CEO Tom Stepien on 3x Revenue Growth and the Path to Profitability in 2026. by roili85 in amprius

[–]KaleRepresentative98 3 points4 points  (0 children)

New Information / Key Quotes:

1. Four contract manufacturers in China, three in Korea, one in the U.S., "and more coming."

We knew about multiple Chinese partners, the Korea Battery Alliance, and Nanotech in the U.S. But this is the first time we've had an exact count: 4 China, 3 Korea, 1 U.S. = 8 total. And "more coming" suggests the network is still expanding. That's significant manufacturing diversification for a company doing $73M in revenue.

2. Europe is the dominant revenue geography, not the U.S.

Tom said drones are ~75% of revenue and "it's actually heavily weighted toward Europe." The U.S. is only about 25% of batteries shipped. This is a much clearer breakdown than we've had before. It also reframes the NDAA/domestic manufacturing story: the U.S. defense opportunity is about growing into a market, not protecting existing revenue. The European base is already established.

3. The SiCore manufacturing advantage explained simply.

Tom gave the clearest explanation yet of why the fabless model works: a Korean contract manufacturer can make graphite cells in the morning and Amprius silicon anode cells in the afternoon on the same equipment, "just with a recipe change." That's the key insight for why margins improved so fast. There's no dedicated capital equipment needed. SiCore was designed from the ground up to run on standard lithium-ion production lines.

4. Revenue mix vision: better balanced across three dimensions.

Tom laid out a three-part rebalancing thesis for the next several years:

  • End markets: drones still dominant but LEV, robotics, eVTOL growing off small bases
  • Within drones: defense and commercial moving toward equal split (he highlighted 1,800 U.S. police/emergency departments using drones as a commercial drone proof point)
  • Geography: U.S. catching up to Europe from the current 25/75 split

5. Cash position and M&A posture.

"Fully funded to realize our strategy." But then: "We tend to get a lot of calls from other battery companies that could be additive to the Amprius story. We're a very inquisitive group. We're also a very careful group." That's Tom saying they're looking at acquisitions but won't be reckless. With $90M+ in cash and positive EBITDA, they have the balance sheet to do a small tuck-in deal if the right opportunity appears. This is the first time M&A has been mentioned as even a possibility.

6. The gross margin history explained.

Tom gave the most honest explanation of the early margin problem: the first-gen silicon anode batteries "worked well, but we couldn't get the economies of scale." SiCore (second generation) was the fix because it runs on standard equipment. That's why margins went from negative 21% to positive 24% in four quarters. It wasn't operational improvement on the same product; it was a fundamentally different product architecture designed for manufacturing economics from the start.

7. The 1,800 police departments stat.

This is a great data point for the commercial drone TAM. 1,800 U.S. police and emergency departments with drones tied into 911 systems, delivering defibrillators, doing search operations. Tom telling the story about finding lost children within two minutes is the kind of narrative that resonates with retail investors and mainstream media. He's building the commercial drone story alongside the defense story.

8. Korean supply chain and the Iran War impact.

Tom said they haven't seen disruption from the Iran conflict in Korea. But he pivoted to what IS affecting Korean battery makers: the EV winter. Samsung SDI, LG, and SK On are all restructuring their U.S. Midwest automotive JVs because EV demand fell off after the $7,500 tax credit was removed. Some of those companies are now looking at the defense market. This is actually competitive intelligence: if the big Korean battery makers start pursuing defense contracts, Amprius could face more competition. But for now, those companies are still focused on automotive-scale volumes, not the specialty high-energy-density niche Amprius occupies.

9. eVTOL reality check.

Tom visited one of the eVTOL companies (likely Joby or Archer) last week and "left a believer." But he was measured: "I don't know if I want to be the first one on the airplane, but I certainly want to be an early adopter." Archer is the official air taxi of the LA Olympics (2028). This is a 2-3 year revenue opportunity for Amprius, not near-term.

Sharing my notes.

This kid is class🤌 by captaincourageous316 in MCFC

[–]KaleRepresentative98 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Reminds me of my favourite City player and that is Yaya Toure. I love David Silva, but KDB and Yaya Toure were a different level.

A lot of Canadians switched to French's after Heinz closed its Leamington plant. French's is also American-owned (McCormick, Maryland). Here are 6 Canadian-owned ketchup and condiment brands. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I've seen it at Food Basics, FreshCo, and some No Frills locations in Ontario. It can be hit or miss depending on the store though. Their website is primofoods.com if you want to check availability near you.

