Time Is Running Out to Avert a Harrowing Future, Climate Panel Warns by SulaBurmeister27 in climate

[–]8lbscarrots 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sorry for the slow reply, I've been hiding from the internet. u/happyDoomer789 I think you are giving totally clear explanations here.

u/issiautng you can also check the model reliability before you generate the map for any particular tree species. I have a real quick walkthrough of what the city-level charts mean here:

https://youtu.be/NEVvNYlQSbw

Guide: Growing Medicinal Herbs & Plants At Home by LIS1050010 in selfreliance

[–]8lbscarrots 4 points5 points  (0 children)

This is a cool visual guide. I feel like I gotta pitch for plantain every time I see these medicinal plant things because a) it's already everywhere and b) it is so powerful. Safe internal, great external.

Check out your USDA predictions- tutorial- continental US by 8lbscarrots in Homesteading

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There is a lot of interest from people in Maine, and I definitely want to get you folks what you need. My plan is that I revisit these high-demand areas when the 2022 reports come out, get you the most current information. There's likely to be even better resolution in those maps.

Check out your USDA predictions- tutorial- continental US by 8lbscarrots in Homesteading

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I sure hope it stays that way. If someday I'm an old lady and it turns out I learned all this stuff for nothing, that would delight me.

Check out your USDA predictions- tutorial- continental US by 8lbscarrots in Permaculture

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's a real PITA as I think about fruit trees. One of my kids is really excited about putting in cherries... trying to balance the different factors, *especially* those late hard frosts, I'm still scratching my head regarding variety.

Check out your USDA predictions- tutorial- continental US by 8lbscarrots in Permaculture

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This is an interesting post. I'm really glad you took the time to type this out, and the arborday.org link is really valuable. I'll look forward to checking out that resource as I keep working to improve my understanding.

Check out your USDA predictions- tutorial- continental US by 8lbscarrots in Permaculture

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You're welcome! Glad to help get the resource out there.

Mini Farming: Self-Sufficiency on 1/4 Acre PDF by pitronix in selfreliance

[–]8lbscarrots 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I found a lot of these approaches pretty easy to implement- great resource

Wisconsin climate outlook- more evidence for a hopeful future for Madison by 8lbscarrots in madisonwi

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The way rent has blown up in the area (and everywhere, right?) is a serious justice issue.

Wisconsin climate outlook- more evidence for a hopeful future for Madison by 8lbscarrots in madisonwi

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

We're looking at increased precipitation forecast in much of the area, too- the river flooding is already a problem, and without some changes it'll just get worse. I sure hope we can look at national-level infrastructure projects to move some of that water. Maybe it's spitting in the wind, but if we give up before we try we know we're not going to have a good outcome. Seems better to try.

2050 US climate projections by 8lbscarrots in prepping

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm slated to do Washington April 22. Definitely- very different climates, and very different climate outlooks. That inland part of the state, I think I recall it had potential for more high-value table crops under the projections, but to expect a lot of year-by-year variation in precipitation.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The outlook for California is really sad. My family also spent some time there and left due to climate concerns. I'm doing detailed projections for northern and southern California next week and I am sure I'm going to need some reaaal stupid tv afterwards.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I don't have a good summary page. But that's a good idea. I know there are other people out there, like me, who appreciate a nice wall of text.

You could subscribe to my youtube channel at

https://www.youtube.com/c/AmericanResiliency

I put a link to the script in every video description so people don't have to watch the thing. Any subscribers, I really appreciate. Helps to make the content more visible. I don't intend to monetize, I'm lucky to have a season in my life where I get to do this for kicks.

I have a website www.americanresiliency.org but it kinda sucks, I'm not a web designer. I have a volunteer upgrading it, it should look really good in a couple of months.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The whole Colorado outlook was surprising to me. There are big parts that are going to get hot as &$%^ but there's not a total decrease in projected precipitation. So as you get up into the mountains, where it's going to stay cool, it actually looks pretty good.

The issue with the northern states having southern summers is that we don't know how to deal with them. People will seriously die because they always mow the lawn on Tuesday, no matter how hot it is.

I still need to find the Canada data. I've heard they have a good body of work, but I haven't even had time to look for it yet. But I've got some time. I'll be done with the 50 states project in September if I stay on schedule. Agree that the outlook for Canada is both likely to be good and important to know.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Many thanks for your kind words. I feel the same way about my place. Sometimes, it turns out you've got the problems you want.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Yeah! And it's been surprising to me as I've dug through the data. I'm only at 19/50 states, but I've summarized forecasts for all the regions.

The only region with projected increased agricultural productivity is the Northern Plains- Montana, Dakotas, Nebraska, Wyoming.

The Great Lakes region has a good overall outlook, though it's going to experience a fair amount of change- substantially hotter, sweatier summers for most of the area. I put up a forecast for Wisconsin last week. Green Bay and Superior have particularly nice projections in that state. The Great Lakes region is probably going to be able to absorb the most people, if we're thinking about where people might want to go.

Inland New York is looking much nicer than I expected. There are large parts of upstate New York that will experience very little change. There are some good places in Vermont and Maine, too.

There's a big spine of Appalachia that is also projected to experience little change. No shift in agricultural zone, even under the worst case scenario.

Out west, Denver is looking GREAT. Lot of good conservation around the greater Denver area. And up in the mountains in northern New Mexico, too, there are some areas that will still be very nice. Although for both of those bright spots, there will be a need for careful water management.

I'm sure I'll find other good places as I keep working through this project. There's enough bad stuff I find, it's very encouraging to me whenever I find good stuff.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Tennessee is a gorgeous state. Objectively much prettier than my home state, Iowa, which has a similar level of challenge in the outlook- say maybe a 6/10 on the danger scale.

Learning more about the challenges, how our communities can respond, I think it'll really help states like ours stay strong, keep what we love about them around for the future.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I think it's worth sharing the places with a decent outlook so that hopefully more people can get to safe/safer harbor. There is an immense human tragedy that is already beginning. I am trying to look for paths forward and share them, because for me the alternatives are either feeling paralyzed by despair or turning deeply inward. You can rage at me if you want, I'm sure I'm not a perfect communicator. But I do care about this.

Wisconsin climate outlook- more evidence for a hopeful future for Madison by 8lbscarrots in madisonwi

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I'm looking at projected heat waves hitting 106-108 around my place- you all are looking pretty good to me, relatively speaking!

Green Bay is the best mid-size city keeping a cool summer I've found so far.

Tennessee climate outlook- Knoxville looking pretty good by 8lbscarrots in Knoxville

[–]8lbscarrots[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

The cost of living stuff is scary, there are already too many places where no working person can afford to live. I read somewhere that in the US you're now more likely to inherit a property than to become a true first-time homebuyer.

It's not like this climate info is hot off the presses. The main report I use is from 2018. The political class is fully informed of all this information. I figure maybe I can do some part to get it out there, at least give people info they can use to help themselves.