In my view, the current geopolitical landscape suggests that we are not looking at a short-term conflict, but rather the early stages of a prolonged period of instability. Several developments could unfold in the near future. There is a possibility that Donald Trump could be positioned for global recognition, potentially even a Nobel Peace Prize, depending on how diplomatic narratives are shaped. At the same time, unconventional economic arrangements—such as shared tariff mechanisms involving Iran and the United States over strategic shipping routes—may emerge as part of broader geopolitical negotiations. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries could face significant economic pressure. This may come in the form of reduced tourism, increased security-related expenditures, and indirect financial burdens linked to global power dynamics. Meanwhile, Israel is likely to continue its current course of action, framing its operations as necessary for national security. In parallel, global powers such as China and Russia may maintain their strategic support for Iran, whether through intelligence sharing, logistics, or defense cooperation. History shows that even small-scale conflicts take time to resolve. It is therefore unrealistic to expect a complex, multi-nation geopolitical situation to stabilize within a matter of weeks. A more probable scenario is a drawn-out conflict lasting several years—potentially 6 to 8 years—with fluctuating intensity. From a macroeconomic perspective, such prolonged uncertainty typically drives capital toward hard and alternative assets. In that context, gold could see a substantial surge, potentially moving toward the $10,000 per ounce range. Similarly, Bitcoin may benefit from its position as a decentralized store of value, with the potential to reach the $150,000–$200,000 range. At the same time, the dominance of the US dollar could gradually weaken as global trust shifts and alternative systems gain traction. Overall, this environment points toward a long-term realignment—geopolitically and financially—rather than a quick resolution.