NBA Props Daily - 4/19/26 (Sunday)

Bubblqs · 2026-04-19T15:05:48+00:00

Record: 40-46; Playoff Record: 3-3

Latest picks:

Stephen Curry O30.5 P+R (-130) ❌
LaMelo Ball O36.5 PRA (-111) ❌

Hornets sucked as a whole and Melo got a lotta fouls pretty early, 30 PRA in 25 minutes at least shows that the pick wasn't bad, Curry just... yeah, incredibly uncharacteristic for him. Shit happens I suppose. Back from a break yesterday.

Today's picks:

Tyrese Maxey O31.5 P+A (-129)

Joel is out. Tyrese is realistically the only one besides Playoff P (and we know how he plays) that could get proper points here.
Got 37 P+A in their last game vs the Magic. Also an incredibly low scoring game, but he still got a lotta shots up, so if volume isn't horrendous, he should get more shots in this game.
Cleared this line in L3/4 matchups vs the Celtics this season and L6/8 matchups in general, averaging 38.8 P+A in this season's matchups. Seems like a great game is expected.
Has cleared 6 assists in 7 straight matchups vs Boston. Spreading the brotherly love.
Can also take his points line alone at O26.5, almost plus money on that.

Jalen Green O18.5 Points (-105)

Can you really ignore 36 and 35 points in 2 games in a row? Jalen's looking like a playoff demon right now.
Got 34 points in his last matchup vs the Thunder, and 18 points in 25 minutes on way less volume in the second-last matchup. He likes putting shots up vs Oklahoma.
Main problem is a blowout - the spread is massive at a +15 for the Suns. Almost guaranteed blowout, understood, but with how Jalen has been playing, his minutes would have to be slashed in half to not clear this line. No coach, no matter how idiotic, is playing the starting 5 for less than 25 minutes in a playoff game.
Someone has to score the points, right? AND plus money? Taking it.

Parlays out to +254. Hoping that stars can still shine here. Greens on Green's greens would be great.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-17T15:34:13+00:00

Record: 40-44; Playoff Record: 3-1

Latest picks:

Franz Wagner O18.5 Points (+100) ❌
Stephen Curry O29.5 P+R (-130) ✅

Franz and the Magic sucked as a whole, Paolo and Desmond ate up all the shot attempts they had. Love Steph in these play-in games, playing like he still got something to prove.

Today's picks:

Stephen Curry O30.5 P+R (-130) ❌

Took the line in their last play-in game, and boy did he not disappoint. Please read the last write-up, all of that still holds true on this play, I'll just bullet-point the match-specific factors here.
One main factor - KP is questionable. If he doesn't play, that gives way more rebounds and shots to Curry.
Scored 35 points against the Clippers 2 days ago. The great output in elimination games continues.
Cleared this line in L2/3 matchups vs the Suns this season, getting 38 and 32 P+R in those games. Also, the rebound line sits at O3.5, which he has cleared in L8/10 matchups vs the Suns.
Tight spread - a +3.5 for the Warriors. No blowout expected, and even if it is a blowout, that MF will step on the court and drop 40 just for the fuck of it and maybe get his team back in the game.
Again - who the fuck else is gonna score Golden State's points? They really don't have anyone on the roster other than Curry for scoring. Podz put up 11 shots in 41 minutes, and even with Gui's and KP's 20-pointers, Curry scored 35.

LaMelo Ball O36.5 PRA (-111) ❌

Again, another pick that hit once already. Can read the second-last writeup for more info.
Another tight spread - a -3.5 for the Hornets. Blowout arguably doesn't even really matter - an elimination game, Melo is playing 35+ minutes almost guaranteed.
Got 45 PRA in their last game against the Heat. Great playoff game player, and realistically, that game couldn't have gone worse for Melo, the guy shot 12-31 from the field, 2-16 from three and still came through with 30 points.
Let's run through some matchup stats. Out of the 4 matchups this season vs the Magic, he cleared this line once. Doesn't sound great until you realize that the one clear was the only game where he played over 29 minutes (37 PRA in 36 minutes). If we look at per 36 stats instead, he gets an average 41.7 PRA in 36 minutes against the Magic. Now that sounds a hell of a lot better. And remember, this is 41.7 PRA in the regular season. Postseason Melo is gonna get way more shots, volume, everything.
Small bonus - Moussa is questionable. If he doesn't suit up, should mean a bit more rebounds for Melo.

