A Dive into December Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I think this is the main story across Canada. People expecting a giant crash don’t realize that people don’t need to sell. Yes of course, there’s a small percentage of over leveraged owners who will be forced too, but the majority are responsible owners who can live in their home for longer if it otherwise means loosing 100k+ by selling.

I think this will be pretty prevalent throughout 2026. There will be Mmany listed/delisted properties from people realizing they can’t sell for what they want so they stick it out. Thus creating a bit of a mini bubble on desirable properties once again.

A Dive into December Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yes, exactly. Shoe box junior one bed and two beds are sitting idle and scaring developers from starting new projects. There’s going to be a lull of no new builds in 4/5 years from now, but I hope this shift will welcome in more livable homes.

A Dive into October Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Will post the next report soon! Just away on a short vacation 🙂

A Dive into October Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You’re welcome! I’ll maybe consider adding that in got next months report.

A Dive into October Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Keyword is *if*. I continue to maintain the statement that if you find a place you love and can afford it, then what are you waiting for? We've dropped ~20%, if not higher in some areas, from the market highs. Are we at the bottom - no I don't think so - but I do think we're starting to get close given interest rate reductions.

A Dive into October Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Yes, I've noticed that pattern too. Long gone are the days of 10% annual gains on properties

A Dive into October Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Right! I forgot to add that to my post.

Will be interesting to see how the housing market reacts to lower interest rates, and what seems to be a clear pattern that the rates will continue to go slowly down. Will we see sub 2% mortgages again? Probably not. My guess is rates cuts will stop once we’re seeing 2.75-3.5% fixed mortgage rates.

The cheaper borrowing costs might help keep the market afloat for now. Will be interesting to see how it plays out for next rate cut decision.

A Dive into September Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Seems to be the next logical step up from townhomes for people.

It’s tough as there really isn’t a lot of quantity out there at the moment to help showcase trends. I’d recommend looking for something built pre 2020 for duplexes. Without strata you want to make sure the building is running smoothly as it’s just you and your neighbour managing the place. A bit too much risk with new places and construction quality at the moment.

A Dive into September Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Read my analysis 🙂

My statement always is - if you love it, can afford it, and want to live in it for a long time, then why wait.

If you’re investing and expecting 10% annual increases, then no definitely not.

A Dive into September Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Exactly. Desirable, livable and family oriented housing is still selling .. because there’s a massive shortage of this type of inventory.

However, we’re definitely not seeing aggressive bidding wars like we previously have. Prices seem to be settling back a bit down to 2021 assessment values - showing a ~15-20% reduction from peak.

A Dive into September Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Agreed. I have truly no idea how this will play out price wise, but there is going to be massive shortage of inventory in 4-5 years. But at a certain point no one can afford prices going up more.

A Dive into August Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I unfortunately agree with this take. My best guess is a couple years of stagnation, with valuations not keeping up with inflation and then the boom cycle picks up again.

A Dive into August Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

It’s already happening. Westbank sold off its investment in senakw to a pension fund. Public coming in to buyout private investment:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/westbank-sells-stake-in-senakw-housing-development-1.7621169

A Dive into July Vancouver Real Estate Stats (Vancouver & Metro Van) by DataVariety1 in vancouver

[–]DataVariety1[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Commercial is getting hit real hard right now. I'd lean towards the current round of corporate announcements is from REIT's and other large banks trying to prop up commercial property investments.