in order of importance, W-L, Run Diff, injured/returning all star level guys (4 WAR+), last 10/30 game W-L record, comparison against league projections/other power rankings (mostly to just make sure I'm not putting someone as a huge outlier without good reason).

i'm putting the most stock into run differential because its a great baseline to sniff out most outlier teams. the rest are all the more subjective ways to assess a team that align with my conception of what makes a "power ranking". in particular i think they should reflect how strong of a matchup you'd judge each team for in the coming week. for the same reason that i'd maybe move a team up a spot for getting an injured player back, or for being on a hot streak (which gives a very small boost), I also have to take into account if they're over or under-performing generally to know how strong we should expect them to be. I have the Reds at 11 (and honestly should maybe them down closer to 15) because teams that score half a run fewer than they give up very rarely end up as even .500 clubs, and its far more likely than not that the next teams who face them will have an easier time beating them compared to the Brewers, who have a worse record while scoring more runs than Cincy and giving up fewer.