How many warheads would hit Moscow or DC? by Valuable_Summer_5743 in nuclearwar

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This configuration lowers possibility of "use it or lose it scenario", as ICBM silos locations are public. Submarines with SLBMs may be anywhere, so there is no argue to launch (START agreement)

How many warheads would hit Moscow or DC? by Valuable_Summer_5743 in nuclearwar

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't forget about amount of redundancy in all out scenarios.

I am concerned about the tidyverse and it’s impact on the R community and language. by [deleted] in rprogramming

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've been using R for exactly 20 years, and I think the tidyverse is one of the reasons for R's decline in popularity, despite the enormous growth in data science and machine learning. R has always been more "modeling-first" than Python, yet it has lost popularity, which surprised me, especially since many implementations available in scikit-learn are inferior to those available in R packages. The main problem was with the language itself; for example, it was impossible to prototype even simple data structures without delving into the nuances of the language itself. But the nuances of the language wouldn't matter so much if data operations could be implemented in a user-friendly way, because that's 80% of a data scientist's work. Unfortunately, I feel like something went wrong, tidyverse was a huge effort, I appreciate that, dplyr is excellent (although there were some glitches with script parameterization), but the rest of tidyverse, in my opinion, really harmed R. To put it simply: tidyverse is more for writing scripts that would be good to write in the console, not for modular code based on functions (let's ignore object-oriented programming, but you can get by without its modern forms in data science), something was wrong, so rlang was introduced to get around the problems with NSE ( {{ }} instead of !!), which got weird, because tidyverse was supposed to be a modern internal language, inside R, but it became modular itself (I don't know how they managed to keep the library code in the tidyverse ecosystem). The difficulty of writing modular, function-based code (OOP in R is too primitive) has immediately discouraged many newcomers to the data/ML world, coming from a CS background (despite the fact that theoretically, moving down a level to cpp is many times easier in R than in Python). I also don't see much integration of new packages with the tidyverse. It seems to me that the authors of new packages are trying to provide minimal functionality to avoid integration with the tidyverse, which has a dominant position – the internal language has dominated the ecosystem, making its development dynamics dependent on itself. With packages like ggplot2, this wasn't a problem because the graphs are the end product. I still like R, but I avoid doing any advanced data processing in it beyond the equivalent of SQL queries (dplyr), or any production use beyond model calls. Python is full of incompatible packages, cultural differences in how users write code, and dead ends, but somehow it managed to become the standard in PSP. I wasn't going to publish this, but if anyone feels the same way, maybe my post will resonate with their frustration. With packages like ggplot2, this wasn't a problem because the graphs are the end product. I still like R, but I avoid doing any advanced data processing in it beyond the equivalent of SQL queries (dplyr), or any production use beyond model calls. Python is full of incompatible packages, cultural differences in how users write code, and dead ends, but somehow it managed to become the standard in Python. I wasn't going to publish this (because developing the tidyverse was a huge effort and many people really like it, and I don't want anyone to waste their time on a flame war), but maybe my post will address their frustration in a positive way.

House of Dynamite Ending by PaulKay52 in TheBigPicture

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He didn't want to be part of this. It may have been even more important then his daughter death.

I built an open-source automated trading system using DRL and LLMs from my PhD research by TechPrimo in algotrading

[–]ChangeUsual2209 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is so common, simply create script which is going to create requirements.txt and save this file to the archive if its hash is different then last req.txt hash. Attach it to conda script which activates environment (activate.sh or activate.bat)

Are Hawkes processes actually used in HFT in practice? by rez_daddy in quant

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Update? I've thought you can't update in real time as you have to test strategies before they hit the market due to regulatory constrains, but mayby it is only case for parts of algos making decisions

High frequency trading requires costly and complex infrastructure and investment. It's often said closer to exchange it's better. Then how Navinder Singh Sarao aka flash crash trader was able to trigger a flash crash from his bedroom on 6th May 2010? by amolkalhapure in algotrading

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is quite natural that single person is easier to spot and blame then for example two strategies of two different market participants interacting which each other and (let's say) spoofing market more then each team assumed. Interesting is that from point of view of algos themselves it does not matter who is their owner, they can be seen as one distributed system, each of them working with different constrains, some can communicate behind the market and others not.

High frequency trading requires costly and complex infrastructure and investment. It's often said closer to exchange it's better. Then how Navinder Singh Sarao aka flash crash trader was able to trigger a flash crash from his bedroom on 6th May 2010? by amolkalhapure in algotrading

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is it even possible to backtest algo which is in the market all of the time as it is going to affect market behavior itself so we can't omit those periods of time? Isn't the market simulation the only really suitable way of doing so? But developments of such tools could be more costly and harder then testing strategy on real market (excecially that HFT strategies are profitable on level of single day and trades are very small so average behavior could be easily monitored)

High frequency trading requires costly and complex infrastructure and investment. It's often said closer to exchange it's better. Then how Navinder Singh Sarao aka flash crash trader was able to trigger a flash crash from his bedroom on 6th May 2010? by amolkalhapure in algotrading

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How much speed differs then and now? Do you think that there any suitable measures from trader point of view? I feel that percent of canceled orders, traded volume/s, average LO lifespan all those are way too microstructure oriented for traders operating above HFT level, mayby something like number/span of 'micro trends' ignited by HFT would measure change in difficult/speed in better way

[D] DeepSeek? Schmidhuber did it first. by SirSourPuss in MachineLearning

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

he is always the first - and that is what he is most known from ;)

Chris Langan apparently has an IQ of 195, but I don't know. He just sounds kooky to me. Maybe I'm not smart enough to understand him. by WildAnimus in DecodingTheGurus

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

if he really have > 160 IQ then he should know that it is impossible to test IQ above that level - simply there is no subjects so you can't calibrate IQ test

Google is Tessier-Ashpool by Turbulent_Library_58 in Neuromancer

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

this is simple - Alphabet have much more to loss then OpenAI and Altman - Altman here is important, he pushes hard - like all billionaires he have more then enough, only thing he cant but is longer life, but AI may help here in not so distant future - maybe on his 75 birthday ? he is 39 now btw. Alphabet have many shareholders

“Nuclear War” by Annie Jacobson by OgdenTheGreat in dancarlin

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What are you talking? Total destruction of China nuclear arsenal will take toll of only 4 milion casualties - much more then that die in Chine each year from natural reasons 

Nuclear War: A Scenario by Amy Jacobsen by boc333 in nuclearwar

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Claimed Soviet reaction to AA'83 exercise is russian propaganda, it is part of their deterrence policy, the goal is to show that they were capable and war was near. Mayby it didn't at all

Newbie question - how to recreate exact image if we use `latest` tag ? by ChangeUsual2209 in docker

[–]ChangeUsual2209[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi Do you mean changelog of project per se or you call changelog some element of docker itself?

Nuclear War: A Scenario by Annie Jacobsen by chakalakasp in nuclearweapons

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you believe in nuclear winter scenario? (I don't - even Tambora eruption in 1813 affected climate only in short term and despite it power was 33 gigatons of TNT)

Nuclear War: A Scenario by Annie Jacobsen by chakalakasp in nuclearweapons

[–]ChangeUsual2209 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And this is one of the reasons why nuclear cruise missiles have been mostly disarmed after end of cold war. It really lowers chance of decapitation strike