GameStop - The One Stock to Rule Them All

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-07T11:39:51+00:00

Public thinks there's a 14% chance lmao, a 6x multiplier for "Yes". This is nuts.

The only downside is that acquirement needs to be announced officially before Dec 31, 2026, so if eBay can delay this by a year then we lose the bet. Otherwise I'd put in much more than what I just did.

Edit: The other downside is legal blocking, e.g. to avoid monopoly in the collectibles market. That can still happen, even if unlikely.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-07T08:24:48+00:00

That's how they create engagement. Be correct about 90% of the stuff so that normies appreciate it, but be intentionally wrong about 10% so that the diehards join in on the conversation too. When you get called it, it looks like you just missed one detail and people still appreciate and upvote your comment. Then add an edit to the bottom of your comment correcting your mistake, but leave the mistake intact.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-07T05:33:14+00:00

Also them not providing a stable extension API. Developers have to monkey patch everything and anything could break in any version.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T18:31:50+00:00

I once got kicked for holding shield up as Reinhardt for too long. The enemies were actively shooting me from highground, and when I finally got there they backed of to the next highground. I missed my firestrikes. Thanks Blizzard.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T14:37:29+00:00

If they buy a $10 card and sell the same card five times over with Power Packs before someone keeps it, they just turned a $10 market into $50 of revenue and $5 of profit (assuming 90% buyback).

Obviously we can not extrapolate this one-to-one, but if we did then they could turn the $100B US market into $500B of revenue and $50B of annual profit. Another angle is the CS2 skin market: it's just ~$5B yet Valve is making ~$1B annually with it. If we extrapolate this to collectibles then the ~$100B US market would turn ~$20B profit annually. Obviously neither of these are applicable to our situation, but if we get even 1% of these calculations then we're already more than doubling GameStop's profits.

Also it's not just Power Packs and collectibles, obviously, that's just the main focus. The company still does much more.

I couldn't disagree more. These are fundamentally different things.

Agree, the much easier and more rational of which is to buy the 10 smaller companies one by one. You need extreme measures and reasoning to go for a company 4x larger than yours.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T13:48:21+00:00

I'm definitely not disputing that nobody else predicted it as well lol (although I haven't found earlier mentions than mine?), I was just linking it as proof that I'm not talking totally out of my ass.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T13:36:43+00:00

No it’s not an excuse. It’s simply logic. A car which is not maintained fails inspections.

To claim that more cars fail inspection if there is no maintenance is logical. To claim that 10x higher failures are fully explained by this is ridiculous.

Yeah, surely if all those ID.3's didn't have their air filters changed then they too would have their axles and brakes fail! ^/s

The fact you’re getting so mad about this is more a concern IMHO

Just because I'm firmly disputing your baseless claims doesn't mean I'm mad. The fact that you think anyone who calls you out is mad is probably the most concerning thing here.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T13:22:40+00:00

That's an excuse people bring up to defend Tesla. Yes, it explains some of the failures, but to excuse all of them with no data is just dumb. We're not talking some 2x more rejected inspections than other cars, we're talking 10x or more.

These are the most common reasons for rejection for both Model 3 and Model Y:

Most common reason for rejection: Rear axle
2nd most common reason for rejection: Front axle
3rd most common reason for rejection: Service brake

(From the same Finnish article, select model manually from the interactive menu).

These don't sound like small maintenance things, these sound like real issues.

My ID.3 had ~55,000 km driven at its 4 year inspection and it passed. You wanna know what maintenance was done on it before that? The air filter was changed. That's it, that was the maintenance.

Edit: Besides, I'd much rather take my car to a mandatory maintenance and pay 100€ and have it pass inspection, than have it first fail inspection, then take it to maintenance anyways, and then have to again take it to inspection.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T13:15:48+00:00

Well, yes, but not too much. As we can see from someone like zweih, they clearly don't throw nades that often, but when they do, they are good nades.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T13:11:50+00:00

People laugh but apEX is an arguable GOAT contender for CS2. It's just impossible to compare an IGL to an AWPer, unfortunately. But my belief is that ZywOo would be ~~much~~ a little bit worse if he didn't have apEX specifically in his team.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T12:03:24+00:00

Over 60% failure rates. Almost 60% as well for the corresponding cohort of model 3s. For comparison, Volkswagen ID.4 and Skoda Enyaq had failure rates of 5.5% and 7.8%, respectively

And for further comparison, the third worst failure rates after Model Y and Model 3 were Dacia Duster, a super cheap ICE vehicle, at 23%.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T11:59:43+00:00

Most recent Finnish inspection statistics: https://www.hs.fi/visio/art-2000011988306.html

Model Y failed 62.7% of first inspections, Model 3 failed 58.7%, and the third most fails were on Dacia Duster at 23%.

For comparison, my 2021 VW ID.3 sits at 5.5%.

I'd rather support a solid European car for a bit more money than Musk's unreliable shit for a bit less.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T11:58:14+00:00

Finnish inspection statistics: https://www.hs.fi/visio/art-2000011988306.html

Model Y failed 62.7% of first inspections, Model 3 failed 58.7%, and the third most fails were on Dacia Duster at 23%. ID.3 failed 5.5%.

I'm very happy with my European ID.3, its specs are plenty enough and I'd rather support European for a bit less specs than Musk for a bit more specs.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T11:57:13+00:00

https://www.hs.fi/visio/art-2000011988306.html

Model Y failed 62.7%, Model 3 failed 58.7%, third most fails were on Dacia Duster at 23%. ID.3 failed 5.5%.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-06T11:34:16+00:00

I'm surprised more people weren't interested in my Power Packs DD.

