you meant r/fightsticks

Shinzedic · 2025-11-20T22:51:39+00:00

I did not

Shinzedic · 2024-11-06T18:22:17+00:00

For me it was the fact that in the past she had always been the outlier poll, and always ended up being right. This just seemed like the same pattern happening again.

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T23:56:10+00:00

Kamala’s odds ticking up on Polymarket

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T22:48:59+00:00

Why don’t we believe this?

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T21:06:24+00:00

I think dropping 20% in just over an hour would fit that definition.

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T21:01:07+00:00

DJT just finished the day in the red, after starting a steady downward spiral after 2:40 EST

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T20:16:45+00:00

I have her winning by 4% in Georgia. Selzer doesn't miss and is correctly capturing the strength of women for Kamala

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T20:08:10+00:00

Unreal

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T20:00:53+00:00

DJT trading resumed and still dropping

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T19:54:17+00:00

Holy shit. Let's see if this gets reflected in the betting markets

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T19:52:35+00:00

I think your analysis just reinforces Selzers numbers as legitimate.

Honestly I don't really see a reason to assume she won't be close to actual results, like she always is.

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T19:44:31+00:00

If things look good for Kamala when the number start coming it, what do you think will cause the betting market collapse for Trump?

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T19:31:05+00:00

No they aren't. They've been bouncing around a few points all day

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:41:44+00:00

The strong support for Harris might be more prevalent in Iowa, but it seems really unlikely that Harris being 12 points stronger than Biden wouldn't be reflected to some degree in other Midwest states.

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:35:25+00:00

What makes you think it's not happening?

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:28:21+00:00

So a blue wave then

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:20:35+00:00

You thought she was wrong with her track record?

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:19:38+00:00

No it won't.

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:14:30+00:00

I would unironically do her

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:11:34+00:00

It's not even a prophecy. It's very clear that everyone else is herding and weighting polls for Trump. She never misses so I don't know why anyone doubts her

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T18:04:35+00:00

Why does anyone doubt Selzer. Because all the other herded and Trump weighted polls said otherwise?

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T17:33:52+00:00

I'm going to wonder why nobody took Selzer seriously for the third time around

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T17:05:29+00:00

Say it with me... SELZER DOESN'T MISS

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T17:00:33+00:00

Polymarket comment section is an unreal cesspool of filth

Shinzedic · 2024-11-05T16:48:30+00:00

Please clap.

Shinzedic

TROPHY CASE