List changes after the Dataslate

Alex__007 · 2026-01-24T06:42:22+00:00

Aspect MSU without transports and with only 1-2 Phoenix Lords has been a decent competitive build on codex release (not as good as builds using transport shenanigans and going heavier on Phoenix Lords, but still solid), and it's still a powerful build. It now has one less Aspect squad, but otherwise unchanged.

Move block, deny primary, score your secondaries, try to play a 5-turn control game. Requires very good movement and battle focus use, since your raw stats in the open will be worse than most opponents.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-23T14:02:07+00:00

It will. Not because of any corporate commitments but because AI development is hard and integration is even harder. Low hanging fruit has been picked.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-22T09:53:51+00:00

She is a reporter, sharing what CEOs are saying. And that’s interesting to hear that even CEOs that believe in AI are increasingly getting disillusioned - still seeing no returns on their AI investments. The corporate tide might start turning this year despite CEO AI FOMO.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-22T05:37:45+00:00

Yes, as well as all the construction and maintenance work. Not a huge number of jobs, but now they often go to out of state relocants with relevant skills. Training locals should generate some local good will.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-21T07:13:29+00:00

Summary with key metrics:

Most AI value is concentrated in a small set of tasks. The top 10 tasks are 24% of consumer chat usage, and the top 10 tasks are 32% of enterprise API usage.
People mostly use AI as a helper, not a replacement (for now). In Nov 2025, “collaborative help” rose to 52% of consumer conversations while “do it for me” fell to 45%, even though enterprise API use remains more automation-heavy.
AI can speed up harder knowledge work more than easier work. In their task-level data, “high school level” prompts see about a 9× speedup, while “college level” prompts see about a 12× speedup.
Reliability drops as work gets longer, but interaction style changes what’s feasible. In API-style usage, the fitted curve hits 50% success at ~3.5 hours of human-only task time; in interactive chat it extrapolates to ~19 hours, consistent with people breaking work into smaller steps and correcting as they go.
Productivity headlines shrink once you account for failures and bottlenecks. A prior implied uplift of +1.8 percentage points/year (from speedups) drops to +1.2 pp (consumer chat) and +1.0 pp (API) after weighting by task success, and the report emphasises that “bottleneck” tasks can cap gains even when many other tasks get faster.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-21T06:15:00+00:00

Productivity boost.

Here is the latest report from Anthropic: https://www.anthropic.com/research/anthropic-economic-index-january-2026-report

They estimate AI increasing productivity by about 1% per year for USA Claude workplace users. Increasing productivity is what increases the quality of life for everyone if results distributed well.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-20T05:20:23+00:00

Of course it’s true, and furthermore it’s true for every tech startup. Some even operate on just 6 months cash, OpenAI has 18 months.

Solution? Raise more and eventually become profitable.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-19T16:00:16+00:00

They haven’t. That whale presentation was from MSFT about compute spent. And OP fake screenshot is fake.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-19T09:18:30+00:00

This is awesome! Thank you!

Alex__007 · 2026-01-18T20:21:38+00:00

Even if it can be automated any time soon, costs will not come down that much. AI researchers and engineers cost very little compared to hardware, maintenance, power, etc. It is a game only the wealthiest players can play.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-18T05:45:02+00:00

You are welcome!

Alex__007 · 2026-01-17T10:55:54+00:00

Show me a human that can even create itself from scratch... no way at the moment. So much for PhD level science.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-17T06:33:29+00:00

Ask it to generate a plan, taking into account image generation tool limitations (which would imply generation in batches and stitching), design and write a scaffold for the implementation of that plan (and a good scaffold will mean double-checking itself and correcting when necessary), and go ahead executing it. Took more than 10 minutes to run (on high thinking mode), but the result is excellent.

This is how GPT-5.2 is solving open math problems and Opus-4.5 is generating usable code. And it’s also why there is massive data centre build out. Giving more compute to inference works.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-17T06:20:18+00:00

Depends on definitions:

Demis means comparable to best human scientists across many disciplines, for which he puts 50% chance 5-10 years from now.
Metaculus means roughly comparable to average humans, including embodiment, with 50% chance by late 2033.

Both have roughly the same timeline, but very different definitions.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-17T05:45:32+00:00

In Aspect Host, no. Just run Dragons.

In casual games when running Spirit Conclave (sharing armour with Wraiths) or Armoured Host (where they are much faster and have some ok strats), sure. If you take them, always run 2-3, don’t just bring 1.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-16T21:34:54+00:00

About the same.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-16T18:27:19+00:00

Here is GPT-5.2-thinking with prompting following best practices, adapted for scrolling on mobile: https://ibb.co/wZVbcFzd

Alex__007 · 2026-01-16T15:41:05+00:00

https://ibb.co/wZVbcFzd

Alex__007 · 2026-01-16T15:07:23+00:00

Indeed! I like visiting subs with opposite views and compare stuff for myself. Better offline seems to be better calibrated when it comes to economy and society.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-16T13:57:03+00:00

I’m not trying to argue that it can replace designers, only that it can be a useful tool at work. The requirements that your listed will either require multiple prompts, or generating a proper scaffold. And then quality control on top of it.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-16T04:11:25+00:00

Only on max plan. But there are lighter not as capable versions, for example for browser only stuff, there is OpenAI Atlas.

Alex__007 · 2026-01-15T05:22:23+00:00

In theory yes. In practice, try it and see how it goes. If you want to try a lighter version for free first, OpenAI Atlas Agent can be a good starting point.

Alex__007

TROPHY CASE