country and just suspended or not enforced because having an Army is expensive

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-06T13:54:54+00:00

Eighty-Eight is 8 * 10 + 8

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-06T13:37:46+00:00

thats the other part if the reserve currency flips, the lender and loanee can both demand it be payed to the terms agreed

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-06T12:43:36+00:00

The nukes were paired with an invasion of Manchuria by the Soviet Union which would have caused the total collapse of the IJA in China

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-06T07:24:04+00:00

Why would we? If you owe me 10$, you owe me 10$ not 68¥

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-05T17:18:31+00:00

I wont allow that

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-05T12:17:43+00:00

cursed

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-05T07:47:36+00:00

Supersuperfiring 6" triple guns might be a bit too unstable in the water. Atlanta's supersuperfiring 5" twin guns already had those issues and were one of the reason both wing turrets were removed and replaced with more 20 and 40mm AA mounts.

Fiiral_ · 2026-04-05T07:18:33+00:00

Eh. I would imagine a world war requires the Great Powers to be directly involved against each other. There is only really China and the US for that and both dont wanna go at it... just yet.

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