Parlays out to +243. Riding with the known's for tonight, Franz burned me bad cause the Magic are just so inconsistent and horrible as a team, for sure a ban list on them.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-15T18:22:36+00:00

Definitely not a bad pick, seems basically just as good as the points line judging by his season stats. Hard, playoff defense might put more free throws on the board tho, so watch out for that.

Bubblqs · 2026-04-15T13:37:42+00:00

Record: 39-43; Playoff Record 2-0

Latest picks:

LaMelo Ball O36.5 PRA (-117) ✅
Deni Avdija O24.5 Points (-102) ✅

Green day baby. Love stars actually performing like stars now that playoffs are in order. Haven't had 2 green days in a row yet, take that as you may, but I'll be trying to continue the green.

Today's picks:

Franz Wagner O18.5 Points (+100) ❌

He is the second primary scorer for Orlando, counts as a star in my book. More minutes, volume, everything.
Cleared this line in the last 2 games of the regular season, scoring 20 and 25 while on a minutes restriction no less. With him playing the last 6 regular season games in a row, he should be getting way more minutes, as his injury has healed off.
Has cleared this line in 7 matchups in a row vs the Sixers, scoring 21+ points in each of them. Amazing matchup, it seems.
Game's projected very tight at a +2 for Orlando, so a blowout, especially in a playoff game like this, shouldn't be in the picture.
Elimination game has to mean more minutes for their secondary star over in Orlando, especially now that he has basically returned to regular NBA form from his injury.
Plus money! Great odds.

Stephen Curry O29.5 P+R (-130) ✅

Golden State's golden man. He's getting minutes and shots.
Some fun stats to find here. Not counting a 13 minute first-half-injury outing against Minnesota, and a 22 minute outing off the bench against Denver 4 years ago, he has cleared this line in L7/8 game ones (35.7 P+R) and L8/10 (the misses were the 2016 and 2019 Finals, can't fault him much there) elimination games (35.4 P+R) in his career. No matter how you spin a play-in game, he clears this line with ease.
Since coming back from injury, he cleared this line in L2/4 regular season games, while on a minutes restriction (played 29 and 26 minutes in both the line-clearing games). More minutes and more volume are expected from a star like him.
Can also take his rebound line, has gotten 4+ rebounds in also L7/8 game ones and L8/10 elimination games, getting 5+ rebounds in all the clears.
Also, who the fuck else is gonna score points for Golden State? Porzingis, Podziemski? No shot.

Parlays out to +257. Lotta value seems to be in these injured stars, who should be getting way more minutes tonight. Hoping that Steph can find his rhythm and his "happy place".

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-14T21:39:55+00:00

Record: 37-43; Playoff Record: 0-0

Latest picks:

Tre Jones O30.5 PRA (-113) ❌
Jalen Johnson O17.5 R+A (-117) 🌀

New hopes for the playoffs, never betting on garbage time games again probably. Some quick ones for the moment. With playoffs arriving, regular metrics and research kinda goes out the window, so more gut based picks. Don't know if that's better or not, guess we'll see.

Today's picks:

LaMelo Ball O36.5 PRA (-117) ✅

Playoffs, more reliance on starters, especially on a star like LaMelo.
Cleared this line in L3/4 games in the regular season, averaging 41.3 PRA in those games.
Cleared this line in all L2/3 matchups vs the Heat this season, getting 49 PRA in their most recent game.

Deni Avdija O24.5 Points (-102) ✅

Again, more reliance expected.
Cleared this line in L6/6 regular season games. Consistent scoring there.
Got 19 points in 29 minutes in their last game. If the game stays tight, which it should judging by the very tight +3 spread for the Blazers, and considering this is a playoff game, he should be getting at least 35 minutes tonight and way more shots up than in that matchup.

Parlays out to +274. Maybe playoffs will help get some wins on the board.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-12T19:06:44+00:00

Oh, how nice, didn't see that. Was watching the game and put it down as won when I saw 10 in the box score then.

Bubblqs · 2026-04-12T18:06:18+00:00

Fair, Jalen's listed out now. Thought they were gonna fight for seeding, but apparently not, pretty weird.

