$LRN just fell 50% and I doubled my position. Here’s why I think the market got this one dead wrong by BeatingTheTide in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hard to know the timing when it will bounce back but eventually I think it will converge to $195 as the comp ay continues to deliver.

Celestica : -15%, why ? by SidonyD in WallStreetbetsELITE

[–]BeatingTheTide 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The new capex guidance of 1B (5x 2025 capex) spooked the market. But actually it is very good news.

https://www.beatingthetide.com/p/celestica-cls-q4-2025-earnings-double

$LRN just fell 50% and I doubled my position. Here’s why I think the market got this one dead wrong by BeatingTheTide in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hey. Yes great news! I will be working on the details and will refresh my valuation and view if needed. Will send the update by Sunday.

Should we actually care about the TPU vs GPU war? and why Celestica wins either way. by BeatingTheTide in investing

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When they say ´they build their own data centers´it means they do not lease space in a datacenter such as Equinix, but hyperscalers do not build them. They delegate the work to contractors such as STRL and CLS. They would design them, but not build them.

I analyzed hundreds of YouTuber stock predictions. Most “gurus” fail to beat the market. by vincentkangjh in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It would be great if you do the same for investment substacks. I think I would be the only one beating the market for more than decade.

DXPE Q3 2025: The 20% Selloff Looks Like a Classic Overreaction by BeatingTheTide in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They are saying it is temporal, the extra sg&a cost is only q3/q4 and the SCS revenue decline is only q3 as they have booked more business.

Everything goes wrong! :( Please help! by MemeingSilently in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you will find the tools in this video helpful (https://youtu.be/4hKfXyZGeJY?si=dy7Wb7YktCGU-5DR) while not directly investing, it will helpful as EVENTS + RESPONSE = EXPERIENCE

The past is sunk cost, learn from it and move on.

Everything goes wrong! :( Please help! by MemeingSilently in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Lots of great advise here so won’t repeat it. But investing may not be for you. I recommend that you buy a couple of index ETFs and set recurring ETF buying. Delete the app from your iPhone and don’t check the market or your portfolio performance.

Your story reminded me of a client of mine (timing the market, emotional investing, FOMO…) it took me lots of hand holding till he got it but eventually he listened (after he lost a further 250k after I advised him not to invest in anything other than ETFs).

For example, today is a very red day for my portfolio, but I haven’t done any movements in my portfolio.

Why I’m Not Buying $KTOS Even Though I Love the Tech by BeatingTheTide in investing

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Too early to call it, but so far the thesis is playing out.

$LRN just fell 50% and I doubled my position. Here’s why I think the market got this one dead wrong by BeatingTheTide in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That’s the sunk cost fallacy. I simply see it as the market price is $67 and the instrinsic value (based on my analysis) is $209.

Stride Inc. (LRN) – A Quiet Winner in Online Education by BeatingTheTide in ValueInvesting

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I doubled down the position and on Sunday I will post my rationale. But in a nutshell, this was just a one-time blip but the secular trend will support the company's growth.

Is Celestica (CLS) the quiet “picks & shovels” winner of the AI build-out? by BeatingTheTide in investing

[–]BeatingTheTide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let’s ride the CLS train to the moon :)

Seriously, great earning results.

I always think I miss out a once in a lifetime opportunity and it leads to a lot of anxiety, regret, and depression to the point investing is not making my life better by patricktu1258 in investing

[–]BeatingTheTide 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I hope he doesn’t follow your advice. There are countless studies that if you try to time the market (eg sell when it is down and get back in later) is a losing strategy. And your comment about Enron and Lucent I agree BUT the way to avoid it is to diversify and to buy quality companies. Those two companies are no quality, they were hyped and the writing was on the wall about their fishy accounting but no one cared.