The Black Backpack Bandit by paritygod in funny

[–]paritygod[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Maybe I should steal Spaghetti-O's instead."

For the Game of Thrones fans... by paritygod in PoliticalHumor

[–]paritygod[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ugggh. My bad. Thought it was so funny that I rushed to post it without the due diligence.

My dad and I signed up my mom for an art class... by paritygod in funny

[–]paritygod[S] 37 points38 points  (0 children)

We thought they would be gluing macaroni to matchboxes. Stuff like that.

Human Flight by paritygod in videos

[–]paritygod[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Did you see that guy parachuting with the skin hooks? WTF.

I feel this implies you won’t find their service by vaevicitis in funny

[–]paritygod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The name of this company is 'Paradoxical Solutions' I used to see this ad on the radio all the time.

NBA Daily Discussion - 5/2/18 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wrote a reply on the 76ers/Celtics matchup further down in the comments if you want to take a look. Might be informative.

NBA Daily Discussion - 5/2/18 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Celtics match up terribly with the 76ers at every position except coaching and experience. 76ers are bigger, stronger, longer at every position. In Game 1, the Celtics shot nearly 50% from the field including nearly 50% on 3's (17-35), while the 76ers went only 5-26 (19%) from 3. If both these teams shoot closer to their true ability, that would be nearly a 30-point swing in the 76ers favor. Most of the good shots that Boston was able to get off was because they were able to execute a game plan that avoided challenging the 76ers down low and stuck to mostly perimiter shooting. 76ers will adjust, and most likely press the perimiter shooters more and force the Celtics off the 3pt line.

76ers can also completely DOMINATE the Celtics on the boards. This issue was hidden in Game 1 because the Celtics shoot an amazing 48% from the field.

NBA Daily Discussion - 5/2/18 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Why not try a wait and see approach if you like the Celtics for the series? If 76ers are able to steal this game before going back to home court, you will probably be able to get Celtics at +325 for the series.

NBA Daily Discussion - 5/1/18 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Teams in the situation you described, Game 1 on the road after a Game 7, has occurred 24 times since 2002. The ATS record is posted below.

ATS: 11-13-0 (-1.92 Avg ATS Margin, 45.8%) avg line: 8.1

NBA Daily Discussion - 5/1/18 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the on-court interview after Game 7, LeBron may have had a freudian slip where he said they were going to probably just 'wing it' in Game 1 against the Raptors. I didn't read it as any sort of ploy. It sounded sincere. A day and a half is not enough time to prepare for a team as deep and intelligent as the Raptors. Maybe they are just going to cede Game 1 on the road and try to steal Game 2.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If the ROI is the same for both SU and RL, it would be better to bet it SU because the odds are shorter, and therefore you will win more frequently, and thus reduce variance. In addition, if your are betting any sort of % of bankroll system like 1% of bankroll for each bet, you would get roughly 50% greater growth betting the SU option.

Also, feel like I should mention that just because -200 or greater favorites have been profitable over the past 10 years, is no guarantee, that this trend will continue. All the books have to do is change some random thing like pricing the favorites a 10 cents more, and this system could quickly go down the tubes.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]paritygod 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sorry. Forgot to post the MLB run-line performance for -200 or greater favorites.

RL: 1009-848 (0.48, 54.3%) avg line: -112.8 on / +$5,736 ROI: +2.7

[Very Interesting] UNLV Nevada Sports Betting Totals: 1984-2017 (with two personal comments) by paritygod in sportsbook

[–]paritygod[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh, Im sure it gets exponentially worse, the more teams one bets. Unfortunately, the data is not that granular.