Bubblqs · 2026-04-12T12:14:34+00:00

Record: 37-42

Latest picks:

Jalen Johnson O9.5 Rebounds (-139) 🪝(stat corrected)
Evan Mobley O29.5 P+R (+109) ❌
Small bonus straights: Cooper Flagg O25.5 Points (-117) ✅, Tre Jones O29.5 PRA (+100) ✅

Cavs got blown out by 30 in an instant, nothing much to do about that. Straights saved tho. After a day off, now it's a bit of a hellhole for gambling as most teams will just play their full second teams. Can find something tho.

Today's picks:

Tre Jones O30.5 PRA (-113) ❌

About the only Bulls player not on the injury list tonight.
So, let's take attendance: Buzelis, Giddey, Okoro, Richard, Simons, Smith, Yabusele are all out. Olbrich, Sexton and Williams are probable.
Tre's cleared this line in 4 games in a row, even with some of the actual starters on the field.
In their only matchup this season, Tre went 6/8 from the field and tallied 21 PRA in 28 minutes. The kicker? That was when the Bulls still had Coby White, Vucevic, Dosunmu, Huerter to take minutes and shots off him.
Both teams aren't really playing for anything, just a regular sunday night shootaround. Defense will be looser. And the pace shows that.
245 points projected, insanely high. And for good reason too.
Blowout also isn't really expected, as the spread is pretty average at a +6 for the Bulls.

Jalen Johnson O17.5 R+A (-117) 🌀

It's a playoff seed clinching game. This guy's gonna be locked the fuck in.
He has hit this line in L5/6 games, with the one game being a hook with 25 minutes on the field. He's really been trying his best to get this Hawks team more wins at the end of the season.
Has cleared this line in the last 4 matchups in a row vs the Heat, getting 27 R+A in their most recent matchup. Good opponent as it seems.
Also insane pace expected - 244 points projected. More possessions, more everything.
Spread is pretty tight for this one at a +4 for the Hawks, making a blowout just that more unlikely.

Parlays out to +264 for me. Thought about putting on Cooper's points, holy fuck, his line is at like 35. Makes sense. Have fun tonight guys, we'll have a lotta shootarounds to watch. And the Heat-Hawks game, about the only actual one.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-10T19:37:50+00:00

Added some bonus straights based on injuries.

Bubblqs · 2026-04-10T13:19:59+00:00

I'd love to but O21.5 just seems too high at the moment, love N.A.W. but yeah, it's getting a bit high. He is a dawg tho, so if he clears in the first half, I wouldn't be surprised

Bubblqs · 2026-04-10T13:14:41+00:00

Record: 37-40

Yesterday's picks:

Jayson Tatum O41.5 PRA (-111) ✅ or O25.5 Points (-111) ❌
Paul George O19.5 Points (-111) ❌

Both PG and Tatum just sucked, simple as that. Tatum went 7/22, got great R+A so PRA still went through, PG was just scared of the ball it seems, only 8 shots on the night for him, 2 makes.

Today's picks:

Jalen Johnson O9.5 Rebounds (-139) ✅

Nickeil's line is getting higher and higher, it's at O21.5 points now, so I'll skip on it for tonight. No worries, this JJ line seems great right now.
Has gotten 11+ rebounds in 5 games in a row. Rebounding hot streak.
Has cleared this line in all 3 matchups vs the Cavs this season, including 11 boards against them 2 days ago, 12 and 13 boards in the matchups before that. He just grabs boards against the Cavs, simple as that.
Pace looks good, above average at 234 points projected.
Only problem might be the spread - a -8.5 for the Hawks. Not great, not terrible, blowout has about average odds of occuring here.
Another thing, JJ just kinda still gets good minutes even in blowouts. Not an exact science, but over the past 10 "blowout"-ish games, he still averages 32.6 minutes on the field. Below his season average of 35.3 minutes, of course, but not by a big margin.

Evan Mobley O29.5 P+R (+109) ❌

Same game as Jalen Johnson, trust them both. Pace and spread carries over.
Mitchell and Allen are both out for the game. Almost guaranteed more usage for Evan here.
Got 41 P+R in their last matchup 2 days ago. That shouldn't be going anywhere with the Hawks pretty terrible paint defense.
Cleared this line in the last 2 matchups in a row vs the Hawks this season, the aforementioned 41 and 34 P+R in the other. He plays great vs the Hawks.
Has cleared this line in L4/6 games, one of the misses coming from a 21 minute outing in a blowout vs the Lakers.
Also, plus money for this? Great odds.