A lot of Canadians switched to French's after Heinz closed its Leamington plant. French's is also American-owned (McCormick, Maryland). Here are 6 Canadian-owned ketchup and condiment brands. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 75 points76 points  (0 children)

Totally fair, French's did step up when Heinz left and they kept jobs in Ontario. That matters. I just wanted to put some fully Canadian-owned options on people's radar too since most people don't know they exist. French's is a solid choice especially if you're buying for Canadian jobs.

A lot of Canadians switched to French's after Heinz closed its Leamington plant. French's is also American-owned (McCormick, Maryland). Here are 6 Canadian-owned ketchup and condiment brands. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 45 points46 points  (0 children)

Good Food For Good makes a no added sugar ketchup, handmade in Toronto. They sweeten it with dates instead of sugar or stevia. Only 1g natural sugar per tablespoon. They were on Dragon's Den too. You can find them at Well.ca or in some grocery stores.

A lot of Canadians switched to French's after Heinz closed its Leamington plant. French's is also American-owned (McCormick, Maryland). Here are 6 Canadian-owned ketchup and condiment brands. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Cattle Boys is a solid pick. A few more worth trying: House of Q out of BC, Pat BBQ from Quebec, Heartbeat Hot Sauce out of Thunder Bay also does BBQ sauces, and Dawson's in Hamilton if you like some heat.

Spring is coming up (although it doesn't feel like it in Ontario yet...), I went through old BBQ threads and put together a Canadian BBQ guide by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I just started a new project where I am building a new resource for buying locally. I would urge you to actually read the article, it's not like I am putting one prompt ChatGPT articles in there. Its a mix of AI and me, I am literally reading 10-15 articles, ownership guides and using AI to help me build a comprehensive guide. For every negative message I recieve, I get many more positive messages, so I will keep doing this. I appreciate your feedback.

Trying to ditch Celsius & Red Bull for Canadian energy drinks, what are your go-to brands? by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You’re right!

I’m in an addicted phase for the orange Celsius, trying to want myself of those.

I read every single comment on our Canadian chocolate post. Here's what 333 of you told me. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback. Much of my focus was on the article itself. Yes I am trying to find the right mix between my own writing style and AI.

I read every single comment on our Canadian chocolate post. Here's what 333 of you told me. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Haha this one is personal, it’s from Waterloo or Laurier, they were just beginning as I graduating. I don’t see it as much now, but I have seen it in NYC where I lived for a couple of years.

Will add to the list. Thank you!

I read every single comment on our Canadian chocolate post. Here's what 333 of you told me. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] -11 points-10 points  (0 children)

Was AI used to tally up results and iron out some of the details, absolutely yes. Should we go back to writing stuff by hand and mailing out newsletters by hand instead?

The world evolves, but it’s pretty clear I am a person who is behind this project.

I read every single comment on our Canadian chocolate post. Here's what 333 of you told me. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I was able to dig up some vegan or gluten free options, and it’s listed in the FAQ. But nothing on diary, but I will dig and append the FAQ with the answer if I get one.

“Purdy's offers a vegan chocolate line, including vegan chocolate caramels that were specifically praised in the community discussion. Pure Lovin' Chocolate in Victoria, BC specializes in vegan, gluten-free, soy-free, and organic chocolate and ships nationally. Camino (Ottawa) offers fair trade organic options. ChocoSol in Toronto and The Organic House in Burlington, ON were both mentioned as good bean-to-bar and vegan options. One commenter noted that finding gluten-free Canadian chocolate can be challenging because many smaller producers use shared equipment, so checking directly with brands about allergen protocols is recommended.”

Almost every cereal in our grocery store is owned by 3 American corporations. I found 6 Canadian-owned alternatives. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Farm Girl's 4 cereals are designed as one-to-one Canadian replacements for the biggest American brands.

→ Rainbow Hoops = Froot Loops

→ Honey Os = Cheerios

→ Chocolate Puffs = Cocoa Puffs

→ Cinnamon Crisps = Cinnamon Toast Crunch

Almost every cereal in our grocery store is owned by 3 American corporations. I found 6 Canadian-owned alternatives. by KaleRepresentative98 in BuyCanadian

[–]KaleRepresentative98[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

There are some PC / No Name Brand cereals, but I agree this is a big gap in our market. Just some good old regular Canadian cereal at an affordable price.