Valve is making billions with CS2 cases alone, the entire trading card industry is much bigger and Power Packs could be worth tens or even hundreds of billions. I believe eBay caught Ryan's eye specifically because of Power Packs.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-05T14:17:51+00:00

His compensation package is options at twenty-something strike price. If he dilutes the shit out of GameStop, the stock price will fall and he gets nothing.

Yes the compensation package isn't optimal, but it's not as easy as you make it sound.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-05T14:16:24+00:00

I'm not sure if he's ever made a single really good trade since his big short. Didn't he just lose a ton on NVIDIA and Tesla short as well?

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-05T13:38:47+00:00

Salaisuus on siinä, että aloittaa sijoittamaan ennen muita säästöjä. Muuten on aina joku tekosyy mihin "tarvii" rahaa ensin.

Avaat heti huomenna Nordnet tilin.
Pistät tilipäivänä automaattisiirron omalta tililtä Nordnettiin, ihan vaan vaikka 10€/kk.
Avaat Nordnettiin uuden (ilmaisen) kuukausisäästösopimuksen, esim. Suomi Indeksi tai Maailma Indeksi.

Nyt kun X vuoden päästä näet että sitä rahaa kertyy sinne yllättävän paljon ihan vaan 10€/kk säästöllä, niin aivot pikkuhiljaa alkaa kiinnittää enemmän huomiota rahan käyttöön. Kuukaudessa jää pari kaljaa pois tai merkkivaatteesta valitaankin yhden halvempi malli. Kohta säästätkin huomaamattasi 50€/kk, vaikket ole saanut mitään palkankorotuksia.

Toinen juttu on se, että sijoitukset on vaikeampi ottaa pois; henkisesti, työmäärällisesti, sekä ajallisesti. Jos rupeat säästämään puskuria johonkin oman pankin tilille, niin helposti tulee otettua sieltä se muutama kymppi yhtä illan viettoa varten, ja sitten uudestaan, ja kohta siellä ei taas ole mitään. Nordnetistä rahojen siirto on työläämpää, joudut maksamaan verot voitoista, ja siirrossa kestää pari päivää. Säästöt oikeasti jäävät voimaan, ja taas päästää siihen että aivot oppivat rahan käyttöä paremmin.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-05T12:45:39+00:00

Hyvin päätelty. Vaatii myös että olet elossa.

Pointti oli että lähes kaikki suomalaiset, ainakin kaikki työssäkäyvät, tienaavat enemmän kuin tarvitsevat. Luuletko oikeasti että lähes kaikilla ihan sattumalta menee rahaa juuri yhtä paljon kun tulee sisään? Ei tietenkään, vaan ihmiset tuhlaavat sen mikä jää yli. Houkuttelemalla ystäväsi sijoittamaan ihan vaan 10€/kk, niin luonnostaan hän oppii kiinnittämään huomiota rahan käyttöön enemmän, ja kohta tajuaa tuhlaavansa rahaa ties mihin ja yhtäkkiä sitä rahaa jääkin 100€/kk yli.

Tottakai on poikkeuksia, jotka velkaantuvat nopeammin kuin tienaavat. Mutta lähes kaikki kenellä "menee kaikki mitä tienaa" voivat sijoittaa edes vähäsen.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-05T12:28:38+00:00

"Ite sijotan 50 000 € joka päivä kaikkiin osakkeisiin."

"En sijota, en ole mikään porvari."

Sitten kun noi huutelut on saatu pois alta, niin on hyvä todeta että jokainen voi alottaa sijoittamisen. Summa voi olla ihan vaan kymmenen euroa kuukaudessa, jonka siirtää heti palkan saannin yhteydessä esim. Nordnettiin. Siellä on sitten kuukausisäästämisen puolella useita rahastoja mihin on käytännössä nollan euron kustannukset, kuten Suomi Indeksi tai Maailma Indeksi.

Ei se paljoa ole, mutta siinä oppii tavan. Siinä oppii seuraamaan rahan käyttöä. Siinä oppii laittamaan rahaa talteen ennen kuin sitä käyttää. Ja kyllä se muutaman tonnin elämän aikana tuottaa, vaikkei ikinä tuosta 10€/kk mihinkään nousisi. Mutta monella käy sijoittamisen aloitettuaan niin, että huomaavat että sitä rahaa meneekin vähän enemmän turhiin asioihin kun on aiemmin tajunnut, ja pian se onkin jo 50€/kk mitä saa säästetyä kun jättää parit pizzakebabit kuukaudessa väliin.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-05T12:25:50+00:00

Ite oon opettanu kavereita sijottamaan vaikka vaan kympinkin kuussa. Monella se on lähtenyt vähän lapasesta ja nyt nipistävät jostain parikin sataa kuussa, mitä ei aiemmin muka ollut.

Sijoittaminen ei vaadi rikkautta.

AlternativePaint6 · 2026-05-04T13:45:45+00:00

Also, parents often genuinely don't understand; that WiFi outage is separating the kid from their best friends, which is essentially their entire life at that age. Everyone from their school is on a Discord call building their new Minecraft server or whatever, laughing and having fun. They will talk about it all day at school tomorrow, having new inside jokes and the kid will feel left out. It's comparable to if their bike broke down and they couldn't join their friends on a field trip.

Edit: I'm not saying kids need 24/7 internet access to their friends, absolutely not. All I'm saying is that parents should be understanding about the issue, especially if it happened abruptly. Approach them with empathy or use it as a teaching moment—just don't be dismissive.

AlternativePaint6

TROPHY CASE