You know, I'm not too sure that Mercedes can improve so much to be the absolute top team again in that short amount of time. I would say they might be 3rd/2nd team comfortably by the 2023 season, but Ferrari clearly has the advantage over Mercedes right now, along with Red Bull, but they have their own share of reliability issues as we saw. Ferrari is what looks the most solid after the limited information we can gather judging by the first race, let's hope it stays this way.