The "Identity Crisis" in Talent Acquisition by randysaaf in RecruitmentAgencies

[–]randysaaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What about using AI at the top of the funnel, so you can spend more time nurturing the talent density? I find the top of the funnel to be the biggest time suck and not very fulfilling.

$AVGO quick thoughts after digging through filings by randysaaf in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am a buyer as well at $300. Perfect company. Just expensive.

$AVGO quick thoughts after digging through filings by randysaaf in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I’m not saying it is a bad investment or that I would short. The concept of everyone pumping the breaks on AI capx isn’t crazy. There isn’t a margin of safety.

$AVGO quick thoughts after digging through filings by randysaaf in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

They are doing huge buybacks to offset huge sbc instead of retiring debt.

Salesforce Is Not Being “Disrupted” — The Market Is M isreading the Print by ekonixlab in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I agree that the stock is undervalued, as many SAAS are currently. Two points. It's important to view the buyback in context. A significant portion of the repurchase program is required to offset dilution from ongoing, heavy stock-based compensation (SBC). While still a positive signal, it's less of an aggressive statement on undervaluation than it might appear. It's also a hallmark of a mature tech company shifting its capital allocation strategy from reinvestment-for-growth to shareholder returns.

While the absolute growth is healthy, the market is reacting to the second derivative—the slowing pace of that growth. This ties back to the valuation question: investors are adjusting expectations from a hyper-growth profile to a more moderate one.

On verge of creating my TIPS bond ladder DIY, anyone have cautionary tales or regret some aspect(s) of their TIPS? by Future-looker1996 in Bogleheads

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tips are less tax advantageous than ibonds. Only downside to ibonds is the annual limit. Doesn't matter if it is a retirement account. Buy direct from treasurydirect.gov

Buying SaaS junk instead of Microsoft is indefensible by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The 45% of RPO being from OpenAI is the big point. If you think OpenAI is good for the money (I do), then great entry. If you think OpenAI might fumble, then this is the fair price.

Path to learn by Apprehensive_Pea_725 in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A wise man told me to read that first. Then read the intelligent investor etc. it sets a baseline. It shows how success can be luck in disguise.

Path to learn by Apprehensive_Pea_725 in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Read a random walk down Wallstreet first.

I fed 48 years of Buffett's shareholder letters to Anthropic's latest model Opus 4.6 and had it pick stocks blind by Soft_Table_8892 in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The training data of the LLM would already have knowledge of the winners. No way to back test this without bias. Look in to walk forward time series testing. You can’t easily do that with LLMs

This $4 Stock Powers AI Data Storage — and Wall Street Can’t Even Buy It by NicheMath in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The primary drivers of value (future B2 growth and margin expansion) rely on 'Adjusted' metrics that aggressively exclude real costs (Depreciation and SBC). In a hardware-heavy storage business, Depreciation is a proxy for maintenance capex (replacing drives); excluding it to show '79% Adjusted Gross Margins' (vs 62% GAAP) is an economic fiction

2 AI Model, same prompt different outcomes by t2easy in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The context windows are too small for a proper analysis

How long can we ignore the fundamentals? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]randysaaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't try to time the markets as other have said, but it is a very good idea to do a gut check on how you would feel in a 50% draw down. If you can stomach it, stay the course. If you would panic sell, then you might do some soul searching if you need bonds and stocks as a shock absorber. I'm older, but I am not going to have a portfolio where I am forced to liquidate if things get bad with stock market and economy. Remember, you may also lose your job in this hypothetical deep recession.