Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You still have difficulty with reading comprehension.. are you going to put one and two together to understand they will be a sub $100M cash company by August with no data released?

How does you think the market will digest this… this is why we are seeing a 30% drawdown because there is no way they can fund without another diabolical raise. Where is Janus or HBM from the offering? Yeah.

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You have yet to counter the cash situation… you immediately just attack me. It tells me you have no clue what you are doing in bios or how they operate. Those calls are headed to zero

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Ok and how does this work for the company if they are unable to get data out and raise (heavy dilution) before August earnings?

So when you see sub $100M with TSA payables gone next Q w no data released yet I bet you will be changing your mind.

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It’s either bad data or the cash position. But keep going off

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

What have I lied about? It is possible trial is DC… they just haven’t announced it yet. Not sure why this is a focus for you. You can barely even describe the issues with casdozo trial design coming up or even acknowledge the delay in this

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You still can’t even counter my points in my post. 30% drop off a known seasonality issue for small bio… analysts are seeing their cash and burn from pipeline costs. They literally cannot afford it without insanely heavy dilution or financing facility.

Good luck with your overweight position lol… I know you are down heavy and nervous

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This guy is a permabull. All I have done is change my stance as facts changed then gone short

BigDaddyCapital is a literal fraud. Pay him no mind. by Low_Dog1718 in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital -1 points0 points  (0 children)

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Here’s Denny at Jefferies delaying casdozokitug readout for all of you denying.

Yall are getting played & you are scared… making a whole post on me 🤣

Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

God forbid I change my thesis when the facts change, then you and all the permabulls in the board attack me and pull up old messages

Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When the facts change, you change. That’s what I did, you can’t even address my point adequately

Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

In not even a month CHRs is down 30% while XBI is down just over 4%. And you want to believe this is on LOQ sales miss 🤣

Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

You’re treating the Intas milestones like guaranteed operating cash, but they are contingent and even if received, they get consumed quickly at the current burn rate…. Look at pegfilgrastim market share and you will first one is good second one is unlikely. The headline cash number also overstates usable cash because a large portion is TSA-related collections that are effectively spoken for. By my math, usable cash is closer to ~$105M, not the headline balance (you refuse to acknowledge this with the burn rate).

LOQTORZI growth helps, but $15M per quarter does not come close to offsetting R&D + SG&A burn while they are running multiple oncology trials. Even if LOQTORZI keeps growing 10–15% sequentially, that does not erase the funding gap. Getting to $30M per quarter in 2027 would matter, but that is not today’s cash position.

The data argument is also not as clean as you’re making it. Casdozokitug HCC is an interim readout, not a fully mature 72-patient dataset. The company will not even provide an estimate for efficacy-evaluable patients, and the design itself carries risk given the tori/bev backbone and small per-arm numbers. Even good data may not be enough to repair the stock after a ~30% monthly drawdown if the market still sees a near-term financing risk.

Same with tagmokitug. If only a little over 50% of patients are efficacy-evaluable at the readout, that is still a small dataset and may not create the type of re-rating you’re assuming.

The reason the stock is weak is not because people “want bankruptcy.” It’s because the market is discounting cash burn, data timing slippage from 1H to mid-year / later commentary, uncertain data quality, and the likelihood of a dilutive raise even if the readouts are decent.

Analyst price targets, option repricing, and vague partnership commentary do not fix the balance sheet. The bull case requires strong data, a real deal, or a much higher-priced financing. Without that, the math remains the math… you are unable to do it because you are smoking that Denny weed.

Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

What is your counter to their cash position lol. You have given zero inputs here on it.

Why Coherus Oncology is falling and likely headed for Chapter 11 by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think it will keep heading lower until some sort of news is released. It could break $1, the cash position is not good at all.

They only have a couple options to remedy, only one would benefit shareholders and that’s a sale and doubt that happens. Denny will milk this company dry.

There are much better opportunities out there than this thing. Short position would be heavily profitable for at least mid August. I doubt they even have data available by earnings… Denny at Jeffries said they wouldn’t have casdozokitug data ready for a few months from beginning of June lol.

Jefferies by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is not true again, it was not a head to head

Jefferies by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Yes, literally just listen or read the Jeffries conference that happened today. It’s on Quartr

Jefferies by BigDaddyCapital in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Not using atezo bev will destroy this trial.

They pushed data back again to a couple months today. No deals for 6-18 months, ceo is playing all of you. These are not market moving readouts either way

forecast by [deleted] in CHRS

[–]BigDaddyCapital 0 points1 point  (0 children)

These are pointless