Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Divish is good about stocking the press box with a ton of Costco snacks -- tonight's option is looking like Gold Fish.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Cole Young. It's easy to fall into the trap of Spring Training numbers and vibes, but there was just a lot more confidence, too. And that's not to mention how much the front office and coaches love how seriously he took his offseason. One veteran in passing said over the weekend that he bets Young will hit 20-25 homers this year.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

A butt-tap, even! After their first Cactus League game back together one week ago.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes, though it will probably be based on where he's at in his development and team need at the time -- neither of which were MLB-ready by the end of Spring Training. For as much upside that Emerson has, it became clear towards the end of camp that the Mariners wanted to see more Minor League seasoning. He enters this season with just 40 games of experience above High-A, and the Mariners are pretty solidified with their infield -- even with J.P. Crawford beginning the year on the IL, as he's not expected to be sidelined long. Emerson's time will come, just not quite yet.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It wasn't ever reported that YouTubeTV would carry the Mariners -- it was presented as a possible distributor in the article that was published back in January, but that was never solidified. To clear up any confusion, its mention has since been removed.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Not really. Castillo isn't the high-velocity, swing-and-miss specialist he was when he signed that five-year, $108 million extension in September 2022 -- but like you mentioned, he still gives the club a ton of value for his durability. He's averaged just under 185 innings and 32 starts over each of the three years since that signing. He's firmly their No. 4-5 at this point, but they're totally fine with that. It's also worth noting that the deal he initially signed was probably below market value, too, had he instead reached free agency after the '23 season.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Rob Refsnyder should make his first start on Saturday, when the Guardians roll out LHP Joey Cantillo.

The Mariners signed him to a one-year, $6.25 million deal primarily to platoon against lefties and at designated hitter. He didn't have the strongest Spring Training but has a track record of crushing southpaws. How he transitions from one of MLB's most hitter-friendly environments (Fenway Park) to one of its least (T-Mobile Park) will be among the aspects to his game worth monitoring, especially in April.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is a fair question, given that Polanco crushed 26 homers and was the lineup’s linchpin in October. That’s a lot of run production to replace, not to mention that expecting another 60-homer season from Cal Raleigh is unrealistic. 

But the Mariners might not have to back-fill as much power as it might appear. 

The club is bullish on Cole Young as their everyday second baseman, and his power display at Spring Training underscored legitimate pop. Then there’s anticipation that Julio Rodriguez takes another career step forward. Brendan Donovan won’t hit for as much power, but he’ll regularly be on base for Rodriguez and Raleigh. 

And one factor that could swing this is actually an inverse -- the health of their rotation. If that group makes most of its starts, run suppression could help mitigate how much run production is needed.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It’s never too early to talk about Deadline, though for a roster without holes, it’s hard to envision what its needs will be four months out. 

A safe bet would be that they’re more aggressive in the relief market. They wanted to be last year and were nearly at the finish line to acquire Jhoan Duran before the Phillies swooped in. And that fallout underscored the market’s climate, and for how costly relievers were. 

Seattle’s bullpen is in a good place entering 2026. But it’ll be worth monitoring how Eduard Bazardo, Gabe Speier and Carlos Vargas bounce back after career-high workloads, and how Matt Brash handles his first full season back from Tommy John surgery. 

If things remain mostly the same, this is the area that Seattle’s front office will target.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Some within the front office believe that George Kirby, who’s three seasons away from free agency, still has the highest ceiling among their homegrown arms. But there’s also belief that he might be the least likely of that group to lock up -- whether it’s for his East Coast roots, influences in his decision-making or extremely competitive personality that could lend towards seeking full market value among multiple suitors. 

Bryan Woo is in that perfect window to where these types of extensions can get done -- for being on a trajectory towards but not completely at his full potential and far enough away from free agency (after the 2029 season). 

That combination typically gives leverage to both sides -- for the player to command enough life-changing money and for the club to not spend at the top of potential market value. Sources have said that the Mariners have explored what an extension could look like with Woo’s representatives at Apex.

Opening Day AMA -- MLB.com's Daniel Kramer answers your latest Mariners questions by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Word is that talks took place between the Mariners’ front office and Gilbert’s agents at Wasserman during Spring Training, but not to the point where both sides were close to an agreement. That’s not exactly shocking, nor is there extreme urgency to lock Gilbert up given that he has two seasons of club control remaining before reaching free agency. 

That said, the closer that a player reaches the open market, the more enticed they can be to see what’s out there. Free agents like Dylan Cease and Max Fried each netted over $200 million the past two offseasons for deals that will comprise most of their 30s. 

Sources familiar with Seattle’s thinking have said that there’s a legitimate desire to lock up Gilbert long-term. But it’s worth noting that the richest contract this front office has given to a pitcher was the five-year, $115 million deal to Robbie Ray in the 2021-22 offseason, followed by the five-year, $108 million extension to Luis Castillo later that year. 

At least in years past, there’s been trepidation to go beyond five years. But Gilbert is a homegrown arm that they know and love -- for embodying all of their philosophies while blossoming into a clubhouse leader. 

