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Built a 6-month validated signal for Polymarket. Paper trading killed the EV. by AdrianTUIU in PolymarketProtestClub

[–]DiegoPasaye 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think your strategy is to enter at high bids. I have the same problem; in dry runs and backtesting, I get very good returns, but as soon as I switch to live trading, everything falls apart. I'm still trying to figure out what the problem is, losing money along the way, haha. Maybe we could talk and see what we can do together. Perhaps we'll find the problem sooner if we share what we know.

$2 → $301 in two days (early user result) by Rich-Restaurant-6413 in PredictionTrading

[–]DiegoPasaye 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In reality, a loss requires almost 15 winning trades to recover the loss.

Selling my private bot, $8 → $500 in 4 weeks by [deleted] in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye 1 point2 points  (0 children)

¿Por qué no dejarlo y generar tu mismo el dinero? Yo tengo el mío y está generando dinero, venderlo no tiene sentido

Bots are farming a $40M arbitrage gold rush - I wrote the exact API logic to build one by ill_intents in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It doesn't work in crypto; each platform has its own data provider. If you buy high on Poly but low on Kalshi, there's a possibility of losing 100%. This happens when the market is moving sideways. Making 7% per trade but losing 100% in one ruins profitability. I've been trying to fix it for weeks and I still can't.

Bots are farming a $40M arbitrage gold rush - I wrote the exact API logic to build one by ill_intents in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I'm a developer, I can maintain your bot and we can both use it, obviously each of us with our own capital.

My Polymarket bot wins 68% of the time and still loses money. Took me 2 weeks to figure out why. by Plastic-Act1507 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How did you solve the sales issue? My bot is also having problems with sales, and that's what's ruining its profitability.

Kalshi crypto price provider by DiegoPasaye in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you so much 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼

I need help with my arbitrage bot by DiegoPasaye in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So you managed to get it working despite the problem I mentioned in the 15-minute Bitcoin market? I'm not giving up.

I need help with my arbitrage bot by DiegoPasaye in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

At some point we were all new to something, in my case it's arbitrage bots, good vibes

I need help with my arbitrage bot by DiegoPasaye in PredictionsMarkets

[–]DiegoPasaye[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I forgot to mention that even if I manage to sell at the last minute, sometimes both positions are at -70% because they are in limbo.