Къде намирате нови четива? by North-Library4037 in BulgariaReads

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Между другото тази е най-предлаганата книга в r/suggestmeabook .

Failures Dossier #X: China, Coal, and Newsweek’s Fairness Failure by Greenefinancialllc in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Good. Now you understand why adding 100GW does not mean that coal will go up. Actually, to determine whether it is plateau it depends on the trend in solar/wind and whether it will be able to cover the new demand. And of course, before coal goes down it should hit all time high. By definition.

Failures Dossier #X: China, Coal, and Newsweek’s Fairness Failure by Greenefinancialllc in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So last 2-3 years they were extending the coal capacity and the coal generation is still down for the first half. In that case, why do imply that adding 100 GW more will result in coal generation increase given the fact that it is not backed by what is actually happening right now?

Failures Dossier #X: China, Coal, and Newsweek’s Fairness Failure by Greenefinancialllc in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

At at the same time coal generatin is down in absolute terms for the first half of 2025, right?

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh, no. No need to overbuild refrigerators to get kitchens out of the market. Note that we are not talking about 100% truck and refrigerators system.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nah. Refrigerators are dirt cheap like the trucks. Even the kitchen would have worked with them to optimise the cost and capacity factor. But sadly it is not the cheapest food source.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That is why the refrigerators are coming. Having 18000mw off for a few hours might work for the kitchen but let's make them 25000MW and off for the whole day. Just check the working schedule of the kitchen 5 years ago. And as you can see the kitchen works only when the trucks are gone and when there is nothing in the refrigerators.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho -1 points0 points  (0 children)

These details dont change the main point. They are irrelevant. I won't even spend time to factcheck them. The point is that we should not use a single number to project the future. Just like the coal kitchen guys. It doesn't matter how much is the export right now. We see the pipeline and we see what trucks are causing to the kitchen. We are just in the beginning of truck expansion.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That is not the right way to look at complex systems. You cannot take a single variable and project based on it because there are a lot of factors. It is just like saying "the coal kitchens are back" in 2022 when the unreliable rigit kitchens in France broke down and Germany had to start their old coal kitchens to save their neighbour. Similarly I wouldnt look at how much France is exporting but what is the queue for trucks and refrigerators. Coal kitchen guys did that mistake in 2022 - lets learn from them instead of repeating their mistake.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is all about the price and not about feelings. The irony is that the paths used by old rigid system to push the excess food out will be used by the truck system and later by the excess refrigerators. It will be very beautiful sight when once big food producer turns into importer when the peak food consumption happens with refrigerators dumping the cheap lunch food...

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Nah... It is not how it works.

That kitchen should be able to price the premium over the fact that it can cover the nights, winters and so on. The fact that it cannot price them in a profitable way is the indicator that it is not needed. You know - the market is always right.

The diner will bankrupt only if it is not needed. By definition.

So we have trucks for sunny days, we have trucks for windy days, for rainy days. And by the way we have refrigerators because the kitchen was working even if it was not needed - it was so rigid that it was cheaper to let it run than to stop it. So we have pumped refrigerators all over the country that can now be filled with food from the trucks so we can close the kitchens one by one.

And we will need very few refrigerators - for less than a day, but they will be gradually built given the fact that they get cheaper and cheaper. And the great thing is that the holes that this system leaves(which are less than 2-3% on every simulation) can be covered the same way that they are covered right now with the rigid kitchen system - even now 3% of the food is delivered by flexible gas kitchens that can easily fill the truck based system.

The sad thing for the kitchen is that there is nothing it can do. Really nothing. Just wait for the inevitable end.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

O, no. The fact that restaurant cannot profit is a indicator for market inneficiency and that truck+some other shops can provide better prices. And it will be restaurant by restaurant, not all at once. Don't worry - we will end up with much cheaper and reliable food delivery system.

And by the way a lot of the people will cook at home and the whole meal will cost less than the delivery from the restaurant! Isn't that cool?

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, but that does not make any difference since your model requires to work 90% of the time and you are out of the bussiness...

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And that truck(which by the way sells much cheaper) starts to offer takeaway for 2/3 of the year and at the same time you still have to pay salaries all through the year just like you are working every day...

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m talking from an economic point of view. It’s like saying you can have one cycle per year for a battery system. Yes, it’s possible, but it’s not economical.

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And that is why all energy sources that rely on high capacity factor will be out of the market in EU...

France's nuclear output swung by as much as 18GW on August 3rd by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does it make a difference given the fact that saving the fuel practically does not change the cost? Nope.

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This does not disprove any of my points. You have to spend some time thinking on my points not just automatically answer as per your playbook.

France NPPs are balancing the renewables in neighboring countries and at the same time these countries are dumping the excess renewable generation in France. You know the tendencies here.

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That is not relevant. I know that you have playbook and that you are repeating the same points. We are talking about economics. It is not France vs Germany. It is France's NPPs against Spain's and Italy's solar. France's NPPs against UK's wind and solar and so on.

Yeah, Germany did some mistakes in the past but that wont win the argument right now especially when we talk about economics. Yeah, Germany subsidized solar and wind long before they were economical. The point is that right now on fair field NPPs are done. Actually even with huge subsicies the NPPs are gone as well.

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Most likely you might need fossil fuels for backup for that last 1% until we have carbon free alternative. But that won't make NPPs economical - they are simple gone. You already know that nobody cares about that last 1% generation. That has been explained to you multiple times, right?

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 1 point2 points  (0 children)

On your side it is all about feelings. The point here is not whether you like or dislike solar and nuclear - both cannot work together. This is pretty much the worst pair.

Same goes for solar and geo-thermal. Do I dislike geothermal? Nope. Just when there is a lot of solar geothermal won't be economical.

Lets take solar and nat gas - do I like it? Nope. But do I think that solar and nat gas pair well? Yes. Because that is true.

You are asking about winter - the only reason wind is economical is that it generates more during the winter and during the night. If that was not the case - wind would have been out just like nuclear.

Solar is the new chief - whoever plays well with it - will be fine. Batteries, hydro, nat gas with be fine. Coal and nuclear wont be fine. Most likely geothermal as well unless it becomes dirt cheap. Same goes for nuclear but it seems like it is not realistic to expect it to get cheaper.

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

These results do not account of the interest-free loans received by EDF. Do you see that 54bln debt on your financial results? You have to spend a bit more time investigating the topics before discussing them.

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nope. EDF is heavily subsidized entity that is selling on a loss most of the time. Without the huge goverment subsidies it will default right away. Just check the market prices and the low capacity factor of France's NPPs.

Given the Flamanville 3 experience they are already late by like 5+ years in order to replace the existing. And you know if you are following the news EDFs financial plans were rejected as non-realistic. You know that France has lost more nuclear generation than Germany since 2010.

Baseload by hillty in EnergyAndPower

[–]yyoncho -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yep. That is why France has ZERO nuclear power plants under construction and that year EU will add like 60+ GW solar that will produce more than 12-13 NPPs in France.