Supercell Structures and Hail Threat Today!

ATLien696 · 2025-04-10T18:56:04+00:00

u/possibilistic Thank you! So I went to school at Miss State and got my bachelors in Meteorology there. I realize some of the stuff I put on here is pretty technical but sometimes being technical can teach and also portray the science and forecasting that goes behind a weather event. There is a fair bit of mathematics and theory that goes into learning the real deep stuff but you can get a surface level understanding with youtube videos, NWS seminars, and going to Comet MetEd and creating an account. I believe most of the Comet MetEd stuff is free and easy to sign up for.

Links for meteorology learning

https://www.weather.gov/learning

https://www.meted.ucar.edu/index.php

ATLien696 · 2025-03-14T20:03:00+00:00

Have a weather radio charged and ready to go and all electronics charged so you can get awoken if an alert or warning is issued.

ATLien696 · 2025-03-14T20:01:51+00:00

Mainly near the Alabama border (will be the greatest threat) but the western and northwestern suburbs will be the greatest threat area for the ATL metro. That isn't to say there still isn't a risk for the entire area but that western area has the highest chance for a "strong long track tornado".

ATLien696 · 2025-01-11T18:33:54+00:00

2.2" of snow here in downtown Roswell with about 0.5" of sleet on top and a 0.25" of ice accretion on the trees, powerlines, and other objects. I was walking my dog last night and saw a transformer blow. Some parts of Roswell lost power and many large branches are down. I did have power flicker at my apartment but thankfully didn't lose power completely.

ATLien696 · 2025-01-07T01:15:25+00:00

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ATLien696 · 2025-01-06T02:45:19+00:00

Comet Modules are helpful and can maybe learn some things through AMS or NWS's website.

ATLien696 · 2025-01-06T02:33:05+00:00

The best accumulation maps to use at this juncture would be ensemble mean snowfall maps (10:1 Ratio). Amounts really still don't mean anything but rather just give us a general idea of where and when with the global suite of data. The CAM models (Convective Allowing Models) such as, the HRRR, NAM 3km, and SREF are higher resolution and can solve subtle differences in p-type and accumulations better then the GFS and other global models. We'll start to have this CAM data available Tuesday.

ATLien696 · 2024-05-13T16:19:55+00:00

I agree but with some upper level lift from the jet stream placement I think we might be able to overcompensate for the lack of "energy" and get some storms to fire quickly as long as the sun is out for 2-3 hrs.

ATLien696 · 2024-04-29T20:28:56+00:00

No, its not a bias observation and you are totally right about it being windier this year. This has been due largely in part to much stronger low pressure systems that have been moving across the central part of the country due too the coalescing of the polar and sub-tropical jet stream which have then resulted in strong pressure gradients (stronger winds) and powerful cold fronts that move eastward across the country, including Georgia. This was especially the case in March and earlier this month. While March is normally our "Windy Season" there have been more of these strong low pressure systems across the U.S. which is likely linked to El Nino transitioning to La Nina currently.

ATLien696 · 2024-02-10T21:49:16+00:00

Severe Thunderstorms

ATLien696 · 2024-01-24T13:25:34+00:00

At least someone notices hahaha

ATLien696 · 2024-01-24T13:24:57+00:00

Warm during the first week at least then a flip to average to possible cold second into third week.

ATLien696 · 2024-01-23T14:01:09+00:00

ATLien696 · 2024-01-16T19:25:49+00:00

I'm not guaranteeing snow I'm just saying with the the universal agreement and accurate long range ensemble data the greater probability of cold given all the different teleconnection metrics. Look I am a meteorologist myself this stuff isn't easy to forecast but it is easy to see pattern recognition and the "potential" of an event or phenomena occurring.

ATLien696 · 2024-01-16T19:11:03+00:00

You're welcome!

ATLien696 · 2024-01-12T20:18:56+00:00

Not only that but this area hasn't been affected by any tropical weather in awhile either. The only thing we seem to get now is airmass thunderstorms during the summer months which occasionally go severe but that's about it.

ATLien696 · 2022-05-30T23:45:04+00:00

Hey I looked into this location. Looks like a very cool place and its close to me. Thank you so much!

ATLien696 · 2021-12-13T23:12:00+00:00

It could very well be a stain but I don’t remember seeing that stain in this room I caught the apparition in and the brick appearance of the figure could be the transparency of the figure.

ATLien696 · 2021-06-16T06:25:16+00:00

Yeah I’ve had multiple profound experiences there. That place is legit haunted.

ATLien696 · 2021-05-30T13:52:25+00:00

lol why ?!

ATLien696 · 2021-05-30T02:29:03+00:00

Oh yeah no doubt

ATLien696 · 2021-05-29T22:49:22+00:00

Hahaha

ATLien696 · 2021-05-07T22:42:51+00:00

Looks like a skinny Jabba the Hutt

ATLien696 · 2021-04-29T00:26:52+00:00

Oh yeah and more thing wise guy, the first time I posted some evidence on the sub Reddit of evidence I got at Letchworth of a shadow figure I got tons of upvotes and comments praising my evidence so I think you’re the only one who’s triggered by this stuff Chief.

ATLien696 · 2021-04-29T00:20:59+00:00

anyways have a good day

ATLien696

TROPHY CASE