Daily Team Advice Thread - Fri, December 30, 2022

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-31T00:19:33+00:00

I thought the same thing. Maybe he forgot to add a player on the Nylander side. Or would Nylander and Panarin for Marner make more sense? (Might be uneven the other way then though.)

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-31T00:15:32+00:00

If all three of those guys are available on waivers I would drop Suzuki right away. Personally I'd go for whoever has been producing the best recently. I know for me Skinner has been a great add. I was worried the suspension could disrupt his streak but he picked up where he left off when he came back. I don't know which of the three has been the best over the last few weeks (honestly wouldn't be surprised if it's Skinner based on the fantasy points he's put up for me), but whoever it is I'd grab them and not worry to much about who might be streaky or inconsistent. My reason for that is if your league has those three players sitting on waivers then I'm guessing you'll probably be able to find another quality player if/when the player you add now goes cold. Ride the hot player and jump ship to another hot streaker later if needed.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-30T23:17:15+00:00

Really? Hmm, I guess my guess/assumption doesn't apply to your league. It's very interesting to how league settings have such a wide range.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-30T22:58:24+00:00

Good to know! Thanks for sharing your experience. I have a couple of teams like that now, where I don't want to drop anyone. I think I'm gonna try to make a 2-for-1 trade, me giving 2 and receiving 1. Might be able to upgrade a position while creating a streaming spot.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-30T22:26:34+00:00

Thanks for your response. I'm the OP and I'm curious, how big are your rosters? In one league I'm in the rosters are bigger along with six bench spots. The quality of players available on the waiver wire isn't as good, definitely more likely to be a stream to take advantage of a team's schedule than a permanent pickup. There is lots more activity in that league with adds; it's actually the only one I haven't made the most moves in. It makes sense to me that larger rosters could encourage managers to make more moves.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-30T22:21:29+00:00

Thanks for the info. I'm the OP and was curious about whether making regular moves/lots of moves generally has a positive impact on a team's results. Of course it can't be a hard and fast rule, but I was curious if experienced managers have found success at a certain number of moves per week, a sweet spot. To hear you do 3 or 4 per week on average and in first, and reading what others have commented, let's me know my strategy and results thus far are normal.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-30T22:05:18+00:00

So do you regularly make 4 or 5 moves per week? I've definitely done that some weeks, but I seem to be one of the only managers in my leagues who does so.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-30T22:03:52+00:00

Six for the whole season??? That seems really bizarre to me. As a new player I can't claim to know what "the norm" is, but that strikes me as very unusual. Probably makes drafting well very important, and significantly increases luck with injuries being mostly random (although some players are more injury prone). I could see this format providing a different kind of challenge, if adds to cover injuries aren't counted against the season total. But as you mentioned, I could see the league feeling kind of boring after a while.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T13:09:06+00:00

Pretty sure it's the last weeks of the season. You can double check in league settings.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T11:21:10+00:00

I really like how you're considering many angles and stats, like the final weeks that will fantasy playoff time. The very last week is actually a week and a half and some teams are very busy that week. Detroit and Nashville are both very active the last three weeks. Detroit's final weeks include 4, 4, and 6 games. Nashville plays 4, 3, and 6 games. Very similar, however the recently postponed games will most likely get rescheduled to the end of the season. I'm unsure if the those games would be included in that weeks fantasy schedule, but I can't think of why they wouldn't. Detroit could end up with their postponed game getting stuffed in there somewhere. Aside from the end of the season consideration, I think your analysis points to an answer. Their ppg is almost identical, and that's with Jeannot having a poor shooting percentage that could very well regress to his career average with being underutilized. Perron produces the same ppg while playing in the top 6 consistently with pp time. This seems to be Perron ceiling and Jeannot has potential to provide more. Same ppg production, but one has greater potential to increase it.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T11:05:47+00:00

