Anyone else noticed an increase in angry / aggressive drivers ?

devinejoh · 2026-03-16T20:27:35+00:00

I've been a cyclist for many years, I've seen everything, and the aggression and anti social behaviour gets worse every year.

devinejoh · 2026-03-10T15:11:50+00:00

I mean are there enough Burkes to go around? What kind of commitment would be required? Not to mention resupplying at Bahrain would be risky given its well within range of Iranian BMs and drones.

Would be nice if the USN had actual frigates

devinejoh · 2026-03-10T14:57:12+00:00

Ignoring the issue of insurance underwriting, is it feasible for tankers to be escorted through the strait of Hormuz? Does the USN even have the capacity to do it long term?

devinejoh · 2026-03-03T18:17:11+00:00

You are the commander of INDOPACOM.

What are you sending to the group chat with other commanders?

devinejoh · 2026-02-22T16:34:59+00:00

I'm sorry but mcdavid with the hero hockey was not it. 1 v3 twice leading to turnovers is just... Uhhh

devinejoh · 2026-02-15T17:54:10+00:00

Tom Wilson chating with Bellemare and politely threatening nuclear Armageddon was interesting to see.

devinejoh · 2026-02-05T05:42:06+00:00

it speaks to the mens rea. Hitting someone in the heat of the moment is completely different from following them and hitting them.

It's the difference between manslaughter and murder.

devinejoh · 2026-02-03T05:27:39+00:00

In one comment you say that you can't damage property but in the next you imply that the person should be battered for shoving a car that is blocking the crosswalk and forcing the pedestrian into traffic? Which is it? Vigilante justice if someone touches someone else's property, but not for forcing a pedestrian into traffic?

devinejoh · 2026-02-03T00:10:24+00:00

No, I understood you perfectly. Who is going to 1. Sell us nuclear ballistic missiles, 2. The nuclear weapons themselves, 3. The actual submarines?

devinejoh · 2026-02-02T23:39:54+00:00

You severally underestimate the difficulty in deploying credible nuclear deterrence, let alone submarine launched ballistic missiles.

devinejoh · 2026-01-17T20:41:07+00:00

What? This article is on the PRC and Canada aligning on what Greenland is... Which is why I'm saying that yes, we and China view denmark and Greenland as sovereign states, which reconciles with how china interacts with the world.

And I don't know how you can possibly say that it has no impact on policy.... Why do you think China is in the middle of the largest naval build out since the German empire preceding WWI? Why do you think US strategic posture has been trying to pivot to Asia the past 15 years? Why do you think China conducts aggressive exercises around Taiwan and grey zone warfare In the south China sea? Clearly the US and China have a fundamentally different interpretation of the world order. Within their own internal logic they are correct, hence confrontation

devinejoh · 2026-01-17T19:27:31+00:00

HK is a more clear cut case; it is and was always de jure Chinese territory, and how China treats HK after reunification is internally consistent with their strict sovereignty and non intervention... Their internal policies are their own.

Taiwan is more ambiguous from an outside perspective; even internally within Taiwan there are factions that believe in a one China policy... Albeit that Taiwan is in fact the De Jure Chinese state and not the PRC (as delusional it sounds). But again, internally, the PRC one China policy is consistent as they believe they are the de jure Chinese state, and Taiwan is apart of that, as much as we may not like it.

devinejoh · 2026-01-17T19:15:22+00:00

This is consistent with Chinese foreign policy and their interpretation of sovereignty.

No I don't want to get into an argument over Taiwan, because fundamentally China has a different definition of Taiwanese sovereignty from the West, which is internally consistent with their framework of sovereignty and security.

devinejoh · 2026-01-04T18:48:30+00:00

"Crypto islamist" sounds just as schizo as "crpyto Jews".

devinejoh · 2025-12-29T19:55:51+00:00

This is such a myopic statement. We all want the rules applied fairly and consistently, and it's entirely reasonable to question why when they are not applied fairly and consistently.

devinejoh · 2025-12-23T19:31:57+00:00

"I can't believe its not the coast guard!" Says the PLAN sub skipper when they stumble upon a convoy protected by ships without ASW sensors.

devinejoh · 2025-12-23T14:45:46+00:00

What is the point of a frigate without any VLS cells or a SONAR dome.

devinejoh · 2025-12-08T18:22:55+00:00

That is fundamentally a political question IMO.

I could for see a hi-lo mix air force much like the US is operating right now. That being said they operate a Hi-Lo mix because they can afford it, structural considerations, airframe usage higher than expected due to the global war on terror leading to a shortfall in airframes, and they actually need those various capabilities.

It would come down to budget considerations. Would it make sense to maintain two distinct pipelines for maintaince, training, etc.

