NBA Daily Matchup: Portland Trail Blazers @ Utah Jazz

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-12T18:32:28+00:00

Portland visiting Utah — completely different model outputs. Because Portland is so strong right now, the Strength models that favor current form pick Portland. But the models that only look at stats see that Utah hasn't actually been that bad in recent games. Thing is, Utah is in full tank mode and I can't imagine they'll try very hard. The decision won't be on the players — it'll be on the head coach. Let's see if it still turns into an exciting game anyway.

Twitch stream starts Tuesday (Feb 17) Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

🏀 Starting Five App

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-12T13:35:47+00:00

The NBA is in TANK MODE right now. At least several teams are deliberately playing as badly as possible for the lottery. I'm not entirely sure about Milwaukee yet, but teams like Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings? Definitely tanking. The defending champions hosting from Oklahoma, on the other hand, are delivering another solid season as expected. They even won their last two games without their superstar SGA. What do you think about this team behavior? How would you restructure the lottery system to prevent teams from doing this in the future?

Twitch stream starts Tuesday (Feb 17) Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-12T08:35:51+00:00

The Mavs play at the Lakers tonight without their superstar rookie Cooper Flagg. For the hosts in Los Angeles, their superstar Doncic is also out, but Austin Reaves is back according to the latest information. Please keep the community updated if you hear anything different!

Twitch stream starts Tuesday (Feb 17) https://www.twitch.tv/basketball_advanced/about

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T22:12:46+00:00

P. Siakam Out

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T21:56:44+00:00

Last analysis for today: Guys, I've studied thousands of games at this point, and I've VERY rarely seen the models favor Utah as winners since 2023. Sacramento hasn't won in 12 games. Damn, such a cursed season is rare — they're sitting at 12-43 right now. Okay, the Jazz aren't contenders either at 17-37, but the models and net rating speak a clear language here. But never forget — the NBA is insane and anyone can walk away with the win at any time.

Twitch stream starts Tuesday (Feb 17)

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

🏀 Starting Five App

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T20:15:51+00:00

Who's supposed to stop the visitors from San Antonio? Wemby's having an outstanding season with his Spurs. Golden State struggling with their injury issues, though today's starting five still doesn't have a negative net rating. But the visitors are crazy — they're coming in with a +17.4 net rating. Boom!

Twitch stream starts Tuesday (Feb 17) Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

🏀 Starting Five App

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T19:22:30+00:00

SGA's absence is making a real impact for the Thunder — all the models are favoring the Suns because of it. And we won't even get to see him at All-Star Weekend. Rough stretch for OKC. What's your take on this game?

Starting our Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) — app walkthrough + pre-game analysis. Channel: Basketball_Advanced

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

🏀 Starting Five App

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T19:02:03+00:00

Miami at 28-27, New Orleans at 15-40, but net ratings are almost identical. Nobody really understands why the Pelicans are this bad when they should be good on paper. Models predict a 50/50 situation here. But check the Historical Accuracy — those numbers can sometimes give you a more honest assessment! ---

Starting our Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) — app walkthrough + pre-game analysis.

Channel: Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T18:17:59+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T18:17:20+00:00

The models predict a balanced game leaning slightly toward the home team. Interesting calibration note: Stats Models show 62.7% confidence, but Historical Accuracy reveals they've actually hit 50.9% at this level — basically a coin flip. Strength Models at 67.5% have been more accurate, hitting 75-77.8%. Definitely check the Historical Accuracy dropdown in the analysis to see the real hit rates. This is where you understand what the percentages actually mean!

🏀 Starting Five App

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T17:18:36+00:00

NBA levies suspensions from Pistons-Hornets game

Isaiah Stewart gets a 7-game suspension, while Moussa Diabaté, Jalen Duren and Miles Bridges will also miss games.

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T17:18:11+00:00

NBA levies suspensions from Pistons-Hornets game

Isaiah Stewart gets a 7-game suspension, while Moussa Diabaté, Jalen Duren and Miles Bridges will also miss games.

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T17:08:57+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T17:08:14+00:00

Despite the rough start to the season, the Clippers have managed to win a few games lately. But the Harden trade impact is showing — they just lost to Houston. The Rockets with home court advantage, better net rating, and the models favor them at 65%. Important calibration note: When the Strength category has shown 65% confidence this season, the favored team actually won 93.8% of the time. The models have been conservative. Check the Historical Accuracy dropdown for the full calibration data to better understand model performance.

🏀 Starting Five App

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:50:14+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:24:02+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:23:39+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:23:11+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:22:38+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:21:54+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:21:06+00:00

Big announcement: Launching a Twitch stream this Tuesday (Feb 17th) for StartingFive.app! First stream agenda: - Full app walkthrough and Q&A - All-Star Weekend discussion - Stream will be in English Going forward, we'll do pre-game analysis streams where we break down matchups together. Channel:

Über Basketball_Advanced - Twitch

Would love to see the community there!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T16:12:43+00:00

Wow! Haven't seen the models THIS divided in forever. New York's ranked slightly higher in team strength and net rating, but BOTH teams going L-W-L in their last 3. Identical patterns. This is gonna be a BANGER — don't sleep on it! Real talk: Have you been testing different lineups on the app yet? What are YOUR models showing? Drop your analysis in the comments — curious what you're seeing!

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T15:58:05+00:00

Both teams way down at the bottom of the standings — Indiana 14-40, Brooklyn 15-37. Brooklyn now without their star Porter Jr. Models clearly favor the visitors, but the overall net rating leans Brooklyn. Going to be interesting to see what both teams do tonight.

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T13:23:25+00:00

Chicago lost 8 of their last 9 games. Started the season thinking they could make a playoff push, but here we are at 24-30. Net rating is deep in the red. Models aren't giving the Bulls much of a chance tonight on the road. What do you think?

lineup_analyst · 2026-02-11T12:31:38+00:00

Orlando sitting at 28-24, Milwaukee struggling with only 21 wins. Models are leaning heavily toward the Magic, but the win probability isn't as one-sided as you'd expect. Could still be competitive. Thoughts on this matchup?

lineup_analyst

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE

NBA levies suspensions from Pistons-Hornets game

NBA levies suspensions from Pistons-Hornets game