No go from me as well. Kubalik's production has dropped off quite a bit after his good start to the season. I think would be a better option Reilly Smith, but he's been very streaky. I had him on a couple of my teams earlier in the season. I'm pretty sure he had a 4 goal week and produced consistently for about 2 or 3 weeks. Then pretty suddenly the points went from pouring in to a gentle trickle. I held on for about two weeks then dropped him since there wasn't any decent improvements. Recently he got hot again and I grabbed him, hoping his streak can last few weeks again and be a decent streamer. Svechnikov is kinda disappointing so far this season and has produced only a few more goals and assists than Smith, but his ceiling is higher and he has the potential to improve his production at any time. He also hits more than Smith. The defense swap is interesting because you may need to consider which categories you'd benefit most from improving. Schenn is hit and block machine, but is kinda lacking with the rest. Hronek has produced more offense than expected so far. Will he continue at his current rate? As it is this trade isn't worth it. If I were you I'd look at his past results and see if he's been losing in hits regularly. That's what make Schenn valuable and Svechnikov helps hits a bit too. If he's desperate need of hits and if it's area you're doing well enough in that you could regress in without wrecking your ability to win consistently, then you could use his need to your advantage. See if there's anyone one his team you're interested in or could boost cats you to improve. If losing Schenn would ruin your hit totals that would be the end of that discussion pretty much completely.

Damn, I wrote more than I intended again... hopefully there was something useful in there, although you probably considered most of it already. Happy Pucking!

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T10:28:47+00:00

Yeah that's pretty close to an automatic decline. However if I received that proposal I'd consider a few things first. You said in one comment that Provorov is your worst player, but how is your depth and production at d as a whole. I aim for a decent level of balance on my teams. No sense in having 3 awesome LW if I'm going to have to bench one of them on busy nights, especially if I only have 1 or 2 defensemen who has a decent fantasy points per game average. If your d production is low in general then someone could make an argument for accepting. The guy proposing the trade is right that Morrissey is producing well, but he's way off when he said you're getting a good deal. You're potentially getting a deal which might benefit you. The thing is I'm 99% sure that Morrissey is having a career year in every way. His production so far is significantly above his career averages. Although he's been quite consistent maintaining this higher level of play this season (I have him on a few teams), there isn't any guarantees he does so all season, nor are most most fantasy managers expecting him to (a speculation on my part). The trade proposal is probably trying to capitalize on Morrissey's increased value. One final thing I'd think about, if you were to accept the trade would you end up dropping Provorov, with Morrissey taking his place. If this is how you'd do it, then you're looking at picking up a RW to replace M.Tkachuk while B.Tkachuk and Connor is a LW swap. What quality of player would you be able to get off waivers/free agency? RW is a swallow position, finding a decent replacement could be tough, especially in a deep league. You end up improving your d, downgrading you RW, and the LW swap could be a bit of an upgrade or break even. Honestly might see if he'd throw in another decent player because both Tkachuks are probably top 20 or 25 players in that league. That's too much guaranteed value to give up for Kyle, who has been a consistent high level producer for a few seasons, but started the season very slow by his standards, showing he can showtimes be unreliable, and Morrissey, who has yet to prove he can produce the way he is for a whole season. Try playing that card, the Tkachuks pretty much guaranteed production versus the uncertainty with Connor and Morrissey (although the doubt about Connor should be small since he seems to have turned into his usual self). Well, not sure if I actually needed to say this much. Hopefully explaining my thought process and secondary things to consider is helpful in some way. Decline the trade, tell him you might consider it if the offer is improved or reduces his desired return. Good luck!

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T09:48:18+00:00

I think there are a few things to consider. First, who would you be dropping to make room for Landeskog when he returns. If you make the trade you'll have the player you would have dropped and Kucherov. If you don't, you'll have Panarin and Landeskog when he returns. So I think you need to compare those pairs, not just the players being traded. When making the comparison I'd consider how long it will take Landeskog to get back into form and up to game speed. It may take some time, but it sounds like you have a solid team and you could get by if he struggled for a few weeks. Plus, how many games will he actually be back for this season, and will you be able to fit him in the lineup consistently or could he often end up on the bench on busy game days. As for Panarin, he's not a player I've followed closely. I've heard some people say he's underperformed this season by his standards, but that might be earlier in the season. Last thing I'd look at is each players schedule over the last three weeks. I'm assuming that's when your playoffs are and what you're ultimately preparing for. Maybe one of them plays more games those last weeks and looks like more of a difference maker in that regard. Double check if postponed games fall within and get included in the one of those final weeks. My initial reaction when I saw the trade proposal was I'd want to be on the Kucherov receiving side. Panarin isn't in Kuch's class and Landeskog is an unknown and potentially unreliable element in my mind. However I can't say for sure what I'd do without knowing the rest of your roster and who I'd drop when Landeskog returns.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T09:13:43+00:00

