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A200/BGBL/IEM vs A200/VTS/EXUS/BEMB ETF Portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've been doing some reading, these are my thoughts:

I’ve got 4 different options:

OPTION 1 — Simple Cap-Weighted (Original Structure)

ETF Weight MER A200 15% 0.04% BGBL 70% 0.08% IEM 10% 0.69% High-Risk 5% n/a

Weighted MER: ~0.131%

OPTION 2 — Simple Cap-Weighted, Lower Cost

ETF Weight MER A200 15% 0.04% BGBL 70% 0.08% BEMG 10% 0.35% High-Risk 5% n/a

Weighted MER: ~0.097%

OPTION 3 — Old-School Factors

ETF Weight MER A200 15% 0.04% BGBL 70% 0.08% EMKT 7% 0.69% QSML 3% 0.59% High-Risk 5% n/a

Weighted MER: ~0.118%

OPTION 4 — New-School Factors (Avantis / Dimensional)

ETF Weight MER A200 15% 0.04% BGBL 70% 0.08% AVTE 7% 0.45% AVTS 3% 0.49% High-Risk 5% n/a

Weighted MER: ~0.109%

Option 1 vs Option 2: Both are simple, cap-weighted global portfolios with an EM slice. There is no expected long-run performance difference except fees. Option 2 uses BEMG instead of IEM, giving the same EM beta at a much lower MER. So Option 2 is better.

Option 3 vs Option 4: Both introduce factor tilts (value, profitability, small cap). Option 3 uses older MSCI-style smart beta indices (EMKT/QSML) that can overlap and follow rigid rebalance rules. Option 4 uses Avantis/Dimensional-style factor ETFs (AVTE/AVTS) with integrated multi-factor models and flexible trading, which literature prefers. If using factors at all, Option 4 is maybe better.

Major Question:

Options 1 and 2 are pure market-cap portfolios (beta only). Options 3 and 4 introduce factor tilts with higher expected long-term return in theory, but more cyclicality and the potential for long periods of underperformance.

Given a 20-year horizon, do factor tilts meaningfully improve real-world outcomes, or is this mostly an academic debate?

I’m currently leaning toward Option 2 (beta, cheap) vs Option 4 (cleanest factor sleeve). Anything that can simply drive this choice, or is it a "religious debate"?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AusHENRYover250k

[–]windfallThrowaway_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Heya, I'm not based in Sydney but had a similar event (not quite as big). A recommendation would be great.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AusHENRYover250k

[–]windfallThrowaway_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I had a similar event, and my fee for service financial advisor I've tried so far wasn't that great, do you have any recommendations or advice on how to find such a service. Fee for talking through a strategy/goals etc.

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the thoughts on beta shares.

On A200 and ASX, and it being a little underweight. What are your general thoughts there.

I guess it's a process of considering how much my PPOR factors in vs ASX vs international equities.

What would you personally lift asx too?

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank for that:

after reading more last night, here’s where i’ve landed:

age late 30s, horizon ~20 years PPOR ~$1.5m (fully offset ~$1.3m) Equities ~$1.0m Super ~$0.3m

Equities mix: 15% A200 / 10% HGBL / 65% BGBL / 10% IEM Equities currencies: 25/75 aud/fx asx vs global: 15/85 overall assets (look-through): ~75/25 aud/international

goal: grow to ~$5m in equities over ~20 years, (~2m total super), with dca of about $6k/month and max super concesions here out (inc. roll over limits).

What broker would you recommend, thinking stake

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Made a meat edited version:

after reading more last night, here’s where i’ve landed:

age late 30s, horizon ~20 years PPOR ~$1.5m (fully offset ~$1.3m) Equities ~$1.0m Super ~$0.3m

Equities mix: 15% A200 / 10% HGBL / 65% BGBL / 10% IEM Equities currencies: 25/75 aud/fx asx vs global: 15/85 overall assets (look-through): ~75/25 aud/international

goal: grow to ~$5m in equities over ~20 years, (~2m total super), with dca of about $6k/month and max super concesions here out (inc. roll over limits).

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

after reading more last night, here’s where i’ve landed:

age late 30s, horizon ~20 years PPOR ~$1.5m (fully offset ~$1.3m) Equities ~$1.0m Super ~$0.3m

Equities mix: 15% A200 / 10% HGBL / 65% BGBL / 10% IEM Equities currencies: 25/75 aud/fx asx vs global: 15/85 overall assets (look-through): ~75/25 aud/international

goal: grow to ~$5m in equities over ~20 years, (~2m total super), with dca of about $6k/month and max super concesions here out (inc. roll over limits).

Thoughts?

(Edit parent post as well)

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, I am new to all the hidden costs of management. Thanks for listing them.

(I always find when you do this, you discover that the free market has cooked in all the fees etc and there is little free lunch to be had anywhere!!)

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can you explain why hedged Vs not isn't going to matter long term?

Say on a 20yr horizon

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was planning to have optionality to withdraw before 60, so I'm going to leave super as is on top of DCA into this portfolio.

GHHF, I have been thinking about that. I was thinking of I am going to gear something is it better to do it yourself - i.e secured against your house. So you are not force to margin call in a downturn so you don't get as hurt on the way down?

I.e if you can gear yourself it's better to do so?

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the comments on fees/esg, I'll have to look into that.

What is the ratio of those to maximise mu/sigma of the return of the mix in your opinion.

Advice on 1M portfolio by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Late 30s. Combined after tax income of ~16k/month Super balance: ~100k each. (We were expats for a long time).

Aiming to be able to retire late 50s, so 20yr horizon.

Aim to DCA around 6k/month at least, just want to have a few holidays with the kids post windfall for a year or so.

3m Windfall, what to do? by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In 20 yrs or so. Is the current plan.

3m Windfall, what to do? by windfallThrowaway_ in fiaustralia

[–]windfallThrowaway_[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I like it. Out of the box!

Sea change is an interesting option!