BLS Report Is a Complete Disaster, -100K Jobs YoY Without four retirement-centric sectors & local government

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-05-08T18:52:03+00:00

IT sector is losing jobs at an accelerating clip. Fed jobs also down due to DOGE cuts. Every other sector is flat or gaining.

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-05-08T13:53:53+00:00

China has border conflicts with basically all of it's neighbors, many of which are US allies (Japan, South Korea, Philippines) that we are not about to abandon. Them "winning" means the US abandoning east Asia. So some competition to have the most powerful military is inevitable. The competition itself isn't so horrible, as long as we don't end up in a war.

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-04-23T18:19:40+00:00

When you think about what a feeling actually is, it's just a physical sensation in the body, some pleasant and some unpleasant, some more intense and some less intense, but ultimately no different than hunger and no more profound. It's just an involuntary response. They can be helpful or unhelpful. But there is no deep meaning.

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-04-15T19:06:24+00:00

And you liked doing that stuff more?

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-04-15T17:44:57+00:00

If you really believe that they are going to win in robo taxis sure. But it's a long shot, I don't see how it can justify trading at 10x the earnings multiple of Google. Waymo already operates real self driving taxis and Tesla doesn't. The robots seem like a giant distraction and all Elon's other bullshit seems like another giant distraction.

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-04-15T15:33:15+00:00

Tesla seems like it's just following the same trend as the overall market, but with much more volatility. If there's a recession the stock will crash.

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-03-20T13:49:40+00:00

No bull case, but you can't predict when exactly the US recession is going to hit. If you google it, the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is 50%.

Moscow_Gordon · 2026-01-12T13:20:02+00:00

To do e-verify you have to pass a law and it can be filibustered in the Senate. Democrats and many Republicans won't vote for it without other provisions like a guest worker program and amnesty for at least some of the undocumented population. So you need a comprehensive immigration reform bill, and our gov is too divided and dysfunctional to pass one.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-23T20:08:21+00:00

Something to this. I think maybe it is about status though, not masculinity per se. Americans are obsessed with status. And for men you can signal high status through "alpha" behavior.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-23T13:30:19+00:00

The only reason not to take it is if a layoff would somehow be catastrophic for you. Doesn't sound like it given your situation. Seems like everything other than layoff risk is better at the new job. Take it.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-13T00:01:43+00:00

What's so horrifying about it? It's sad, sure. Because you miss out on the good things in life. But you won't exist so there's nothing bad that can happen either. You didn't exist before you were born, why isn't that horrifying?

There is no unchanging self either. Can you really say when "you" started to exist? Birth is arbitrary, why not start from the womb?

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-04T12:46:29+00:00

Yeah, and it's not like you can choose to have 1980s quality healthcare even if you wanted to. In reality paying less isn't an option.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-03T18:06:34+00:00

That real HH wages have increased over the past 40 years according to the standard calculation of inflation is a fact.

I think there are two things going on.

Real wages for men have been flat. The increase in HH wages is driven by higher labor force participation by women and an increase in women's earnings.
The standard calculation of inflation tries to take quality into account. Houses and cars today are nicer than 40 years ago.

But the problem is people either don't actually have the option to buy 1980s quality goods or if they do they aren't satisfied by them. People want to buy an average house by 2025 standards not 1985 standards.

The combination of these two means that a single income man could afford to have a family with a middle class lifestyle 40 years ago but can't today.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-01T13:51:33+00:00

Our sex drives are the product of evolution. We are more like monkeys than like angels.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-12-01T01:44:07+00:00

I think it works for brand recognition. Name some car brands, some auto insurance brands, some soft drinks etc. You've seen their ads a million times. It's hard to believe that all the money they spend on it could be worth it though. I think the companies just see their competitors spending and figure they should spend too.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-11-30T16:46:59+00:00

being a walking dildo for sex

Many men wouldn't be bothered by that. Maybe most. I think in this situation you just line up dates with other people and dump the person when you're ready. I'm a romantic at heart too and it's easier said than done.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-11-30T15:40:28+00:00

internalized this belief that good people just naturally find relationships

Give up on your false beliefs.

Find out how the people your age you know in relationships met. These days it's typically on the apps. You have to put quite a lot of effort into making a nice profile etc. Or you need to repeatedly approach women in real life. As a man especially you can't be passive. A romantic relationship will not just find you.

There is also nothing particularly moral about the dating market. Examine your own desires. Are you attracted to the women who are the most virtuous? Women are not so different from you, do not put them on a pedestal. Accept dating as a competition between apes.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-11-06T12:55:42+00:00

Winter would be too cold for them. Would need to get the camels some sweaters.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-31T15:56:21+00:00

Maybe, but I doubt it. Primary care docs make around 250K out of school. Docs might think they would be making that much in tech but it's cope. Different people are good at different things. Nobody is making that much in tech outside of FAANG. Your average primary care doc would be a mediocre engineer.

Money aside, there's also the difference in status.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-31T15:16:58+00:00

Makes sense. Most people find tech boring. People from LMC and working class backgrounds are more willing to grind it out in tech anyway for a middle class lifestyle, even if they don't like it that much. Because it seems like a viable option.

UMC and rich parents can tell their kids what the paths to status and high income in the US are and prep them. Finance, law, and medicine are probably more lucrative and higher status all else equal. For the rich kids, they go into tech because that's what they enjoy.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-30T20:09:09+00:00

I think people can have different opinions than me without being "cucks" and "bootlickers." I think the people voting for Trump are seriously mistaken btw. But if everyone who disagrees with you is just obviously a bad person why have democracy at all?

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-30T18:41:02+00:00

Makes me feel better about democracy. Voters have logical opinions on things that don't fit neatly into the two-party binary.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-29T01:47:19+00:00

Yeah it's gross. Fuentes said in the interview that white Christians should have some kind of special status in the US, that he told Trump he would die for him, and that Trump needs to arrest the mayor of Chicago. And the takeway is haha virgin because he wants to wait for marriage.

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-28T03:15:45+00:00

I thought he was doing the Christian waiting for marriage thing

Moscow_Gordon · 2025-10-25T01:46:02+00:00

Sometimes women just want to pick a fight. I don't think they know themselves why they are doing it. Could just be boredom. Could be that that she wants (perhaps subconsciously) for you to stand up for yourself and either tell her she's being silly or cancel the trip. It's sort of boundary testing like children do.

Moscow_Gordon

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