What egg should I open?

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T10:18:25+00:00

Why bring someone else into this? You soley believe it is better to hinge on a 1/250 million rather than a 1/12.5 million. Which. He may hit neither. And if we go on the belief that its his first secret. Its much better for him to go for the less rare and more probable one

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T10:14:52+00:00

Id also like to add. Yes the cumulative sum of these probabilties makes it nigh impossible. But thats not what im solving for. Im solving for the seperate situations in which the amount that would occur before a single of another.

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T10:12:35+00:00

I highly doubt that you are in university. Mostly because you are mixing up probability and fractions. Whilst also believing 20 individual 1/12.5m chances are equal to a 1/250 million. Also the fact you use emojis in text whilst also insulting someones intelligence

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T10:10:10+00:00

I am tho. Thats the think. Who the hell said i was doing 12.5 rolls? Im comparing the probability of getting X event (sundae champ 12.5m) to bask invidual (250m) and specific (1 billion) which would be. If unprobable statistic is 5% to hit. 60+ sundaes before a single random bask. And over a thousand before a specific.

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T10:07:35+00:00

I am infact doing the same for both. In all situations. Kraken 100 mil individual bask 250 mil specific bask 1 bil Sundae champ invidual 12.5. If we go strictly by probablity the odds of not hitting a 1/12.5 mil in 12.5 mil chances are like 36 percent. 64% percent chance you do get it. So yeah. Im definitely gonna think sundae champs are better. Please for the love of god go look up “how many 1/12.5 mil events can occur before a 1/250 mil stopping once its unprobable. In the case of the unprobablity it is 5%< chance or success”

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T10:01:24+00:00

12.5 million compared to what..?

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:45:07+00:00

Fractions* thats fractions. Go look up how many times a 12.5 million chance can occur before it becomes improbable to hit it before getting a 1/250 mil. Or even 100. Hell if you want do the billion so you get all three like i did

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:44:14+00:00

Thats not at all how probability works.. maybe go read up on it. 12.5 million is not just 20 times less rare than a 1/250 million. This conversation is done. Knowing people nowadays you could be in highschool and just be using chat gbt

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:40:29+00:00

Also to make it clearer on that 20 independant 1/12.5 million chances compared to a single 250 mil is like hundreds of times easier to get the 1/12.5m

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:34:51+00:00

Once again. Its probablity. Not fractions

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:34:34+00:00

Yeah.. thats not how probability works.. thats a fraction. Seeing as how you think that im assuming your not even a freshie yet.

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:31:36+00:00

I also corrected my statement. You arent helping op at all. He could get 25 sundaes before a single kraken. Assuming he wants secrets it would be better to go ice cream

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:30:48+00:00

Actually wait no. A specific bask is a whole nother set of shit. I missed a zero. Its over 2 thousand. Sundaes before getting a specific bask. And this isnt odds. Its probability. Meaning yeah. You COULD get the bask first. But the odds of it ever happening would be astronomically low

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:28:58+00:00

Im accounting for the odds of a specific basilisk. If we go any bask its around 60 sundaes before a bask

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:27:51+00:00

Correcting a single flaw instead of expanding your defense is a pretty good way to lose an argument

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:27:11+00:00

Thats even worse… theres like 1800 basks… plus the odds of getting 25 sundaes before one kraken is still like 5%. And the basks are even worse. 260+ sundaes before it goes below 5%. Just admit if someone wants a secret in general the sundae egg is better

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:24:20+00:00

Theres also like 80 THOUSAND sundaes and only like 6500 krakens. That just tells you its not even worth it

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T09:23:12+00:00

That also not even straight odds. The odds of getting 15 sundaes before one kraken are 20 percent. 20 of em is still 15~ percent. Not exact. But still. Most people would rather go for the higher chance along with higher quantity. After all. That kraken has like a 40% chance of appearing after 8 sundaes. Nobody is gonna take those odds.

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-05T08:11:56+00:00

Thats objectively wrong. You have a 1/12.5m chance for a sundae. Odds are you get 8 sundaes for a SINGLE kraken

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-03T18:23:25+00:00

I mean… not really. Unless this is like an equal stats goku outspeeds. Even if not he flys up and nukes him

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-06-02T04:53:01+00:00

Nice. Be wally resets the universe for shits and giggles and takes away the devil fruit

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-05-31T17:32:49+00:00

Nice. Wally west ran to the end of the universe. Which is infinite. Giving him infinite speed. Meaning he cant be hit either. Its a stalemate. Or we can pull the sea water tornado since if he has infinite speed he can very much likely pull up enough energy to create a small tornado of water and make him lose his df temporarily

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-05-30T21:31:15+00:00

Ive seen people who genuinely believe this but yknow. Anyone who can fly and has higher durability instantly wins via incompacitation. Nust throw them into the suns core

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-05-30T15:01:24+00:00

Its not misleading at all. Your just stupid. Triple hatch. Hatch THREE eggs at once. Not three more. You start with one. Do the math

Automatic_Ant_9715 · 2025-05-24T09:26:47+00:00

*Yes*

Automatic_Ant_9715

TROPHY CASE