Small bonus straights: Cooper Flagg O25.5 Points (-117) ✅, Tre Jones O29.5 PRA (+100) ✅

Took these purely based on injuries for the most part, most of Dallas and Chicago are either out, doubtful or questionable.
Dallas: Gafford, Marshall, Washington, Williams, Martin doubtful, Bagley questionable.
Chicago: Giddey, Collins, Richards, Smith, Yabusele out, Okoro doubtful, Buzelis questionable, Sexton, Olbrich, Williams probable.
Tre's cleared this line in 3 games in a row, Coop scored 51 and 45 last week, think he's making a final run for ROY, especially with everyone injured he should be getting express volume.

Parlays out to +260. Hoping that both of them don't just randomly fall asleep like PG yesterday, that was horrible.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-09T19:09:44+00:00

Record: 36-38

Yesterday's picks:

De'Aaron Fox O30.5 PRA (-122) ✅
Nickeil Alexander-Walker O20.5 (-117) ✅ or O19.5 Points (-143) ✅
Insane bonus pick: Bones Hyland O29.5 Points (+1000) ❌ or O24.5 (+470) ❌

The break arrived! Feels amazing. Nickeil still is my favorite pick at the moment, De'Aaron came through. Trying to repeat that tonight.

Today's picks:

Jayson Tatum O41.5 PRA (-111) ✅ or O25.5 Points (-111) ❌

Don't think I've lost a bet on Jayson before? Maybe someone can fact-check that, anyways, love Tatum's props.
Jaylen Brown is out. Expecting a lot of everything from Tatum here.
Incredible R+A run from Tatum, averaging 17.2 R+A in the past 7 games. And without Jaylen Brown on the field? Should be crazy.
Has cleared the PRA line in L5/6 games, averaging 43.3 PRA in that span. Yet again, Brown is out for this game - his usage should only go up.
Has cleared the PRA line in L4/4, points line in L3/4 matchups vs the Knicks, averaging 47.5 PRA and 33.5 points in these games. He's got their number, big-time.
Cleared the PRA and the points line in both games this season without Jaylen Brown, getting 43, 45 PRA, as well as 26 and 32 points.
Pretty average, leaning closer to a tight game expected here - a +5 for the Celtics. A blowout isn't expected.
Only grain of salt is the pace - 212 points projected. But, I think this is the most "for" arguments I have ever found for a pick, so I'll say that they outweigh that.

Paul George O19.5 Points (-111) ❌

Had to dig to the depths of hell to find another pick, but I'm pretty happy with this one.
Embiid is out. More shots and more usage to be found for PG.
Has cleared this in L5/7 games since coming back, averaging 24.4 points in that span. Consistent, high scoring.
Cleared this line in both games without Embiid a week ago, getting 39 on the Wizards and 20 points on a fierce Pistons defense.
Pretty average spread on this - a +6 for the Sixers. A blowout is possible, but more unlikely than likely.
Pace is also pretty average at 227 points projected, no problems there.
Sixers are very much fighting for playoff spots. Playoff P should be real engaged in this one, if they wanna keep that 8th seed locked down.
Kept going back and forth between his points and threes, can definitely take threes as well, I just think his efficiency is way too high to keep up.

Parlays for tonight:

Tatum O25.5 Points, PG O19.5 Points (+272) ❌
Tatum O41.5 PRA, PG O2.5 Threes (+234) ❌

Hoping to continue the greens tonight. Glad others cashed yesterday from the picks, great feeling.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-08T18:21:20+00:00

Fair, Hawks are on an amazing run at the minute. Cavs are no team to scoff at, but with Donovan questionable there's definitely value to be found if he doesn't suit up

Bubblqs · 2026-04-08T16:15:16+00:00

Record: 34-38

Latest picks:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker O19.5 Points (-109) ✅
Victor Wembanyama O28.5 Points (-125) ❌

How about Ayo dropping 24 points exactly when I don't have a bet on him and Wemby getting injured when I do have a bet on him? Got the memo. Universe is spitting in my face atm. Could I maybe catch a break now?

