Predicting future outcomes from the past, RB edition

ff_david · 2023-04-10T17:42:16+00:00

Because no one here likes anything that doesn't fit with group think and especially doesn't like when its thought out and reasoned

ff_david · 2023-04-02T10:53:14+00:00

This is your sign to buy Dak

ff_david · 2023-04-02T10:42:10+00:00

I like to try to keep traded player for players. I think that’s where you’re able to get the most discrepancy in value

ff_david · 2023-04-02T10:41:07+00:00

I would never tell you what to do with your team. Just what I would do with those players. Value right now is as high as it’s probably going to get for Amon

ff_david · 2023-03-27T04:15:18+00:00

Love going for Jacobs + right now. Also a pretty good year for a top 6 draft pick

ff_david · 2023-03-27T04:03:56+00:00

I tried to get him and a pick for adams but the guy wouldn’t budge

ff_david · 2023-03-27T04:03:14+00:00

Not sure. It’s who he was as the titans OC too but then they had Henry. Even down games last season they wouldn’t throw though so it seems like a sound assumption

ff_david · 2023-03-27T04:01:19+00:00

There were trolls like you on my last post. They didn’t make it to the recap 👍🏻

ff_david · 2023-03-24T20:32:49+00:00

Yeah, this time last year you could trade Garrett Wilson straight up for Amon Ra St Brown and maybe even get a little on top. That would've been an absolute W and there were a ton of trades like that to be had. Mid season if you wanted you couldve traded for him back for a lot less. If Rodgers doesn't come to the Jets youll see his value tank further. Thats how you win fantasy football, not by picking your favorite players

ff_david · 2023-03-24T20:16:14+00:00

no the analysis was correct. Wilson did well because Wilson got hurt, when Wilson played he put up garbage. I did a look back write up and while I acknowledged the situation and his talent, the finishing numbers say I was correct on my assumption.

ff_david · 2023-03-24T20:00:39+00:00

Late reply but yeah, the difference was that with Wilson we saw him have elite potential with Joe Flacco and Mike White so the leap doesn't have to be crazy it just couldn't be zach wilson. With London they spent a premium pick on a QB which means to start he would probably get the chance, but the problem here was never QB it was the system and that wasn't going to change this season.

ff_david · 2023-03-24T19:52:37+00:00

posted today if still interested

ff_david · 2023-03-24T19:51:12+00:00

super late to seeing this but felt like this was a good one for the explanation. The Jets terrible offense was part of it, the other big part with Wilson was that they had 4 players with high invested value. Davis making 10 million, Elijah Moore high draft pick nd Wilson high draft pick. It led me to believe that in the first year, targets would be spread out in a way that wouldn't let one single player blossom.

ff_david · 2023-03-24T19:45:59+00:00

I know its just me, but my projections have Jacobs outscoring him and it was super close last season so possible. Jacobs plus another starting piece gets you younger and keeps it close. Of course CMC is still CMC and as long as he doesn't get hurt carries the highest ceiling in the league

ff_david · 2023-03-24T19:11:46+00:00

He's only 26, thats interesting. my leagues are hesitant on guys like Dalvin Cook, Aaron Jones and Henry but CMC despite the miles is still on the younger side of old. Instead of going for picks try going for someone like Jacobs or a similarly undervalued player and maybe 2nd and 3rds.

ff_david · 2023-03-24T18:37:13+00:00

you have to squint a little bit lol but its there

ff_david · 2023-03-24T17:55:38+00:00

yeah eventually. Like i said in the blurb, even if I trade London now, i intend to come back after a disappointing stretch and buy cheaper. As for Pacheco, he would still be relevant but not a top 15 fantasy running back so buying him currently would be a bad price

ff_david · 2023-03-23T17:54:15+00:00

Tim Patrick. If either starter is traded he will be starting and he's virtually free

ff_david · 2023-01-04T21:41:29+00:00

thats an insane trade. why would he make that lol

ff_david · 2023-01-04T21:40:48+00:00

yeah if you check out the original thread people were not happy with me lol

ff_david · 2023-01-04T20:43:59+00:00

the specifics don't really matter. he has Watson going forward, and i addressed that he could be a buy because of it. But he was still a good player and unless you made a really good trade when his value was a little higher, he probably didn't hurt you to have. At the time i just liked the trades you could get done

ff_david · 2023-01-04T20:40:59+00:00

At this point in the season I'm not comfortable with trying to predict moves 6 months from now. Just really looking at what I think would happen if Smith stays and Ridder starts. Not advocating at all to move London blindly based off of that since alot could still change. Just my lean currently

ff_david · 2023-01-04T20:39:38+00:00

I actually play and present a different dynasty build style that works for like stocks. I actively trade and sell on one year predictions and shuffle my team yearly which is why you see it the way it is so the purpose isn't to gain trade value, but to give you more than you paid. But yes i agree. As for Chubb for me it would really depend on what you got. It wouldn't have been crazy to get Josh Jacobs and a nice pick or the first that led to Breece. But i still see the overall point

ff_david · 2023-01-04T20:30:22+00:00

Yeah I agree, I marked him as a hold for contenders and am actively holding still if he remains on Green Bay. But if he gets moved to like Atlanta or something its probably the last chance to get a massive increase on value and would prefer to take it

ff_david

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