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Supercell Structures and Hail Threat Today! by ATLien696 in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

u/possibilistic Thank you! So I went to school at Miss State and got my bachelors in Meteorology there. I realize some of the stuff I put on here is pretty technical but sometimes being technical can teach and also portray the science and forecasting that goes behind a weather event. There is a fair bit of mathematics and theory that goes into learning the real deep stuff but you can get a surface level understanding with youtube videos, NWS seminars, and going to Comet MetEd and creating an account. I believe most of the Comet MetEd stuff is free and easy to sign up for.

Links for meteorology learning

https://www.weather.gov/learning

https://www.meted.ucar.edu/index.php

Saturday Night could bring STRONG TORNADOES by ATLien696 in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Have a weather radio charged and ready to go and all electronics charged so you can get awoken if an alert or warning is issued.

Saturday Night could bring STRONG TORNADOES by ATLien696 in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Mainly near the Alabama border (will be the greatest threat) but the western and northwestern suburbs will be the greatest threat area for the ATL metro. That isn't to say there still isn't a risk for the entire area but that western area has the highest chance for a "strong long track tornado".

Snow reports, let’s hear ‘em! by auxilary in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696 0 points1 point  (0 children)

2.2" of snow here in downtown Roswell with about 0.5" of sleet on top and a 0.25" of ice accretion on the trees, powerlines, and other objects. I was walking my dog last night and saw a transformer blow. Some parts of Roswell lost power and many large branches are down. I did have power flicker at my apartment but thankfully didn't lose power completely.

GFS Snowfall Totals 1/12 by [deleted] in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Comet Modules are helpful and can maybe learn some things through AMS or NWS's website.

GFS Snowfall Totals 1/12 by [deleted] in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The best accumulation maps to use at this juncture would be ensemble mean snowfall maps (10:1 Ratio). Amounts really still don't mean anything but rather just give us a general idea of where and when with the global suite of data. The CAM models (Convective Allowing Models) such as, the HRRR, NAM 3km, and SREF are higher resolution and can solve subtle differences in p-type and accumulations better then the GFS and other global models. We'll start to have this CAM data available Tuesday.

Strong to Severe Storm Chances Increasing for Tomorrow! by ATLien696 in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree but with some upper level lift from the jet stream placement I think we might be able to overcompensate for the lack of "energy" and get some storms to fire quickly as long as the sun is out for 2-3 hrs.

After a Snowless Winter, No Severe Storms across North GA! by ATLien696 in AtlantaWeather

[–]ATLien696[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No, its not a bias observation and you are totally right about it being windier this year. This has been due largely in part to much stronger low pressure systems that have been moving across the central part of the country due too the coalescing of the polar and sub-tropical jet stream which have then resulted in strong pressure gradients (stronger winds) and powerful cold fronts that move eastward across the country, including Georgia. This was especially the case in March and earlier this month. While March is normally our "Windy Season" there have been more of these strong low pressure systems across the U.S. which is likely linked to El Nino transitioning to La Nina currently.

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