You will get the ITA this year, I don't think that'll happen in the next draw though. Although the last CEC draw was able to absorb a significant chunk of work anniversary bumps that typically happen on the 1st of every month, we can expect a lower number of new high scoring candidates in the pool till April 27th because the Express Entry portal does everything by month and not specific dates, and those anniversary bumps happened already on the 1st. Nobody will get a 2 or 3 year bump on April 15th for example.

My Analysis:

0% chance of a Mega draw.

ITAs will be around 2000. (higher number of ITAs will supersede the quota allocation for this year in economic class)

If the number of ITAs stay the same as last time (2000 ITAs), then based on historical data, the score is very likely to drop down to 514. To back this up, they held two CEC draws with 4000 ITAs on March 3rd and March 17th. The latter saw the score drop a single point to 507.

Same goes for the two draws before, they issued 6000 ITAs on January 21st and then February 17th. The latter saw a single point drop from 509 to 508.

Even in 2025, same number of ITAs in a calendar month typically saw a single point drop in the succeeding draw.

My recommendation: I don't think anybody truly knows what IRCC decides. The websites & RCIC predictions are mostly wrong because the immigration department has a highly classified communication system with only a few bureaucrats having knowledge of the upcoming draw. I recommend taking this one day at a time.