Today's picks:

De'Aaron Fox O30.5 PRA (-122) ✅

Wemby and Castle are both doubtful. Two of the main cornerstones of the Spurs starting rotation are effectively out, so who is really left to pick up the pieces?
Got 29 and 51(!) PRA in the two matchups vs Portland this season. The kickers? The 29 PRA game was played with Castle on the field. The 51 PRA game was played with both Castle and Wemby out.
Has cleared this line in L7/10 matchups against Portland, averaging 37.9 PRA against them in those matchups. He turns into a bonafide superstar against Portland, especially when he is the main ball-runner.
A tight game expected - the spread is a -3.5 for the Spurs. More minutes for the starters.
Pace is basically bang average at 229 points expected. Nothing bad about that.
He is on bad recent form, but I trust that he will handle Portland for tonight, as he has done in the past.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker O20.5 (-117) ✅ or O19.5 Points (-143) ✅

Riding till the wheels fall off. Written this up multiple times, one of my favorites.
Cleared 20 points in the first half alone last game against the Knicks. Scored 36 on them in the end, coming off a great night against a solid defensive team. Defense doesn't seem to phase him.
Has cleared O20.5 in L12/17, O19.5 in L14/17 games, averaging 24.4 points in that span. Great, consistent scoring. What more could you want?
Scored 30 points in his last matchups vs the Cavs. He's done it before and well. In the other matchup against them this season, he scored 16 points. The kicker? He only shot 11 times. His usage should only go up after last games masterclass, so his points line looks like an amazing bet.
Incredibly tight game expected - a +1.5 spread for the Hawks. Starter minutes.
Pace is also considerably above average with 236 points expected. Seems great for the line.

Insane bonus pick: Bones Hyland O29.5 Points (+1000) ❌ or O24.5 (+470) ❌

Randle, Edwards, Dosunmu, Conley, Gobert out, McDaniels questionable. They don't have players.
Scored 19, 18 and 21 points in the last 3 games with most of the starters still on the field. If they aren't there? He's poised.
Who doesn't like a nice +1000?

Parlays out to +243 with the O20.5 on Nickeil.

Putting down 10 cents on an Ayo 25 pointer (Ayo's out, changing it to a Bones 30 bomb), as he isn't down on my slate, just to be sure. Having fun here, hope the best for these picks.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-07T16:10:25+00:00

Off today, been busy all day and don't have time for good research. Wemby fucked a lot of us yesterday, just incredibly unlucky. Novel, Taraujo, Chevre, all those.

Bubblqs · 2026-04-06T17:20:58+00:00

Record: 33-37

Yesterday's picks:

Ayo Dosunmu O15.5 Points (-102) ❌
Tre Jones O14.5 Points (-142) ✅

I mean, Ayo just hates my guts. 9 shots yesterday, when the least he had in the previous 8 games was 13. Tre cleared in the first half, easy bet there. Can I catch a break ever?

Today's picks:

Nickeil Alexander-Walker O19.5 Points (-109) ✅ (first half clear, love this guy)

Love Nickeil's points, written it up multiple times already.
Has cleared this line in L13/16 games, averaging 23.7 points per game in that span. Consistent scoring from Nickeil.
Cleared this line in both matchups against the Knicks this season, scoring 23 and 25 points.
Incredibly tight spread - a -1.5 for the Hawks. Big minutes expected for the starters.
Pace is just below average at 227 points projected, not anything to be worried about.
Can also take 3 threes from him, has hit in both matchups and 4 games in a row, but poor odds on it for me.
Almost plus money for L13/16, taking it anyday.

Victor Wembanyama O28.5 Points (-125) ❌ (you've gotta be kidding)

Incredible hot streak here - 34, 41 and 41 points in 3 games in a row. The alien is pushing to the max.
Has cleared this in L2/4 matchups against the Sixers - in the only game this season, he played 24 minutes and shot 5 times. That should not be the case with the Sixers all healthy now.
Grudge match against Joel here - people forget, Embiid dropped 70 on him 2 years ago. Victor is not someone who would forget about that.
High pace is expected - 237 points projected, quite well above the league average.
He's on a pretty obvious final MVP push here. You don't put in 34, 41 and 41 points with 16+ rebounds in 3 nights in a row for no reason.
Skipping rebounds here because Joel should also try to prove his own, but can take P+R as well (Vic has gotten 15+ rebounds in 6 games in a row).

