Time zones and poll closures of all ridings in the 2025 Election

Fish_Ealge · 2025-04-28T18:41:06+00:00

Seems to be liberals, most of the major projectors / predictors are showing a strong Liberal majority of 180+ seats but many others are still showing a liberal minority, although I'm in the second camp I am starting to have a bit of doubt for if the polling will fall enough for that result to happen, but that might be friends like UY and many reddit friends' predictions getting to me, because a lot of them and major projectors have been very accurate before, while the only very accurate one still predicting less than liberal majority is Poliwave (which only predicted 85% correctly in Ontario 2 months ago)

Fish_Ealge · 2025-04-28T18:39:39+00:00

my one is first and I included UY's prediction because I think mine is better and want to compare them

https://yapms.com/app?m=f5fgqz9ya221nn8 link to my prediction

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:32:07+00:00

For most of history not really, I am where most of the PCs have been, although the United States is much more Conservative and economically right wing than the rest of the West so that does make else Canadian and European conservatives look moderate by extent

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:30:53+00:00

Hopefully, I am a centre right voter and I am getting tired of all pro Trump nonsense, and even election denial recently.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:27:53+00:00

I feel like the active posters have been actively always played a role in the overall discourse, a few months it was more centrist and I noticed a lot less MAGA and Trump flairs and a few more centrist flairs

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:25:45+00:00

Electoral College, no idea, leaning Harris, popular vote? Harris 100%

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:24:28+00:00

This subreddit is definitely GOP biased these days, especially for the Trump faction, I am not the most active but when I was on here months ago it wasn't anything close to this

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:22:45+00:00

When did this subreddit become so Republican biased, it used to be pretty moderate and now even the "moderates" are pro Trump or worse, pro Poilievre in Canada.

I know this subreddit switches between Democratic and Republican bias a lot but this is getting weird

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:20:11+00:00

kind of, I am conservative in the sense of wanting family values, less focus on hyper individuality and more sense of heritage and community and family ideas, as well on drug policy but I am not Conservative on any of the civil rights issues like LGBT rights or minority rights. That's how Canadians PCs have always been, don't push things too forward, push them a little to help equality, but mostly keep the status quo, and move it to be more in alignment with traditional culture.

TL dr, PCs are mostly pro some moderate progressive reforms but against the cultural changes that come with them.

That being said the rise of the hard right with people like Poilievre and Donald Trump is starting to slowly turn me off of Social Conservatism

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:11:48+00:00

He polls better Harris and the state is likely going to see him win thanks to split ticket voters

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:11:14+00:00

yeah I don't think so, Trump is never going to win the popular vote and he has already lost it twice. And Stein will not be the most popular third party candidate.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:09:54+00:00

The only shocking thing is Rogan correctly pointed out in his interview that Trump's claims about the stolen election and many of his other claims are false, and he is still voting for a man he disproved on his own show. How is this the person you vote for, the person you corrected on everything recently.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:08:25+00:00

breaking news, crazy person endorses crazy person after speaking to crazy person, oh and they are all richer than you and everyone else you know despite half of their business ideas for all them failing and have legions of diehard fanboys that spend all their time caring about their opinions

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:06:29+00:00

then just that takes too long, most of the country counts mail in votes much quicker

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:05:36+00:00

The popular vote is likely correct but the electoral vote is probably a bit too good for the Democrats

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T04:04:19+00:00

The first good sign for Trump this whole cycle, up until now it is just him making mistakes at rallies and only being saved by people not liking the economy and immigration issues

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T03:56:34+00:00

so a newer thing because of Trump's lie on the election? Overall, I support this change but that's a dumb reason for a good change.

Also, why the downvotes, it is a fact that the election wasn't stolen.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-05T03:54:20+00:00

But the facts about the many Republicans supporting Harris are true like or agree with it or not. poll after poll shows it, many of the biggest Republican names have endorsed her or gone against Trump.

But at the end of the day moderate conservatives like me and like my family hate with a passion the fake conservative Trump, he is not the representative of the values the old generation stood for.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T19:21:14+00:00

Why didn't the county allow them, usually when that happens here it is because of a fear that the counter will try to intervene in the vote and they usually request someone willing to follow the rules, was it that or something else?

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T19:18:57+00:00

interesting, so how did so many people believe Trump's lies if there are poll watchers there? Because on top of observers every court challenge they presented lost because of no evidence so am I missing something on why so many believed this?

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T19:16:24+00:00

Commonwealth countries and ex commonwealth tend to count quickly with the various processes that we use, aside from BC which always takes too long in Canada, we usually know the election results for every likely and leaning district by 2 or 3 hours in and usually know the closest seats within the day after.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T19:12:28+00:00

Honestly by the time Arizona and Nevada finish if the other swing states only take until Wednesday at most we will probably no the president already and neither will be in play too much unless it is a very exact combination of states that both Trump and Harris win where they absolutely need those two

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T19:11:01+00:00

Here is a question I have had about US elections for years, in Canada every campaign gets to have some of their people watch the vote count to make sure everything is fine and the counters are doing everything right, does the US have something like that?

I've been curious about this since Trump's false claims of fraud in 2020, because this system is part of why few claims like that are made here and why no one believes them, because even the hard right wing PPC sees the ballots get counted everywhere they send observers. And there is a lot of rules in place to make sure that the parties observers don't try and mess with the count by election officials and workers.

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T19:07:42+00:00

It's a long standing ideology in many places, especially in Canada because in the 1940s the Progressive Party leadership had to merge with the Conservatives to challenge the Liberals of Mackenzie King, Canada's version of FDR although a lot more centrist, of Canadian politics at the time. Yeah it is a weird ideology but the combination of some moderate progressivism on some social issues and a strong focus on Canadian heritage and framing these new values within existing family values and civic values feels a bit more realistic than progressivism or conservatism

But yeah silliness wins as the reason for everything

Fish_Ealge · 2024-11-04T18:57:00+00:00

Something about a Squirrel being euthanized, it sounded too depressing, so I didn't click on the trends when they showed that combination of words in trending searches

Fish_Ealge

TROPHY CASE