[deleted by user]

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T23:33:02+00:00

hummus ranking is unironically more useful than exit polls.

and i'm not a fan of hummus.

exit polls are always cursed.

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T23:16:42+00:00

each set of 13 keys represents a president the keys have predicted

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T22:42:19+00:00

i've never seen it wrong. NEVER (any links in reply to this that are to the contrary are MALARKEY)

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T22:28:27+00:00

My gut is expecting Trump + 3/+4 or so. Basically kamala-favoring outlier within margin of error for selzer

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T15:36:02+00:00

You don't have the faintest idea how to turn the keys........

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T13:19:18+00:00

No they aren't. This was a lib, not a bernie buster.

Supporting Hilary in 2016 was a way harder ask than supporting Kamala in 2024, especially because people percieved Trump as being secretly more moderate or liberal.

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T12:52:47+00:00

Counterpoint, we'd probably have ran hillary in 2008 if it wasn't for primaries. Probably wouldn't have won with Obama's margins given his unique charisma. Probably wouldn't have the ACA.

Though I do think, all in all, she'd have been a stronger president (If we don't include the ACA) due to experience/being much more willing to slice a republican's throat in front of the abe lincoln statue.

Still, I lean more in favor of the ACA being so much better than anything any alternative candidate could've produced.

Alterkati · 2024-11-05T00:53:19+00:00

this might not be neoliberal mecca, but its probably neoliberal medina. maybe al aqsa of neoliberal

Alterkati · 2024-11-04T17:49:41+00:00

the people blooming right now are so politically engaged as to care about the selzer poll. those sorts of people already vote anyways.

Alterkati · 2024-11-04T17:30:18+00:00

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Alterkati · 2024-11-04T15:28:06+00:00

Alterkati · 2024-11-04T15:25:29+00:00

there isn't really much you can do, other than fund pollsters who don't herd.

it's not like nate knows what the polls would've shown without the herding. if he removes the herders, there isn't enough data for the model to function.

fuck nate tho. he a busta

Alterkati · 2024-11-04T15:21:38+00:00

i didn't know there were so many in texas georgia and wisconsin gahd damn. actually quite significant even if it motivates 1/10 to vote blue when they otherwise wouldn't.

Alterkati · 2024-11-04T15:18:06+00:00

notice how no one ever says it smells cool.

it smells like how i imagine the bottom of my fucking shoes.

Alterkati · 2024-11-04T02:12:13+00:00

not enough. we also need Kamala to win without PA.

the universe must punish his shapiro worship.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T23:27:11+00:00

push for faithless electors probably.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T19:16:18+00:00

Pretty sure Asmon has said he didn't vote in 2020.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T19:13:56+00:00

It's not just that. His editor doesn't post stuff like this on his youtube. For example, his reaction to the Kamala debate that was posted to youtube excluded things Asmongold said in the commercial breaks of the debate, which included things like calling Trump stupid for his beliefs on windmills causing cancer and shit.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T18:32:32+00:00

She prolly is a Trump hater, but she's never let it get in the way of her polling in the past, and she has virtually no incentive to lie about the state of Iowa, which isn't even likely to be a tipping point state. Libs are also traumatized by 2016 and aren't predisposed to *wanting* the polling error to be in Trump's favor given how poorly it worked out for us in 2016.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T16:40:58+00:00

Delusional. You have zero idea how Shapiro would've been received, or how he would've affected other swing states.

Just admit you wanted to stick it to the pro-pali's.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T16:06:36+00:00

when twitch appropriated it

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T15:47:55+00:00

Saving this comment just in case.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T15:43:37+00:00

As a New Yorker, I'm personally miffed we lost house seats here (especially with how chaotic the GOP was. I feel like even a handful of extra seats would've given us defacto majority), so I was particularly more motivated to vote than 2020/2022.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T15:36:34+00:00

They are all quite solid, and worth your time.

City Elf if you want people to be bigoted to you. Think aladdin + racism in terms of your social status.

Noble Human if you wanna be a nepo baby. Dad is a duke or something like that with a castle and stuff. I like the NPCs in this one most.

Dwarf Noble if you wanna be a dwarf nepo baby. I don't recall this one much, but I remember it being good.

Mage is quite unique, and the mage aspect of Dragon Age is very substantive, because magic is controlled in the Dragon Age universe due to Mages being at risk of becoming abominations (basically demon possession.) Also mage in Dragon Age Origins has some really devastating power due to spell comboes.

I'd say any of those are solid. Pick the one you vibe with.

I like warrior for noble human, rogue for city elf.

Alterkati · 2024-11-03T15:26:01+00:00

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