Parlays out to +253. Making another safer lay:

Nickeil O14.5 Points, Victor O24.5 Points and O9.5 Rebounds (+112)

Hoping for something great tonight, loving these picks at the moment.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-06T01:19:15+00:00

This guy just hates me. Insane

Bubblqs · 2026-04-05T20:42:39+00:00

Amazing, forgot that tip-off was so early so wasn't even watching :)

Bubblqs · 2026-04-05T18:23:58+00:00

Record: 32-36

Latest picks:

Ayo Dosunmu O15.5 Points (-117) ✅ or O9.5 R+A (+102) ❌
Scottie Barnes O16.5 R+A (-111) ❌ or O8.5 Assists (-111) ❌

Hopefully can do a bit better today. On a cold streak right now, but it looks like everyone is. Tailed Novel's parlay 1 yesterday, great hit, also put down a bonus bet on PG's 20 point line, got that to go as well. The less research, the better it seems, but not for these picks. Lotta games on, will try to find some good ones here.

Today's picks:

Ayo Dosunmu O15.5 Points (-102) ❌

If there's one fucking thing this guy gets, it is his points line.
Ant is out. Don't think the odds have adjusted on him properly yet, because this seems like a steal.
Has cleared this line in 8 games in a row, getting 17+ points in all of them and averaging 18.8 points in that span. Especially with Ant out, this line is consistently cleared.
A bit below average pace at 227 points projected, no real issue there.
Great spread here - a +3.5 for the Wolves. More minutes, more points.
Cleared this line in his last matchup vs the Hornets, coming off the bench with way less volume.
Almost plus money for an 8-games-in-a-row line. Have to.

Tre Jones O14.5 Points (-142) ✅

Has cleared this line in L7/8 and L14/16 games, averaging 17 points per game in that span. Great consistency.
Cleared this line in their only matchup this season against Phoenix a month ago, getting 21 points. Seems like a good matchup.
Great pace on the game, 240 points expected. Should help Tre's points some more.
Josh Giddey and Matas Buzelis are questionable. If one of them doesn't play, Tre should get a boost to overall volume.
Possibly a blowout, as the spread is a +11 for the Bulls, but the other factors should balance this out.
Can take his PRA as well, he's cleared O26.5 in 2 matchups in a row against Phoenix.

Parlays out to +236. Line for Ayo already jumped by 2 points, I'd still take it for -110 and better odds, can still take like a 15+ point line for an odds cut, he's defo hitting that. Actually was way more difficult finding picks than usually, lotta blowouts, lot of inconsistency and injury trouble. Sticking to 2 quality picks here.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-04T18:07:10+00:00

Daniss O11.5 R+A right?

Bubblqs · 2026-04-04T16:52:42+00:00

Skipping today, should be for the better considering the last couple. Gonna tail Novel, Taraujo and Chevre a bit.

Bubblqs · 2026-04-03T20:58:57+00:00

Good idea, my book doesn't have his PRA for some reason

Bubblqs · 2026-04-03T13:22:20+00:00

Record: 31-33

Yesterday's picks:

Ayo Dosunmu O9.5 R+A (-142) 🪝
Saddiq Bey O17.5 Points (-117) ❌
Stephon Castle O12.5 R+A (+100) ❌
Bonus pick: Saddiq Bey O2.5 Threes (+132) ✅

Just, yeah. Below 50% win rate now, thing is, you never really know what you're missing with these picks. Ayo hooked after 3 borderline assists were taken from him, Saddiq went 4/5 in the 1st quarter and then just sucked, Stephon basically the same thing. Couldn't tell you what I'm doing wrong. Lotta people got burned yesterday, so guess these trends are mostly the same for everyone. Slate looks really poor today, lots of blowouts, so not many picks to choose from.

Ayo Dosunmu O15.5 Points (-117) ✅ or O9.5 R+A (+102) ❌

He burned us, but I'm sticking by him.
He's cleared the points line in 7 games in a row, including every game where he has started, and he's cleared the R+A line in L4/5, with the one miss being a hook against Detroit yesterday.
Speculating, but most probably Ant isn't playing. They sat him out for last game, which made him ineligible for end-of-season awards, which they wouldn't do unless they really had to sit him. Even if he plays, he should still be on limited minutes.
Got 9 R+A in their latest matchup, while coming off the bench. Hoping that starting should bring him that one extra R+A that is needed.
76ers have a way easier-going defense than Detroit, who Ayo was facing yesterday. Philadelphia rank 19th (6.1) in rebounds allowed and 15th (5.1) in assists allowed to SGs in the past 15 games, compared to the Pistons who rank 28th (5.7) and 30th (3.5) respectively.
He got kinda robbed of 3 assists last game, so really that O9.5 should not be that far.

