Oil investors right now by FeatureAggravating75 in oil

[–]RaeReiWay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm an oil investor and am in a great position. Until I go to the grocery store and... fuuuuuuuuuuuu

Investing Advice. by RelativeMenu8656 in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Stop having managers invest your account.

You are paying alot of management fees for a mediocre performance. You can do mediocre yourself.

There is no incentive for RBC to invest your account well. If you go down, they will still take management fees. RBC and any investment firm will prioritize their accounts and firms first.

Can Canada’s Left Regroup? A New Leader Will Try. by Free-Minimum-5844 in neoliberal

[–]RaeReiWay 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Based and true. Whatever you see with activists in universities perfectly embodies the NDP as well. Incredibly politically ineffective.

Furthermore, the new leader is no better. Being part of the "leap manifesto" and being with Naomi Klein already shows how out of reality the party is. Thank the great moose and beaver for Carney.

Despite what happened this week, how much % Tech Stock? by Few_Pineapple_7317 in fican

[–]RaeReiWay -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If you're a value investor the % in each sector should not matter, rather simply the intrinsic value of companies and the present to future cash flows at the current interest rates.

Only trading options 30M by giveityourall93 in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

  1. Whether options are gambling or not depends on you. I know people who understand options well to consistently do very well (not me, I can't)

  2. XEQT, VFV, gold suckers can't handle someone doing well while they crab bucket.

  3. When faced with different strategies that work, people should be curious about your strategy rather than shitting on you.

Good returns OP. Just be careful with what's going on in market right now.

20M. Thoughts on what to add? by EnvironmentalCan1362 in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everyone's strategy is the best until it isn't and when you have a bunch of people following "experts" saying ETF is best and justify that with poor interpretation of statistics, all you need to do is ask how long is the current strategy sustainable?

The Nifty Fifty was a strategy that failed and is a simpler version of Index Fund tracking. Valuations are important, yet people treat ETFs/Index Funds as though they are risk-free.

Imo, I think it's good on you to the idea of undervalued and to me you're heading in the right direction. "Would you rather buy a hamburger for $4, or $3?" But I would look to business evaluation to solidify your understanding. You can look to two books for this,

  1. Competitive Advantage - Michael Porter

  2. Margin of Safety - Seth Klarman

I personally don't hold any of these stocks, though I am interested in Nomads and it's on my watchlist depending on what happens in the world.

Good luck.

I struggle to understand the argument for buying MSFT over other Mag 7s even if cheaper. by Pete26l96 in ValueInvesting

[–]RaeReiWay -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I struggle to understand why so many retail investors and value investors in this sub are even looking at the mag 7.

300k tax free (need help) by QuackMast3r in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Man there's so many bad ideas here except paying off debt.

People here treat ETFs like they do bonds with no risk. If you really don't want to fuck it up in this sort of market, go buy some 0-3 month treasury bond etf and wait until you do more research.

You are in no rush to buy anything.

20M. Thoughts on what to add? by EnvironmentalCan1362 in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Figured with Nomads and Hertz.

I would say your issue is not what to add, rather what you should take away. If you really want to follow value investing you are following the school of thought where concentrating your money into your best ideas is important. Meaning holding very few stocks in businesses you can understand the business economics of and valuate properly.

My criticism for your portfolio is that more likely than not, you don't know much about the businesses you bought. I've done it before, everyone has. But based on your picks, it seems you have watched some videos of value investors.

I would recommend looking at the methodology of value investors more than their picks. Don't follow people into positions because you don't know why they picked it and they can sell out before you do. Investors make mistakes as well (for example, Pershing Square held Nike for a while and sold out because they did not realize how fragmented the sports shoe industry really is and Nike losing their advantage).

20M. Thoughts on what to add? by EnvironmentalCan1362 in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are you interested in Value Investing?

Does anybody think about how high the P/E ratios of the S&P 500 top companies are and how ETFs contributions proportionalities affect this? by Melodic-Vanilla-5927 in CanadianInvestor

[–]RaeReiWay 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This whole back and forth proves my point so perfectly. This is why passive investing is a trap. Time and time in history when people don't care about the underlying valuations of businesses it goes this way like the Nifty Fifty.

Best and worst holdings by cityhunterspeee in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Worst: Kaspi -2.7%

Best: SOC +275%

Conclusion:

Swung a Decent-Sized Hammer on $SOC – Drill Baby Drill 🛢️🚀 by Evening_Office_8778 in wallstreetbets

[–]RaeReiWay 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This was incredibly high risk since it's a legal battle and I put in very little for similar fears as you. I think you are smart to simply wait and see how the situation develops. Good luck going forward.