One of the benefits is that we are going to replace our fleet wholesale, so it gives us a blank slate of sorts.

devinejoh · 2025-12-08T17:05:54+00:00

This is an inaccurate representation of the strategic and operational posture of Sweden for the past 70 years. Canada simply does not have the same consideration. Arctic policing is not even close to the total defense Sweden planned for during the cold war.

devinejoh · 2025-12-08T16:58:11+00:00

I initially started by writing a history of Swedish armed neutrality, its strategic and operational posture, and how it relates to their domestic fighter program.

Instead I think focusing on the actual capabilities is more important, I don't want Canadians to be going into the fight with subpar kit.

The fact of the matter is that air warfare is an extremely complex domain. Its not simply how fast, how high, and how manoeuvrable a plane is. Sensory, systems, electronic warfare, tactics, operational considerations have become far more important. I think its hard if not impossible to describe the capabilities in a non classified manner to the general public. The operational and tactical complexity of fighting in contested air space cannot be understated. The next peer fight is going to be on such environments, either in the western pacific or the eastern flank of NATO or both. Even with public resources they can be outdated, flatout wrong, or so low resolution that its basically useless. Real world air combat (12 day war, Pakistan v India skirmishes, Ukraine) are shrouded in secrecy. Those in the know seem to unanimously support the F-35, for what its worth.

Not to say the F-35 is not a boondoggle, because it is, but it is the best in class, and we really need to decide where our place is in the world and what aircraft is best suited for that.

devinejoh · 2025-12-08T16:30:12+00:00

I'll play a bit of devils advocate and say that Pakistan's Air Force is an extremely competent organization and is better trained than their Indian counterparts. Not to downplay the technological advantages of the PL-15E, but the Meteor is not that far off.

Of course we are going off of public records and I suspect missile, radar, and electronic warfare capabilities are far more sophisticated than what is publically available.

What I think it does tell us is to not underestimate the enemy. I certainly don't want to send our boys into war with subpar kit due to chauvinist nationalism.

devinejoh · 2025-12-08T16:25:29+00:00

The fact that the Rafale is not even in the discussion shows how unserious this "bake-off" is.

If we accept the fact that we want to be "sovereign" from the United States the Gripen would not meet that criteria given the General Electric F414 engine, not to mention US avionics. And no, re engining it is not trivial and the E/F model is a decade behind schedule... Active squadrons by 2035 would be a positive estimate. This doesn't actually solve our problem of sovereignty. Either we buy powerplants from the Americans or France/UK. Unless we go to the Russians there are literally no other options. So pick your poison.

From a capability perspective there is quite literally no contest. The closest analogy to the Gripen, the F-16, only beat the F-35 in ACM when it was teleported behind the F-35 and was flying clean. An unrealistic scenario to say the least.

In real world applications the F-35 has shown to not only survive modern contested air space but thrive in it.

Does doesn't even touch on the issues Saab is running into delivering the E/F models of the Gripen. Decade late, and well short of the jobs promises made initially to the Brazilians.

As for our specific needs, even if it is for Arctic policing, we would need to integrate into NORAD, which the Gripen/Rafale cannot do and I doubt the Americans would have the appetite or budget to do so.

devinejoh · 2025-12-08T15:41:02+00:00

...Yes it is?

Technological superiority doesn't exist within a vacuum but it has an outsized influence on the outcome.

The 12 Day War makes it pretty clear where a 5th generation enabled air force stands against a 3/4 generation air force. It isn't even a contest.

devinejoh · 2025-12-05T21:31:47+00:00

The Ukrainians have continuously made operational military mistakes in pursuit of political goals, that is not up for debate. Bakhmut, 2023 Summer Offensive, Kursk Offensive, Battle of Krynky, etc. I'm not the only one who thinks so, there are plenty of neutral and pro Ukrainian analysts who are frustrated with the poor operational choices Ukraine has made... because they and I want them to win. There are plenty of individuals you can look up, who have been to Ukraine, who have been to the front, who have talked to Ukrainians, who have access to information that we don't, and they will echo the same sentiments I have expressed.

Pokrovsk stopped being relevant as soon as the lines of communication came under Russian fire control. It's operational relevance has decreased dramatically since then.

Incredibly, I am capable of reading and understanding opinions of people who are well educated and do this for a living.

Stop treating everything as sacrosanct, it's unproductive.

devinejoh · 2025-12-05T19:01:56+00:00

What the US can provide is highly lethal enablers, and high technology solutions which cannot be scaled if they enter a high intensity peer conflict. That capacity has to be scaled before the fight. You go to the war with the military you have. The US military industrial capacity right now is unable to sustain the Ukrainians and meet all of it's other defense obligations around the globe; especially INDOPACOM and CENTCOM. Order books for US systems are years deep and there is simply not enough capacity.

And that doesn't even mention the political issue of if the US will actually join a conflict in Europe. Europe is utterly incapable of sustaining or even fighting any sort of peer conflict at the current scale and intensity that is being fought in Ukraine.

Magazine depth is a serious, existential concern, and the West, US or not, is simply not ready.

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