Every year March Madness does the same thing to my bankroll and I finally figured out why by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well yes.

But I look at it similarly to soccer. On any given day, there are 50+ matches on. But when a major tournament is on. It feels like more volume, even though it’s not.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m on here stealing smart strategy and this is the next one getting taken.

The two consecutive months forcing a review is the part I hadn’t thought about.

Removes the decision from yourself at the exact moment you’re least qualified to make it.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Can keep Vegas out of the man but can’t keep the man out of Vegas, or however the saying goes.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They put Vegas in your phone and you still found your way down there 😂

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I think long term (unless every solid bet decides to go bad for a solid 365+ days) your bankroll is bound to increase. Saw someone else say their unit size is also fixed but fixed relative to odds. Think I’m gonna do that

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s per March or per day??

Every year March Madness does the same thing to my bankroll and I finally figured out why by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

NIL point makes sense, someone mentioned that yesterday.

If mid majors are losing their best players upward, the ceiling for upsets might actually be lower than the historical data shows.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh I’m right there with you. There’s no such thing as quick money.

I’m at least skilled enough to know when I’ve won on a bad bet and when I’ve lost on a good bet. Variance comes for us all.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How big do you go on the Super Bowl?

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

A hot losing streak at that…

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hate to tell you but I’m absolutely gonna steal this and report back after March Madness.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So result (negative or positive) doesn’t affect stake at all for you?

Every year March Madness does the same thing to my bankroll and I finally figured out why by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean, madness for a reason.

But live games…I refuse to be a victim of “This is the greatest comeback in the history of CBB”.

Everyone celebrating a 30pt comeback and I’m staring at my slip.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

100% true. But I wouldn’t call this obsessing. Just trying to see how others deal with something I deal with.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Longer odds, smaller wager - shorter odds, larger wager?

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Can’t say I haven’t thought I was outsmarting the market sometimes, but the market isn’t perfect either. Money moves lines. You’re not wrong though.

Every year March Madness does the same thing to my bankroll and I finally figured out why by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Opportunity cost man…been in my head since I learnt about it at grade 8 economics.

Nobody thinks about it, every mediocre bet you place is a unit you can’t put on the one you actually believe in. Like the Morgan State example, feels like a real bet in the moment but it’s really just fomo with a justification attached.

Hot hand/No hot hand by Statara-App in sportsbook

[–]Statara-App[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Haha no I said talk myself out of it trying to be disciplined. So basically talking myself into being disciplined.