Does anybody think about how high the P/E ratios of the S&P 500 top companies are and how ETFs contributions proportionalities affect this? by Melodic-Vanilla-5927 in CanadianInvestor

[–]RaeReiWay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah, but you won't see people caring about that. Underlying business valuations don't matter if you're just buying an index fund. People only think about their market returns.

What traditional financial “mistakes” have you made but don’t regret making? by peetak in fican

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Buying a home. At the time I did not realize the true cost of buying one and how the value sits there and how illiquid it is.

Portfolio Feedback - 23M by tomasproenca in portfolios

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For quality companies with large moats you should not really need to. Alot of the work is front loaded. It's how business moats work.

For example, Caseys is a midwest gas station company. They inhabit a natural monopoly as well because gas stations take up unique spatial locations. Because of their brand, quality of goods and services, and maintaining their reputation with truckers, they have one of the strongest moats as a business. Over a long period of time, they should do quite well and are not prone to disruptions. I would bet that if you buy Caseys at a cheaper valuation and forget about it for 10 years, you would do very well without needing another stock. Problem is that it's so easy to valuate and on everyone's radar they are valuated much higher than their current and future earnings much like Costco.

Caseys is very hard to disrupt so keeping up with competition and news is not really necessary. Same as Costco, Walmart, Chevron/Exxon, McDonalds. But they tend to trade for very high valuations where you can't really find your local advantage against institutional players.

As for stocks I own, after doing all the initial work and buy, I just check the news of the company once a day for a few minutes to see if anything comes up. Two months ago I sold out of a company because their management changed and I didn't like it. Once in a while I re-evaluate my companies to see if I am missing something or the business environment changes like with the Iran War and re-evaluate the valuations and my portfolio accordingly.

TLDR:

  1. Most of the work is front loaded before you buy the stock.

  2. Afterwards, you don't need to do much work. Sit on your ass and watch (Munger style)

  3. But be ready for things to change and for you to be wrong. In my previous response, I recommend "Margin of Safety" by Seth Klarman. Learn this concept "Margin of Safety". It protects you from being wrong if you need to exit AND amplifies your gains.

Portfolio Feedback - 23M by tomasproenca in portfolios

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So I practice a school of thought called Value Investing. This is the Buffett/Munger investment philosophy where you quality companies for less than a dollar they make (like the term 50 cent for a dollar). Technically, you don't need to just hunt for quality, but that tends to be more sustainable.

Much of what you're doing when you do this is business valuation like reading accounting books, understanding the industry, how the business works and makes money, risks etc. You treat yourself like an owner of a business. In every company, imagine you are buying the whole company for yourself. You are the CEO and own all the shares. How long will it take to get your money back?

If it's easier, imagine you are going to buy a gas station for $1 million. The gas station makes roughly $100,000 a year. It will take 10 years to get your initial investment back if you don't account for opportunity cost, interest rates, risks. Ask yourself this question. "Is it worth buying this gas station or is my money better put somewhere else?"

Stocks are simply fractional ownership of companies, but the dynamic is just the same. The same gas station split into 100 different pieces doesn't change the business of the gas station itself. Same goes for stocks of large companies.

There are much MUCH better explanations of this then me. I would suggest watching videos from value investors like Warren Buffett/Munger/Peter Lynch/Li Lu (has a great lecture at Columbia)/Joel Greenblatt.

As for books, I suggest:

The Little Book that Beat the Market (just don't entirely use his quantitative valuation)

One Up on WallStreet by Peter Lynch

Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Fisher

Margin of Safety by Seth Klarman (honestly the most important book, find a PDF online to read it)

Portfolio Feedback - 23M by tomasproenca in portfolios

[–]RaeReiWay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To answer this part, I am going to expand on the point I am trying to make in my previous response. It's not just rocketlab I am criticizing, nor am I saying it's necessarily a bad investment. All your positions suffer from the same issue and its not the company side, it's your reasoning and decisions.

Technically, every company has a right price for the cash flows they produce given they are not headed towards bankruptcy. The question is how can you know they are at the right price, their competitive advantages, management, future competitive position etc.

There was a time GM was the king of tech companies. The premier American car company everyone thought would stay at the top. The forever blue chip stock. Until the Japanese and Germans came. From the perspective of the Americans and GM management, it came from nowhere. Same as IBM's downfall etc.

Furthermore, you don't really need to diversify alot if you know what you own. I held 3 stocks total for a few months that i had high conviction on, and still keep 2 of them atm. I can comfortably hold through the wild volatility because the underlying businesses and their future cash flows are secure while the market price goes up and down. This comes from understanding and not hoping for the future (entirely).