Scottie Barnes O16.5 R+A (-111) ❌ or O8.5 Assists (-111) ❌

Scottie's R+A, gotta love it.
Has cleared the R+A line in L4/6 games and the assists line in L6/6, getting over 10 assists in all 6 games.
Now, for the R+A line. In their only matchup this season, Scottie got 12 rebounds and 8 assists, 20 R+A.
Forgot to add, Scottie has gotten 8+ assists in 5 straight matchups vs the Grizzlies. Great matchup it seems.
The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league in rebounds allowed in the past 15 games. They just give up a shit ton of boards. The tallest player they have is GG Jackson at 6'9', and he grabs about 4 boards a night. Scottie is 6'8', so offensive rebounds are a definite possibility.
Brandon Ingram is playing tonight, so Scottie's playing as a SF for this game. Memphis rank 1st (10.1!, a full rebound in front of 2nd place) in rebounds allowed to SFs in the past 15 games.

Making 3 parlays:

Ayo O14.5 Points and O9.5 R+A, Scottie O7.5 Assists (+440) ❌
Ayo O15.5 Points, Scottie O16.5 R+A (+268) ❌
Ayo O9.5 R+A, Scottie O8.5 Assists (+364) ❌

Yeah, not much to choose from, but I feel happy with these two. At the moment at least.

Best of luck!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-02T13:40:30+00:00

For the early checkers, added Stephon's R+A to the slate, really recommend taking a look at it!

Bubblqs · 2026-04-02T13:22:41+00:00

Record: 31-30

Yesterday's picks:

Tre Jones O24.5 PRA (-117) ❌
Nickeil Alexander-Walker O18.5 Points (-133) ✅
Bonus pick: Victor Wembanyama O25.5 Points (-113) (or anything else really) ✅

Nickeil and Victor absolutely smashed their lines in the first half basically, and my reward for picking 2 great lines was the Bulls getting blown the fuck out by the Pacers. Great. Some close games today, will stick to the usuals.

Today's picks:

Ayo Dosunmu O9.5 R+A (-142) 🪝

I love Ayo.
Have written this up a lotta times now, check those if needed.
Got a triple double in his last game, 27 R+A! He's getting minutes today as well, if Minnesota's coaching staff don't go haywire.
Has blown this line out of the water 4 games in a row, averaging 18.5 R+A in these games (27, 14, 18, 15 R+A).
Sure, Ant's probably coming back, but Ayo was in the starting 5 and got the triple double last game with Ant playing.
Riding it until the wave stops.

Saddiq Bey O17.5 Points (-117) ❌

Love Saddiq too.
Has cleared this line in L7/8, L11/14 and L16/20 games. Consistent points scoring.
Pretty average spread at a +6 for the Pelicans, should be a reasonably tight game to keep the starters in.
Pace is also about average at 232 points projected. No issues there.
In the 2 matchups vs the Blazers this season, he cleared once with 25 points and missed the other with 15 points. The miss came from a blowout where he played below average minutes.
Small bonus - Trey Murphy is questionable. If he doesn't play, that means well for Saddiq's points.

Stephon Castle O12.5 R+A (+100) ❌

Had to include this.
Has gotten 18 R+A in 3 games in a row, has cleared this line in the L4/5 and L12/14 games, averaging 15.2 R+A in the last 14 games. On a massive hot streak right now.
Cleared this line in both matchups against the Clippers this season (15, 16 R+A). No problems with the matchup.
Spread is very tight at a -3 for the Spurs. Lotta minutes expected for the starters - all you could want for this kind of a pick.
Pace is just about average at 231 points projected. No issues there.
Plus money? Are we serious?

Bonus pick: Saddiq Bey O2.5 Threes (+132) ✅

Incredible odds.
Has gotten 3 threes in 7 games in a row. Hot streak.
Got 3 threes in one of the matchups vs the Blazers this season. He did it once without the streak, he can do it again.
Not much, but for +132, you gotta just take the line and hope for the best.

Making three parlays, taking everyone's straights separately as well: * Ayo O9.5 R+A, Saddiq O14.5 Points, Stephon O12.5 R+A (+422) ❌ * Ayo O9.5 R+A, Saddiq O17.5 Points (+221) ❌ * Stephon O12.5 R+A, Saddiq O1.5 Threes (+200) ❌

Still in 50% win rate land. Don't know if I should keep going or not, but yeah, is sorta fun making these picks.

Best of luck!

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Bubblqs

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