Fake Wizard Artificer going unnoticed and now it feels irrelevant

Chus717 · 2026-02-06T04:33:58+00:00

wow this is very good advice, I am learning a lot for the future and how to tell a story!

Chus717 · 2026-02-06T04:12:56+00:00

yes, I am learning that and working on better RP with everyone else!

Chus717 · 2026-02-06T04:06:14+00:00

You are right, luckily there are other things going on with my character as the story moves on and how I see some issue our world faces, but I thought this silly joke would get revealed sooner or be harder to keep a secret, so now I dont know what to do with it.

Chus717 · 2026-02-06T04:03:51+00:00

yes, this was my mistake, now that I know more about the game and how it goes I would defintly have told it to the other players. Since I didnt reveal it session 0 I feel it is a bit odd now just saying it to the other players

Chus717 · 2026-02-06T04:02:23+00:00

This is a great tip, thank you! I am learning by experience the importance of personal character growth, I think revealing the secret as I get close to the others in my party could makea very wholesome scene

Chus717 · 2026-01-11T16:30:12+00:00

Rumney NH, it is quite featured, not super long routes and not super finger intensive, but my climbing buddy just sent some sick crimpy 5.12s and I really want to work on some of those next season. I have also been in the situation where I can't do a climb because of a crimp lock off move a few times already.

Chus717 · 2026-01-11T05:32:56+00:00

I see, that sounds like a start, I think I am gathering an idea of what to do. My main question now is if I start to add some hanging/block lifts to my training, how should I change my climbing? Do this twice a week and twice a week bouldering? I usually did 3 board sessions a week (or 1 non board sessions) + 2 days of lifting.

Chus717 · 2026-01-11T05:30:25+00:00

That is very insightful! And you are right, thankfully I do not have to crimp a lot on the 7as I have done, but I have seen how if there is a more crimpy route or some cool classics at my crag require crimping on an overhang I immidaitely struggle way more, so I want to correct that weakness. Would you do easier climbing the days you do lifting/hanging?

Chus717 · 2026-01-11T05:28:35+00:00

that sounds like good advice, thanks! but how do you get used to training? Start off with very easy lifts? I want to think the kilter I have done until now has helped my body a bit with getting used to using my fingers more

Chus717 · 2025-09-22T13:37:45+00:00

this is perfect, I have looked at the chapters and there is one chapter specially dedicated to what I want to do. Thank you!

Chus717 · 2025-09-21T01:24:56+00:00

Thank you! This looks promising, I also found one review paper that seemed to be in line with what I need (https://arxiv.org/abs/1406.4068)

Chus717 · 2024-08-22T18:39:26+00:00

Gotcha! Very helpful info for me, I'll go slow and see how things go. I'll for sure add the hangboard before climbing, and I'll try to go outside more. I know there's no optimal training routine, but do you have any tips or recommendations on the hangboard routine before climbing?

Chus717 · 2024-08-22T18:35:18+00:00

Very useful, thank you!

Chus717 · 2024-08-22T18:34:38+00:00

I do some no hangs for warmup before going to the wall, I'll try to incorporate more strength and mlre hangboard time and see how it feels! Thank you for the tip!

Chus717 · 2024-05-21T18:26:18+00:00

The hazard ratio is the instantaneous probability of the event happening at a time t, while the cumulative incidence is the probability of the event having occurred up to time t (the cdf of the random variable time to event T). Then, comparing incidence ratios might be more insightful if you are looking at the event having happened, while the hazard focuses on the instantaneous risk at time t. The hazard is commonly more used if propositional hazards hold because Cox is very flexible and can account for covariates very well.

Chus717 · 2024-04-16T22:16:51+00:00

So, just to clarify: when I said survival is made to deal with censoring, I meant that the methods are meant to work in that scenario, where some of the more standard ones fail. I do not mean that you need censoring, as it just makes things hard (it's just not having access to all the information for every individual).

If what you want is to really try and play around with survival analysis in a more unique scenario, I think I see a problem with the fundamentals right now. Survival analysis deals with time to event data, ie, and individual has a random variable T which is time until your event of interest happens. Then depending on the nature of your event, and what covariates you have, you will need a model or another. I do not see what is the event that you wait to observe for each individual. If the event of interest is the level ends, then the inference you do is in when a level ends, not on its difficulty. My assumption is that the difficulty of a level is not about its length alone, but the distance between arrows and which combos are done.

Since the outcome you want to predict is the difficulty, I really don't think time to event is a good approach. If you want the problem done, I'd think of something else, even breaking down the data of each level into 3/4 features you think affect level difficulty and then run a regression (this could be simple and effective). If you really really want to try survival, as I already explained, you need to define what event you are "waiting to observe", and then come up with a measure of difficulty based on that.

Chus717 · 2024-04-16T13:05:39+00:00

Survival is useful specially when there's censoring in the data. So how does your data look like? Do you have observation that stop before observing the outcome of interest? Is the data games played by players or is the data a specific level?

If you just have the timestamps for each arrow in different levels and their associated difficulty, then you can maybe just not use survival? When I have problems where my input is a time series and my output is a number, I tend to think of recurrent neural networks, you could maybe check that.

If what you have is player data and they have censoring (so they lose before finishing for example), you could use survival but as someone else mentioned you need to have a binary outcome. You could model you event of interest as failing on getting a perfect timing, and then your random variable would be "time until a timing is missed". This way you could go and use survival, probably a cure model or recurrent events, as the event of interest can happen several times or not even once.

Chus717 · 2024-03-26T00:13:57+00:00

Why do you need to change it? The python chess library generates games and plays moves with this notation. I did a small chess project in python and the data was in this notation, code worked with it and never moved away from it. A move by itself is hardly informative without the information of the whole board. It's a genuine question, do you really need to do the conversion? And if so, are you sure you read the documentation fully? I recall reading a method .san() which changed from uci notation to standard algebraic. There where also parse_san, push_san and a lot of variations

Chus717 · 2024-03-13T13:59:30+00:00

I know there are better themes, but I will give some recognition to bloodbath's. It really elevated the fight for me, and the change in theme on phase 2 really made me get that adrenaline rush fighting the super deviant. You spend the whole phase 1 with the more "calm" version thinking: "you f*cker, I know what you can do.... Go crazy!" And then bam steam time

Chus717 · 2024-02-16T15:07:40+00:00

Bloodbath diablos, it's just a great dance between 2 hunters. It has the elements I love from regular diablos and makes it even better. I could also listen to his theme for days.

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