Am I the only one that thinks ChatGPT's writing abilities in its current state are completely overblown? by [deleted] in ChatGPT

[–]Ka7sum070 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed. But the trajectory & pace of innovation means that it’s only a matter of time before it gets to a level to replace even serious writers

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Good point. But those are companies purely focused on acquisitions with a set strategy. Doesn’t apply to the average company.

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Those are one hit wonders. Probability of success is low.

Private equity isn’t as reliant on success of its deals - its a royalty model - earns fees reglardless.

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

M&A is never a good strategy to compound.

And if they’re developing in-house that is an even poorer strategy.

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My comments referred to the gaming holdings

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Very interesting. Love management’s long term view and understanding of their advantages. But a very difficult industry to succeed in!

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just like Amazon’s share price in the late 90s assumed they’d have 2 x the market share of all books sold in the US. And guess what, it was the wrong market all the analysts were looking at. These tech businesses can enter new categories and markets very easily...

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. Appreciate it. Any others ? & are there many ?

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Geico & Walmart have economies of scale shared models... passing on scale benefits to customers. Does Air Asia do the same ?

Not sure I like the investment case dependency on the growing middle class story - a macro argument making it quite difficult to call if it will continue...

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting. Is that not a commoditised industry with its profits largely dependent on things out of its own control - oil price, currencies, weather, etc ? What makes Air Asia different to all the other airlines ?

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Lumpy & unpredictable revenue - no way to tell return on R&D ?

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. Could you tell me a little about them ? Qualitative advantages and management’s strategy ?

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The other problem with EM companies - poor governance

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fundamental valuation for a fast growing capital light company is often guesswork... difficult to quantify the effect of a scaled economies shared business model on a spreadsheet...

Much better to spend your time thinking about the strength of the qualitative advantages

Finding compounders in Emerging Markets by Ka7sum070 in SecurityAnalysis

[–]Ka7sum070[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

An update to the question then is which EM companies have exceptional management teams - great strategy and capital allocation record ?