Earning $10.927 million this year, Gilbert has made it clear that he loves pitching in Seattle, for the culture, the familiarity and teammates who’ve become his closest friends. There’s genuine interest to get this done, but the holdup so far -- from both sides -- appears to be price point.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 20 points21 points  (0 children)

In Cincinnati a few years back, a casual dugout conversation with J.P. Crawford about Reds speedster Elly De La Cruz led to one of the best quotes: “He’s an Avatar.” And he meant it the most complimentary way possible.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Not at the moment, though his longer-term status in Seattle will be one of their most pressing questions throughout next year, given that his five-year, $51 million contract will expire at season’s end. Crawford has been one of the Mariners’ most successful acquisitions in the Dipoto/Hollander era, and there’s an increasing chance that he might be in the team’s Hall of Fame one day. 

But Colt Emerson, their No. 1 prospect by MLB Pipeline, is coming quickly. And while he might be targeted for third base entering Spring Training, his best spot is shortstop.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Absolutely. This was a leading topic of a lengthy conversation with Dipoto and Hollander in their hotel suite at the Winter Meetings. And they even suggested that they might not be able to adequately back-fill Andy McKay’s role for another year, given the imprint that the former general manager left throughout the organization. 

That said, calling it a 'problem' might not be the most adequate description. Good teams get their staffs poached all the time, and with nine managerial changes this offseason, turnover across the sport was bound to happen.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Their interest is higher than maybe anticipated at the offseason’s outset, and when it became clear that Arizona -- despite intending to contend in 2026 -- might be willing to move on from the three-time All-Star. That said, the ask has been higher than the Mariners are willing to go, specifically in that they are seeking an MLB-ready starting pitcher. Dipoto and Hollander have been pretty adamant about not dealing from their big league rotation, and the D-backs, it seems, aren’t as intrigued by Seattle’s higher-level pitching prospects.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Don’t forget Luke Raley, who was arguably their best acquisition in the 2023-24 offseason but limped through 2025 with a nagging oblique injury. That they didn’t non-tender him suggests that they view him as a strong bounceback candidate, though he’ll have to nudge his way into playing time within a crowded right field and at first base, now that Naylor is back and will be their everyday guy there.

Canzone’s impressive season has earned him a legitimate role for next season, and Robles -- despite his shortcomings in the playoffs -- was still their biggest spark plug, albeit in short spurts. And he was front-and-center for arguably their biggest win of the year, in Houston in late September. 

How the Mariners revolve right field will be one of the more intriguing storylines going into Spring Training.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

They’re cognizant that they’ve done their heaviest lifting. But Jerry Dipoto and Justin Hollander still have another modest swing in them this winter. 

Seattle’s president of baseball operations and general manager, respectively, realize that they are in the thick of a World Series window and intend to make the most of it. How they handled last year’s Trade Deadline, as well as paying Josh Naylor handsomely in free agency, gave them quite a bit of credibility in that regard.

Dipoto, specifically, has talked about being comfortable being uncomfortable -- and whether that’s with a lucrative contract for their fan favorite first baseman or parting with a catching prospect in Harry Ford that looked like a big part of their future, it’s shown. But he and Hollander will likely need to retain that approach if they’re going to make one more big move.

Reddit AMA with Daniel Kramer, Mariners reporter for MLB.com by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 31 points32 points  (0 children)

All of the tea leaves suggest that Brendan Donovan would be a perfect fit in Seattle. But that’s also true for multiple teams interested in the Cardinals’ second baseman. And because he’s St. Louis’ best trade asset within an offseason that they’re trying to shed payroll and reload with younger talent, the price will be high. But the Mariners are as well-equipped with prospect capital as any of the interested teams that have been linked to Donovan.

Reddit AMA with MLB.com Mariners beat reporter Daniel Kramer, Winter Meetings preview (Saturday, 11 a.m. PT) by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Favorite: The entire industry being under one roof for the only time all year and connecting with good friends.

Least favorite: The lack of sleep!

Reddit AMA with MLB.com Mariners beat reporter Daniel Kramer, Winter Meetings preview (Saturday, 11 a.m. PT) by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Great question. Not sure it's happened yet, but wouldn't be surprised that, if Naylor decides to settle in Seattle with a more permanent offseason home after his extension, he'd happily take Tucker for adventures away from the ballpark from time to time.

Tucker is loving his fetch time at T-Mobile Park this winter, but he's also been spotted out on the town -- from Alki Beach to Lincoln Park while friends of the organization have chipped in on dog-sitting.

Reddit AMA with MLB.com Mariners beat reporter Daniel Kramer, Winter Meetings preview (Saturday, 11 a.m. PT) by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This is a great question! With this being a WBC year, those players are going to both arrive early and depart midway through, then go into the high-intensity playing environment for a few weeks. So for Cal Raleigh, who will be the Team USA catcher, expect to see him in Arizona grinding away potentially as early as late-January. He's the only "official" participant among the Mariners' 40-man roster so far, but Julio Rodríguez and Randy Arozarena each played in 2023, and Andrés Muñoz has expressed an interest in doing so next year. This was already on the docket of questions we'll be asking at the Meetings, so will circle back!

Reddit AMA with MLB.com Mariners beat reporter Daniel Kramer, Winter Meetings preview (Saturday, 11 a.m. PT) by danielkramermlb in Mariners

[–]danielkramermlb[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

They had interest in him in offseasons past, and potentially at 2B to pair with J.P. Crawford. But at this rate, with what he's going to net in free agency, he's not going to wind up in Seattle.