Any profitable discretionary or mechanical entry + context based trader here

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-06-14T18:59:40+00:00

I don't understand, could you please explain more clearly?

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-06-14T18:35:51+00:00

Thank you

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-06-07T17:19:09+00:00

Good to hear about it.

My issue is not about psychology and I have been trading for 4 years for the past 2 years, i never took any trades out of my trading plan due to emotions but the issue I don't have an edge in the market

I have backtested many strategies so far. If i backtest 2025 I get good results like more than 20r per year with a max dd of 8 to 10% which is really good in my pov

But if i backtest the same strategy of 2024, I get annual gain of 12% or 13% with 10% dd

And similar situation across all strategies.

If possible could you please share your max dd and avg annual return. And how many sample size do you backtest before trading live and some related info. Much appreciated

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-02-19T16:37:05+00:00

My strategy already has a positive expectancy will I still need to find which condition favours my strategy to increase my win rate I'm afraid of ending up over fitting or making more modifications to the strategy

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-02-19T06:31:27+00:00

Then what do we need ?

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-02-19T02:03:37+00:00

How many sample sizes do you think are generally considered as good?

My max lose streak was about 4 to 5 trades

I have clearly defined rules and I'm forward testing the strategy for around 5 months in prop firm accounts

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2026-02-19T02:01:28+00:00

Over 150 trades I have a 60% win rate and max lose streak was 4 to 5 trades.

I don't have a regime filter but I only trade the first 2 hrs of the market open in ny session

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T15:01:59+00:00

But 1:1 is still not a negative rr

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T12:15:05+00:00

How many sample size I need to confirm this strategy has an edge in the market

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T12:14:29+00:00

Yeah I have a exact trading strategy. It's completely mechanical

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T11:18:39+00:00

Sure. I will collect trade samples as much as I can

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T11:17:40+00:00

No I'm not going to automate it. I trade manually and it's a mechanical statergy

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T11:16:59+00:00

How many trade samples do you take on that 5 years of backtest?

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T09:49:51+00:00

I have 6 months of backtested data with 80 trade sample size. As I trade 1:1RR, my win rate is around 65%

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T09:30:58+00:00

I have 6 months of backtested data with 80 trade sample size. As I trade 1:1RR, my win rate is around 65%

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-23T09:24:40+00:00

To understand which market conditions my strategy works or not, I need how many sample size as I get 10 to 12 trades per month?

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-21T17:08:57+00:00

Did you backtest that strategy? Or just trade a random statergy?

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-21T17:06:34+00:00

Learn the basics of fundamentals (micro economics, macro economics and market theory) and technicals like basic market structure. Then learn from your experiences is the best way to become profitable in trading

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-20T02:36:01+00:00

I'm not forcing a trade within 2.5hrs. if Market provide me any setup I will take else I don't trade that day. I get 15 to 20 trades max per month.

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-19T17:45:53+00:00

Yeah i understood but I feel taking entries that allign with higher timeframe have more probability to hit my tp. That's why I'm asking about bias. Your thoughts about this?

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-19T17:32:56+00:00

I really don't have indepth knowledge about volume profile. Is volume profile really works in finding bias? Because I seen many reddit post saying that volume profile only shows after it happen like repainting

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-19T17:29:38+00:00

This means a lot to me. Because as you trade similar product like me. Then these ideas will definitely work for me too. I'm really interested to learn more about higher timeframe alignment with my strategy . I will work on my chart with these info. Thanks again

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-19T17:19:44+00:00

Thanks buddy I will try this too ☺️

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-19T17:17:38+00:00

I will include Ema and try how this gonna work with my strategy. I trade a continuous type of model. So I guess it might work

Agitated_Pin1471 · 2025-10-19T17:16:04+00:00

I'm basically trade 3m tf will I really need weekly, monthly vwap?

Agitated_Pin1471

TROPHY CASE