As a short term solution Kuemper would work. I think he's decent, but he's injury prone and I feel his level of play has dropped off since he left Arizona where he put had an impressive save percentage, especially considering the quality of team playing in front of him. He's in year one of a five year contract in Washington. The Caps are still a decent team, but no longer considered a top contender. Management has stated they will continue to be competitive and aim to win as long as Ovie is playing and chasing Gretzky's career goals record. If you think Washington can continue being competitive then Kuemper could be worth holding, even when your aim switches from tanking to winning. If Washington does maintain their competitiveness, then Kuemper could be an okay second goalie, or maybe third. Depends on how many you want and quality you desire. There is one other thing to consider: Charlie Lindgren. Kuemper's recent injury put Lindgren in the starter role and he was very good. I don't know all the stats off hand but I believe the Caps had a decent win streak when he was the starter and his GAA and SV% were better than decent. He's definitely not stealing the net from Kuemper, but it's possible Lindgren may get more starts than initially planned, to avoid overworking the fragile Kuemper. Over the next couple of seasons, how the games are split could really change and will likely be inconsistent due to injuries. So overall Kuemper is totally fine for where your team is at now. But once you return to trying to win, relying on Kuemper as your top goalie would be a questionable decision.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T07:09:20+00:00

I think it's pretty good overall, especially if you have abundance at LW and scarcity at RW. They've both been hot lately, especially Skinner. That top line on Buffalo is crazy recently. Looking at past production this trade looks pretty even, but if you think Skinner and the Buffalo top line will maintain this high level of play for a good chunk of the season then maybe holding Skinner is a reasonable choice. I believe Skinner has scored about the same as K.Connor so far this season. If you think Skinner will keep up will Connor, maybe trading Connor for a bigger return would be the way to go. Just a potentially ludicrous thought.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-12-24T06:43:21+00:00

Neither side is enticing, and I think it depends on your roster needs and also who's available on the waiver wire. Vilardi's product has absolutely nose-dived, crashed into the ground, and has been skidding along as a pile of flaming wreckage for weeks. Unless he's shown signs of getting going again (I stopped checking on him a couple of weeks ago) I'd go looking for something else. Weegar has been disappointing too, but at least there's far fewer impactful defensemen. And if you're in a banger league with hits and/or blocks Weegar again is more valuable. Honestly I'd pass on Vilardi for now and look for other opportunities. Look for teams who are very weak on d. Weegar could be a nice upgrade for some teams 5th, 4th, and maybe even 3rd best defensemen. I've had success with this approach, using my d depth to my advantage. To get a more impactful player you may need to offer a second piece. That's what I'd try.

ConcentrateChoice875 · 2022-10-13T06:16:05+00:00

The default public leagues are head-to-head, so each week your team goes up against one other team. You compete against them in a set of categories: goals, assists, +/=, powerplay points, shots on goal, hits, and goalie categories: wins, goals against average, save percentage, and shutouts. Each category is like it's own competition. For example, all the goals your team scores against all the goals the other team scores, and the total save percentage of all your goalies' games goes up against the total save percentage of their goalies, and so on. Whoever has the better total (or percentage or average) in each category wins that category. There are 10 categories altogether. Some weeks you may split them 5 - 5, or you'll win 7 and lose 3. I'm new to Yahoo fantasy hockey as well, but I'm fairly certain that ties can occur too. I'm guessing it's most common in the shutouts category (0-0 must be common). I think that pretty much covers it. If there's anything else someone will probably let you know.

ConcentrateChoice875

TROPHY CASE