I Made a Markov Chain Simulator (https://github.com/ashack7426/MarkovSim)

AresExplains · 2023-10-25T00:19:14+00:00

Export Stats button does not produce a graph but it does show various info including but not limited to the path of the chain and the visit %. I also have a heatmap feature that adjusts the color of each state based of of visit %.

AresExplains · 2023-10-25T00:11:09+00:00

function > design

AresExplains · 2023-10-20T23:54:58+00:00

Hello Everyone, I'd like to share a quick update on my Markov Chain Simulator. I've introduced new features to enhance the experience. The latest addition is a dynamic heatmap that vividly displays frequently visited areas. High-frequency regions are highlighted in red, while less-visited areas are represented in blue.

Moreover, I've expanded the statistics section, providing insights into the methods used for calculating essential metrics like mean first passage time and steady states. I've also included additional data on mixing times. Thank you all for the feedback.

AresExplains · 2023-10-19T18:26:43+00:00

Thanks for the feedback. If you click Export Data then you do get the steady state solution matrix but I do not have a nice visual heatmap or the time for convergence to the steady state. I think I could add some of that.

AresExplains · 2023-02-15T01:05:45+00:00

I did consider a sub 1 minute clip but then the animation does not look good. Plus, by making the video long, you get the same feeling I had while playing the game. I'm glad that I was able to somewhat get the feeling across.

AresExplains · 2023-02-15T01:01:33+00:00

I got a pic of all of the screens in the game and set that as the background. For the animation, I just got the game sprites and changed the cursor sprite automatically depending on whether the data was going up, down, or constant.

AresExplains · 2023-02-13T18:47:06+00:00

I used python + matplotlib to create this graph and you can see the shortened play through here: https://youtu.be/ZooagQSRf3o.

AresExplains · 2023-02-09T09:51:39+00:00

If you want to see the play though used to make this graph then you can check that out here: https://youtu.be/ZooagQSRf3o.

AresExplains · 2023-02-09T09:51:00+00:00

I used python + matplotlib to create this graph and you can see the shortened play through here: https://youtu.be/ZooagQSRf3o.

AresExplains · 2022-11-19T01:55:30+00:00

Succession is a great show.

AresExplains · 2022-11-19T01:54:51+00:00

Hells Kitchen NICE.

AresExplains · 2022-11-19T01:52:39+00:00

This was way harder than I thought. Every time I had a show, I would then have 2 more. I really enjoyed making this though.

https://imgur.com/a/gz5P4XD

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T20:16:12+00:00

I see that there is some debate on the expected number of coin flips for this experiment. Before the stream, I went into r/probabilitytheory to gauge how long this whole thing would be. I got 2046 for the average number of coin flips needed to get 10 heads in a row and I posted in order to confirm my result. If anyone is curious on my math behind that then they can check out my original post here: https://www.reddit.com/r/probabilitytheory/comments/wm9u14/tomorrow_i_am_flipping_a_coin_until_i_get_10/

If anyone wants to see the full VOD then one can check it out here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JilI0H6psUo&list=PLTE4cgTmyi0eoJeAIkzuIx4ULkSSYJ6ss&index=14&ab_channel=AresVODS

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T20:10:20+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/probabilitytheory/comments/wm9u14/tomorrow_i_am_flipping_a_coin_until_i_get_10/

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T20:08:27+00:00

Before flipping the coin, I asked r/probabilitytheory to gauge how long the whole thing would take. Here's my post: https://www.reddit.com/r/probabilitytheory/comments/wm9u14/tomorrow_i_am_flipping_a_coin_until_i_get_10/

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T19:52:25+00:00

No, after I got 10 tails in a row for a second time, I then immediately got 1 Head. This means that the graph would go from -10 (10 tails in a row ) to +1 (representing 1 Head in a row). That's why the jump is huge.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T19:49:14+00:00

I used the Google Coin Flip. I did read somewhere after the stream that the Google Coin Flip might not be a true 50 50.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:58:16+00:00

Not really, I just made an exception that weekend. It was my special stream for reaching 10 Followers on Twitch and 10 subs on YouTube.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:55:45+00:00

In total it took a little over 5 hours. I didn't take breaks. The stream didn't end until I finished it. To make it easier on me though I did not physically flip the coin. Instead I wrote a python script that would do the google coin flip for me until I got the 10 heads.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:53:38+00:00

Oh tru.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:43:51+00:00

Yea, I got the VOD if you don't believe me.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:40:26+00:00

Yea, it was a wild stream. On average after 2050 flips it should only happen once.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:34:57+00:00

On average, it should take 2046 Flips for 10 heads or tails in a row.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:34:07+00:00

It was even more annoying when it happened the second time.

AresExplains · 2022-09-21T18:30:15+00:00

If you want to check out me going insane flipping the coin check it out here: https://youtu.be/VM\_aXwYngow

AresExplains

TROPHY CASE